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Fox News Election Probability

The Fox News Probability Meter uses the data from our Fox News Voter Analysis together with live election results to show the trends in key contests ahead of final results. These are not projections of the outcome of races. Users should remember that probabilities might not align with the ongoing official vote count since the meter reflects expected votes not yet counted.

The probability meter for the outcome of the national presidential contest uses Fox News Voter Analysis data and votes cast in states where polls have closed. In states where polls are still open, the meter only reflects pre-election polls available to the public.