
Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's college football simulation engine generates predictions for every Division I FBS game for the coming week. Our highly sophisticated algorithms simulate every play of every game to produce each team's likelihood to win. Each matchup is simulated 101 times.
Check out our 2014 performance to view our accuracy last season, when we correctly picked the winner in 77.6 percent of all games involving FBS teams.
Game of the Week: Arizona State vs. Texas A&M
The offseason doldrums are finally coming to a close as the 2015 season kicks off with North Carolina at South Carolina and Florida International at UCF on Thursday, September 3. While we'll definitely be tuning in, those contests didn't earn the distinction of our Game of the Week. The honor goes to Arizona State vs. Texas A&M, a Saturday evening matchup at NRG Stadium in Houston.
Billed as a "neutral-site" matchup, Texas A&M has a clear proximity advantage. College Station is just 100 miles from Houston, while the Sun Devils will be traveling more than 1,000 miles east. The Aggies may also have an offensive advantage, as points are never in short supply with Kevin Sumlin at the helm. During his three-year tenure, A&M have averaged 517.4 yards of total offense and 41.3 points per game, both tops in the SEC. Despite the firepower, the Aggies are trending in the wrong direction, winning 11 games in 2012, nine in 2013 and eight last season. The problem can easily be traced to the defensive unit. During the same three-year span, the Aggies ranked last in the SEC in total yards allowed, surrendering 438.9 yards per game.
That could all be changing with the hiring of John Chavis as the team's new defensive coordinator. Chavis served in the same capacity at LSU from 2009 through 2014, fielding many impressive squads. Last season, LSU held opponents to 316.8 yards and 17.8 points per game. If Chavis can replicate that success at A&M, the results could be scary.
Arizona State is hoping it will take a few seasons - or at least a few games - for Chavis to work his magic. The Sun Devils offense will be led by Mike Bercovici, who broke onto the scene in 2014 as a replacement for the injured Taylor Kelly. In a three-game stretch against UCLA, USC and Stanford, Bercovici tallied 1,243 yards with nine touchdowns, two interceptions and one Hail Mary. It remains to be seen how he'll perform as a fulltime starter.
The Sun Devils will be without the services of wide receiver Jaelen Strong, who will be suiting up for the Houston Texans after being selecting in the third round of the NFL Draft. To fill the void at receiver, running back D.J. Foster is converting to the position. Though he led the team in rushing yards in 2014 (194 carries for 1,081 yards and nine rushing TDs), Foster also accumulated 62 receptions for 688 yards.
So which team comes out on top? We simulated the matchup 101 times and it's the Sun Devils winning 57.4 percent of the time by and average score of 31.6-28.8. For the rest of this week's predictions, check below:
|
College Football Week 1 Predictions |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| Matchup | Win % | Avg. Score | |
| Elon Phoenix | 5.0 | 9.0 | Box Score |
| @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 95.0 | 45.8 | |
| Alcorn State Braves | 5.0 | 8.5 | Box Score |
| @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 95.0 | 53.5 | |
| Rhode Island Rams | 5.0 | 6.4 | Box Score |
| @ Syracuse Orange | 95.0 | 43.2 | |
| Wofford Terriers | 5.0 | 8.8 | Box Score |
| @ Clemson Tigers | 95.0 | 48.7 | |
| Maine Black Bears | 5.0 | 9.1 | Box Score |
| @ Boston College Eagles | 95.0 | 45.9 | |
| Youngstown State Penguins | 5.0 | 6.5 | Box Score |
| @ Pittsburgh Panthers | 95.0 | 50.3 | |
| Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | 5.0 | 6.9 | Box Score |
| @ Miami (FL) Hurricanes | 95.0 | 48.3 | |
| Texas State Bobcats | 20.8 | 24.1 | Box Score |
| @ Florida State Seminoles | 79.2 | 34.1 | |
| Troy Trojans | 27.2 | 25.7 | Box Score |
| @ North Carolina State Wolfpack | 72.8 | 33.8 | |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | 74.3 | 31.4 | Box Score |
| @ Virginia Tech Hokies | 25.7 | 23.5 | |
| Southern Illinois Salukis | 5.0 | 7.4 | Box Score |
| @ Indiana Hoosiers | 95.0 | 46.8 | |
| Illinois State Redbirds | 5.0 | 6.1 | Box Score |
| @ Iowa Hawkeyes | 95.0 | 47.2 | |
| Richmond Spiders | 5.0 | 8.3 | Box Score |
| @ Maryland Terrapins | 95.0 | 48.5 | |
| Norfolk State Spartans | 5.0 | 7.0 | Box Score |
| @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 95.0 | 44.8 | |
| Kent State Golden Flashes | 24.3 | 26.4 | Box Score |
| @ Illinois Fighting Illini | 75.7 | 33.6 | |
| BYU Cougars | 44.6 | 26.6 | Box Score |
| @ Nebraska Cornhuskers | 55.4 | 29.3 | |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 69.3 | 32.1 | Box Score |
| @ Minnesota Golden Gophers | 30.7 | 25.8 | |
| Stanford Cardinal | 70.3 | 28.5 | Box Score |
| @ Northwestern Wildcats | 29.7 | 24.3 | |
| Stony Brook Seawolves | 5.0 | 7.6 | Box Score |
| @ Toledo Rockets | 95.0 | 46.8 | |
| VMI Keydets | 5.0 | 8.9 | Box Score |
| @ Ball State Cardinals | 95.0 | 46.6 | |
| Albany Great Danes | 5.0 | 8.8 | Box Score |
| @ Buffalo Bulls | 95.0 | 45.4 | |
| Presbyterian Blue Hose | 5.0 | 9.8 | Box Score |
| @ Miami (OH) RedHawks | 95.0 | 41.1 | |
| UNLV Rebels | 33.7 | 26.3 | Box Score |
| @ Northern Illinois Huskies | 66.3 | 31.2 | |
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 68.8 | 32.1 | Box Score |
| @ Eastern Michigan Eagles | 31.2 | 26.2 | |
| Oklahoma State Cowboys | 71.3 | 31.4 | Box Score |
| @ Central Michigan Chippewas | 28.7 | 22.8 | |
| Michigan State Spartans | 74.3 | 32.9 | Box Score |
| @ Western Michigan Broncos | 25.7 | 24.6 | |
| Weber State Wildcats | 5.0 | 8.4 | Box Score |
| @ Oregon State Beavers | 95.0 | 46.1 | |
| Portland State Vikings | 5.0 | 8.4 | Box Score |
| @ Washington State Cougars | 95.0 | 49.0 | |
| Grambling State Tigers | 5.0 | 7.0 | Box Score |
| @ California Golden Bears | 95.0 | 51.0 | |
| Eastern Washington Eagles | 5.0 | 8.6 | Box Score |
| @ Oregon Ducks | 95.0 | 57.6 | |
| UTSA Roadrunners | 21.8 | 22.0 | Box Score |
| @ Arizona Wildcats | 78.2 | 32.3 | |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 22.8 | 27.1 | Box Score |
| @ USC Trojans | 77.2 | 34.6 | |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 26.7 | 22.3 | Box Score |
| @ UCLA Bruins | 73.3 | 29.5 | |
| Michigan Wolverines | 47.1 | 24.8 | Box Score |
| @ Utah Utes | 52.9 | 25.5 | |
| UT Martin Skyhawks | 5.0 | 8.4 | Box Score |
| @ Ole Miss Rebels | 95.0 | 52.1 | |
| Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 5.0 | 8.8 | Box Score |
| @ Missouri Tigers | 95.0 | 48.2 | |
| McNeese State Cowboys | 5.0 | 7.8 | Box Score |
| @ LSU Tigers | 95.0 | 50.4 | |
| Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 10.9 | 20.9 | Box Score |
| @ Georgia Bulldogs | 89.1 | 33.8 | |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 13.9 | 20.9 | Box Score |
| @ Florida Gators | 86.1 | 33.2 | |
| Bowling Green Falcons | 31.7 | 26.7 | Box Score |
| @ Tennessee Volunteers | 68.3 | 33.8 | |
| UTEP Miners | 32.7 | 23.2 | Box Score |
| @ Arkansas Razorbacks | 67.3 | 30.1 | |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 33.7 | 27.7 | Box Score |
| @ South Carolina Gamecocks | 66.3 | 32.1 | |
| Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 36.6 | 26.0 | Box Score |
| @ Kentucky Wildcats | 63.4 | 30.2 | |
| Louisville Cardinals | 40.6 | 24.3 | Box Score |
| @ Auburn Tigers | 59.4 | 27.9 | |
| Wisconsin Badgers | 40.6 | 24.0 | Box Score |
| @ Alabama Crimson Tide | 59.4 | 26.4 | |
| Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 53.4 | 31.8 | Box Score |
| @ Vanderbilt Commodores | 46.6 | 31.1 | |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 57.4 | 31.6 | Box Score |
| @ Texas A&M Aggies | 42.6 | 28.8 | |
| Fordham Rams | 5.0 | 9.0 | Box Score |
| @ Army West Point Black Knights | 95.0 | 41.2 | |
| Texas Longhorns | 45.5 | 27.2 | Box Score |
| @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 54.5 | 29.4 | |
| UNI Panthers | 5.0 | 9.2 | Box Score |
| @ Iowa State Cyclones | 95.0 | 46.8 | |
| South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 5.0 | 6.9 | Box Score |
| @ Kansas Jayhawks | 95.0 | 42.2 | |
| South Dakota Coyotes | 5.0 | 6.5 | Box Score |
| @ Kansas State Wildcats | 95.0 | 50.5 | |
| Sam Houston State Bearkats | 5.0 | 6.8 | Box Score |
| @ Texas Tech Red Raiders | 95.0 | 51.7 | |
| Akron Zips | 21.8 | 22.3 | Box Score |
| @ Oklahoma Sooners | 78.2 | 33.0 | |
| Georgia Southern Eagles | 40.6 | 28.4 | Box Score |
| @ West Virginia Mountaineers | 59.4 | 31.0 | |
| Jackson State Tigers | 5.0 | 6.9 | Box Score |
| @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 95.0 | 45.0 | |
| Southern University Jaguars | 5.0 | 7.6 | Box Score |
| @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 95.0 | 45.4 | |
| Wagner Seahawks | 5.0 | 7.1 | Box Score |
| @ Rice Owls | 95.0 | 44.7 | |
| Purdue Boilermakers | 41.1 | 27.8 | Box Score |
| @ Marshall Thundering Herd | 58.9 | 30.0 | |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 74.3 | 34.0 | Box Score |
| @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 25.7 | 23.8 | |
| Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | 5.0 | 9.5 | Box Score |
| @ New Mexico Lobos | 95.0 | 46.4 | |
| San Diego Toreros | 5.0 | 7.3 | Box Score |
| @ San Diego State Aztecs | 95.0 | 47.0 | |
| Savannah State Tigers | 5.0 | 7.3 | Box Score |
| @ Colorado State Rams | 95.0 | 47.9 | |
| Morgan State Bears | 5.0 | 7.6 | Box Score |
| @ Air Force Falcons | 95.0 | 46.6 | |
| North Dakota | 5.0 | 7.2 | Box Score |
| @ Wyoming Cowboys | 95.0 | 45.9 | |
| Abilene Christian Wildcats | 5.0 | 8.5 | Box Score |
| @ Fresno State Bulldogs | 95.0 | 46.6 | |
| UC Davis Aggies | 5.0 | 7.5 | Box Score |
| @ Nevada Wolf Pack | 95.0 | 44.0 | |
| New Hampshire Wildcats | 5.0 | 7.7 | Box Score |
| @ San Jose State Spartans | 95.0 | 43.6 | |
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 5.0 | 7.9 | Box Score |
| @ Utah State Aggies | 95.0 | 48.3 | |
| Washington Huskies | 35.6 | 26.4 | Box Score |
| @ Boise State Broncos | 64.4 | 31.4 | |
| Colorado Buffaloes | 64.4 | 31.1 | Box Score |
| @ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 35.6 | 28.1 | |
| Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 5.0 | 6.9 | Box Score |
| @ South Alabama Jaguars | 95.0 | 41.6 | |
| Howard Bison | 5.0 | 8.1 | Box Score |
| @ Appalachian State Mountaineers | 95.0 | 46.6 | |
| Charlotte 49ers | 46.5 | 29.0 | Box Score |
| @ Georgia State Panthers | 53.5 | 30.7 | |
| Ohio Bobcats | 75.2 | 34.0 | Box Score |
| @ Idaho Vandals | 24.8 | 25.2 | |
| Villanova Wildcats | 5.0 | 7.2 | Box Score |
| @ Connecticut Huskies | 95.0 | 44.3 | |
| Colgate Raiders | 5.0 | 7.6 | Box Score |
| @ Navy Midshipmen | 95.0 | 48.1 | |
| Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 5.0 | 7.7 | Box Score |
| @ Cincinnati Bearcats | 95.0 | 49.0 | |
| Missouri State Bears | 5.0 | 9.2 | Box Score |
| @ Memphis Tigers | 95.0 | 47.9 | |
| Towson Tigers | 5.0 | 7.5 | Box Score |
| @ East Carolina Pirates | 95.0 | 49.5 | |
| Florida A&M Rattlers | 5.0 | 9.0 | Box Score |
| @ South Florida Bulls | 95.0 | 43.9 | |
| Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | 5.0 | 7.4 | Box Score |
| @ Houston Cougars | 95.0 | 48.5 | |
| FIU Golden Panthers | 29.7 | 21.5 | Box Score |
| @ UCF Knights | 70.3 | 26.8 | |
| Florida Atlantic Owls | 53.5 | 31.7 | Box Score |
| @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 46.5 | 29.8 | |
| Penn State Nittany Lions | 64.4 | 25.8 | Box Score |
| @ Temple Owls | 35.6 | 21.5 | |
| Duke Blue Devils | 69.3 | 28.9 | Box Score |
| @ Tulane Green Wave | 30.7 | 22.7 | |
| Baylor Bears | 88.1 | 35.8 | Box Score |
| @ SMU Mustangs | 11.9 | 20.9 | |
For additional statistics, view our weekly college football predictions.








































