With the presidential nominations decided long ago and Democratic Sen. Cory Booker favored to comfortably win re-election, the House of Representatives contests seem to hold the most intrigue. There are contested primaries in 10 of the state’s 12 congressional districts.
And in the Democratic contests, New Jersey’s primary appears to be the latest chapter in this year’s recurring storyline, where incumbent lawmakers are fighting off challenges from the left of their party.
Many of the young progressive challengers are hoping to follow in the footsteps of Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York City – known as AOC - whose blockbuster 2018 upset primary win over longtime Democratic Rep. Joe Crowley created political shockwaves.
“She’s a huge influence” Seton Hall University political science professor Matt Hale emphasized. “Progressives are trying to pull AOC's in a number of New Jersey House races.”
But Hale cautioned that “the problem is that if you want to emulate AOC, you have to have her media skills if you’re going to be successful and none of these challengers do. The only reason why progressive challengers might have a shot is because vote-by-mail favors young, even first-time voters who vote their ideals. I just don’t think there are enough of them.”
New Jersey’s primary comes as two New York City Democratic representatives are fighting for their political lives. Rep. Eliot Engel, the powerful chair of the House Foreign Relations Committee, remains far behind progressive challenger Jamaal Bowman and longtime Rep. Carolyn Maloney is slightly ahead of primary challenger Suraj Patel – as absentee ballots continue to be counted from New York State’s June 23 primary.
But Hale noted that a more powerful Democratic Party structure in New Jersey favors the incumbents, noting that “I think the incumbents do have an advantage in New Jersey that they don’t have in New York City.”
In New Jersey’s 5th Congressional District, progressive lion Sen. Bernie Sanders is supporting Arati Kreibich in her primary challenge against moderate Democratic Rep. Josh Gottheimer.
In the 6th District, Rep. Frank Pallone Jr. – the most influential member of the state’s congressional delegation and House Energy and Commerce Committee chair – is facing two progressive challengers.
Longtime Rep. Bill Pascrell Jr. (who underwent heart surgery this weekend) in the 9th District and Rep. Albio Sires in the 8th District are facing challenges from the left. Democratic Reps. Don Payne Jr. in the 10th District and Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman in the 12th District are also facing primary opponents.
One Democrat running in the 2nd District race is Amy Kennedy, the wife of former Democratic Rep. Patrick Kennedy and daughter-in-law of the late Sen. Ted Kennedy.
It’s not just Democratic representatives who are facing challenges.
Republican Rep. Chris Smith in the 4th District is facing a primary opponent. So does Rep. Jeff Van Drew in the 2nd District. He was elected in 2018 as a Democrat before opposing President Trump’s impeachment and switching parties.
Because of health concerns over in-person voting during a pandemic, Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy issued an executive order making it easier to vote by mail. The order sent 3.6 million postage-paid absentee ballots to the state’s registered Democrats and Republicans. Another 2.4 million unaffiliated voters received ballot applications, which allowed them to chose to vote in either primary by requesting a ballot.
As with other recent primaries where most votes were cast by mail, the counting of votes could take some time and prevent close contests from being called on primary night.
Biden’s campaign said that the former vice president and his wife Jill Biden already voted, returning their ballots in person last week to the New Castle County Board of Elections.