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Let's get to Saturday's interesting facts, using DraftKings prices.
Five Things to Watch:
1 Here are the three highest projected over/unders, provided by OddsShark...
| Games | O/U |
|---|---|
| TOR/BOS | 9.5 |
| SEA/TEX | 9 |
| NY/BAL | 9 |
2. Weather: Watch out for thunderstorms in the Cubs, Indians, Reds and Cardinals game. As always, check Twitter before submitting your lineup.
3. You down with BvP? Yadier Molina is 10-for-20 against Jeff Samardzija lifetime 10-for-20 against Jeff Samardzija lifetime. Matt Wieters is 12-for-35 with 4 HR lifetime against Ivan Nova. Today isn't the day to skimp at catcher. Nick Castellanos is 1-for-16 against Chris Sale.
4. Your three biggest pitching favorites for the day: Clayton Kershaw at -400 against the Braves, Jason Hammel at -266 against Arizona and Stephen Strasburg -195 at Cincy.
5. Sneaky stack options: The White Sox aren't a team we normally stack, but Mike Pelfrey is 0-5 with a 4.96 ERA this season. People will be on the Cubs, but it's hard to shy away against vulnerable lefty Edwin Escobar.
Yesterday's recap:
Adam Meyer recommended Danny Salazar as his deal of the day, and he delivered. Salazar's final line: 8 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 9 K, W. Meyer also gave you Edwin Encarnacion, who homered. Let's move on to Saturday.
Must-Start of the day: Clayton Kershaw, LAD
Don't get cute. The Braves have the lowest team OPS (.607) in baseball. Kershaw has at least 30 points on Draft Kings in each of his last six starts, and he has 105 strikeouts in 86 innings. He's worth every penny of his $14,100 salary.
Deal of the day: Junior Guerra, MIL
If we get Kershaw, we'll likely need to save cash on our second pitcher. Guerra is a strikeout per inning guy this year, and Philadelphia is 29th in OPS. He should be able to outduel Jeremy Hellickson and pick up some good numbers.
Avoid of the day: Braves, Tigers and Reds bats
I want no part of Kershaw, Sale or Strasburg on Saturday, and I'll happily avoid all batters from those teams. Don't let the discounts fool you â they're priced that low for a reason. Go pick on the Mike Pelfreys of the world instead.
Stack of the day: Baltimore Orioles
In his career, Ivan Nova has allowed a whopping .957 lifetime OPS to the Orioles. Many of the bats in this lineup seem to have his number, and this game has a high projected run total (9) because of it. Trust the BvP, and get your Orioles going.
Starting pitchers:
Clayton Kershaw, LAD: "Must-start of the day"
Junior Guerra, MIL: "Deal of the day"
Stephen Strasburg, CIN: If you do fade Kershaw, which I don't recommend, Stras is one of the only guys who can really match his strikeout power. The Reds have struggled this year, and he's a big favorite to win even on the road. If you have to save a little over two grand, it's not a terrible move.
Catchers:
Matt Wieters, BAL: He's 12-for-35 with 4 HR lifetime against Ivan Nova.
Salvafor Perez, KC: 11-for-17 with a HR against Josh Tomlin.
First basemen:
Chris Davis, BAL: 9-for-29 with 3 HR against Nova.
Adrian Gonzalez, LAD: Hitting .325 over his last 10 and Bud Norris can give up the longball.
Second basemen:
Jonathan Schoop, BAL: Orioles stack against Nova.
Neil Walker, NYM: On fire lately (1.202 OPS over last ten games) and gets a favorable matchup against Justin Nicolino.
Third basemen:
Kyle Seager, SEA: 10-for-22 with 3 HR against Martin Perez lifetime.
Nolan Arenado, COL: 7-for-18 against Andrew Cashner lifetime.
Shortstops:
Xander Bogaerts, BOS: 1.143 OPS in 14 at-bats against Marcus Stroman.
Corey Seager, LAD: I like the idea of a mini-Dodgers stack with Gonzalez and Seager against Norris, given their prices.
Outfielders:
Nelson Cruz, SEA: Always dangerous against lefties â owns a .956 OPS against them this year.
Bryce Harper, WAS: Less than $5,000 in a hitter's park against Dan Straily? Yes, please.
Carlos Gonzalez, COL: On a tear with 6 HR in his last eight games.
Mark Trumbo, BAL: Orioles stack.
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