OpinionMarch 23, 2026Blue tsunami predictions for November election might not make landfallForeign policy does matter and Trump's military actions in Iran, Venezuela and Cuba could reshape November midterm elections more than polling suggests.
OpinionDecember 6, 20243 numbers that explain November election results – it wasn't about KamalaWhen Joe Biden took office in 2021, he knew he had a simple but audacious goal: Prove that American government can work.
OpinionOctober 9, 20245 key numbers that will decide the 2024 presidential electionThe presidential election comes down to five key numbers. A big part of that is how Trump and Harris reach outside of their base of support to other voting groups.
OpinionSeptember 30, 2024Vance vs. Walz: Think VP debates don't matter? Just look at these 6 examplesTuesday night, Republican V.P. nominee JD Vance will debate against Democratic nominee, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz. Don't dismiss this event as a meaningless exercise. It could be big.
OpinionSeptember 27, 20244 Known Unknowns that could scramble the presidential raceThe election is getting close and there are four major Known Unknowns that could influence who wins. The economy, Mideast war, Ukraine and vice presidential debate are deciding factors.
OpinionSeptember 16, 2024A Trump mystery makes election outcome even murkierThere have been some weird findings from recent polls – before Tuesday night’s debate – both nationally and in key swing states about both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.
OpinionAugust 26, 2024Beyonce may not have shown up — but it sounded like Nikki Haley didKamala Harris was the star of the DNC convention. Even though rumored surprise guest Beyonce never appeared, the event sure sound like another guest was there -- Nikki Haley.
OpinionAugust 19, 2024Harris-Walz Democrat convention will be a success if 3 things happenAt the Democratic National Convention in Chicago the challenge for Democrats is clear: Can they chip away at Trump’s apparent national bloc of support?
OpinionAugust 10, 2024'Base' candidates on left and right, is there room for the middle in this election?Democrats are going to need relief-catalyzed-enthusiasm in order to overcome the electoral support that polls suggest former President Donald Trump still continues to enjoy.
OpinionAugust 2, 2024Harris rapidly consolidates Democrats' support, and here's what that means for NovemberThe polls suggest Kamala Harris is in a closer contest with Trump than Biden was. Indeed, according to the Real Clear Politics average, Harris has cut Trump's lead almost in half.
OpinionJuly 10, 2024Biden White House beware: Don't assume Democrat delegates are locked inIs there realistically anything that Democratic skeptics — and there are many — donors, candidates in tight races and left-leaning media — can do to force Biden off the ticket?
OpinionJuly 7, 2024Joe Biden and the ghost of LBJAs Joe Biden struggles to figure out how to respond to his disastrous debate performance, the current incumbent finds himself in almost the exact position as Lyndon Johnson in 1968.
OpinionMarch 16, 2024If Trump wants to win, here’s what he needs to doAmerica is gearing up for a long presidential election season. The Biden strategy is to divide the Republican base. If Trump wants to win, he needs to promote party unity.
OpinionFebruary 21, 2024Understanding Election 2024 is more than just reading pollsElection 2024 polls don't tell voters everything they need to know. They should analyze both of the presidential candidates and look at one key point. Five major issues impact it.
OpinionJanuary 29, 2024Not since 1892: Trump vs Biden 2024 will be a race between two incumbentsThe Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary are over. It looks like the 2024 presidential race will now be between Donald Trump and Joe Biden. Here's why Biden has an advantage.
PoliticsOctober 29, 2023Will ‘Iowa Silver’ give Trump a run for his money in the primary? Could Trump win a general?The runner-up in Iowa's Republican presidential primary could cause headaches for former President Donald Trump, the overwhelming GOP frontrunner.
OpinionJanuary 3, 2023Biden, Republicans and 2024: It's the 'unknowns' that will sink or save the incumbentPresident Joe Biden is expected to announce his decision on a run for president soon. Here are some of the things that could impact his reelection chances if he decides to run.
OpinionOctober 10, 2020Arnon Mishkin: Trump reelection in trouble, polling indicates — race is referendum on himFollowing his debate performance and hospitalization with COVID-19, President Trump continues to trail former Vice President Joe Biden in national polling in their presidential race.
OpinionOctober 6, 2020Arnon Mishkin: At VP debate, understudies Harris and Pence look to protect the bosses -- it won't be easyAt the VP debate Pence's job is complicated by Trump's illness.
OpinionAugust 24, 2020Arnon Mishkin: Trump can still win. Here's howThere is still ample opportunity for the incumbent to come from behind – as he did in 2016 – and win a second term.
OpinionAugust 18, 2020Arnon Mishkin: Does a 'shy Trump voter' exist?There are clear opportunities for Trump to close the gap with Biden, and even, potentially to eke out another Electoral College win in November.
OpinionAugust 6, 2020Arnon Mishkin: Biden could benefit by skipping Democratic Convention — he avoids sticking foot in his mouthThe announcement Wednesday that former Vice President Joe Biden will not travel to the Democratic National Convention in Milwaukee to accept his party’s presidential nomination because of the coronavirus pandemic could be a plus for his presidential campaign.
OpinionApril 8, 2020Arnon Mishkin: Bernie Sanders' impact – How he changed Democrats, USThe current status of the campaign – not the bride, but seeking to be the bridesmaid – sums up his two races for the White House.