Tuesday night marked our first edition of Bubble Watch, where you can find out who has moved closer to securing an NCAA tournament bid on Selection Sunday and who is in danger of missing the field of 65.
BUY
MARQUETTE: Beat Louisville, 69-48
Record: 20-9, 11-6 (fifth in Big East)
RPI: 47
SOS: 52
Record vs. RPI Top 25: 2-6
Record vs. RPI Top 50: 4-7
Record vs. Current Top 25: 2-6
Signature wins: Xavier (neutral); Georgetown; at UConn
Bad losses: at DePaul; N.C. State
Outlook: The Golden Eagles punched their ticket with the home win against Louisville and are now playing with house money in the regular-season finale. This is a team that has overachieved as much as any in the country.
Remaining: Saturday vs. Notre Dame
MISSOURI: Beat Iowa State in overtime, 69-67.
Record: 22-8, 10-5 (tied for third in Big 12)
RPI: 31
SOS: 51
Record vs. RPI Top 25: 2-5
Record vs. RPI Top 50: 4-6
Record vs. Current Top 25: 2-5
Signature wins: Kansas State, Texas, Oklahoma
Bad losses: at Oral Roberts, at Oklahoma
Outlook: It wasn't pretty in Ames against Iowa State, but a win is a win and the Tigers have now won four of the last five heading into the regular-season finale against the Jayhawks.
Remaining: Saturday vs. Kansas
UTEP : Beat Marshall, 80-76.
Record: 23-5, 14-1 (first in C-USA)
RPI: 44
SOS: 129
Record vs. RPI Top 25: 0-1
Record vs. RPI Top 50: 1-1
Record vs. Current Top 25: 0-1
Signature wins: at UAB
Bad losses: at Houston
Outlook: The Miners have a weak non-conference schedule but have won 13 consecutive games and barring a collapse in the matchup against UAB and in the C-USA tourney, Tony Barbee's team can punch its ticket.
Remaining: Saturday vs. UAB
DEFENSIVE BUY
GEORGIA TECH : Lost to Clemson, 91-79.
Record: 19-10, 7-8 (seventh in ACC)
RPI: 35
SOS: 21
Record vs. RPI Top 25: 1-2
Record vs. RPI Top 50: 4-7
Record vs. Current Top 25: 1-3
Signature wins: Duke
Bad losses: at Virginia, at Georgia, at Miami
Outlook: The Yellow Jackets are in somewhat of a must-win situation in their regular-season finale at home against Virginia Tech. Paul Hewitt's team has lost four of its last six overall, but it would be difficult to keep Georgia Tech out if it can finish 8-8 in league play.
Remaining: Saturday vs. Virginia Tech
LOUISVILLE: Lost to Marquette, 69-48
Record: 19-11, 10-7 (sixth in Big East)
RPI: 38
SOS: 5
Record vs. RPI Top 25: 1-5
Record vs. RPI Top 50: 3-7
Record vs. Current Top 25: 1-5
Signature wins: at Syracuse; UConn (swept)
Bad losses: Western Carolina; Charlotte; at St. John's
Outlook: The Cardinals are still in decent shape thanks to the road win at Syracuse, but Rick Pitino's team could truly use another one against Jim Boeheim's team this weekend.
Remaining: Saturday vs. Syracuse
HOLD
FLORIDA: Lost to Vanderbilt, 64-60.
Record: 20-10, 9-6 (fourth in SEC East)
RPI: 51
SOS: 39
Record vs. RPI Top 25: 2-6
Record vs. RPI Top 50: 3-7
Record vs. Current Top 25: 2-6
Signature wins: Michigan State (neutral); Tennessee; Florida State
Bad losses: South Alabama; at Georgia
Outlook: The Gators would have been in terrific shape with a home win against Vandy, but it didn't happen and now Billy Donovan's team finishes with a tough one in Lexington against Kentucky. Florida may need a win in the SEC tourney to get back into the NCAA tournament.
Remaining: Sunday at Kentucky
ILLINOIS : Lost to Ohio State, 73-57.
Record: 18-12, 10-7 (fifth in Big Ten)
RPI: 72
SOS: 46
Record vs. RPI Top 25: 3-4
Record vs. RPI Top 50: 4-7
Record vs. Current Top 25: 3-6
Signature wins: at Wisconsin; Vanderbilt; Michigan State
Bad losses: Utah (neutral); Bradley (neutral); Minnesota
Outlook: The Illini have now lost four of their last five, and the one that could really hurt is the home setback against Minnesota. Bruce Weber's team could certainly use a win in the regular-season finale at home against the Badgers.
Remaining: Sunday vs. Wisconsin
SELL
CINCINNATI: Lost to Villanova, 77-73.
Record: 16-13, 7-10 (12th in Big East)
RPI: 62
SOS: 11
Record vs. RPI Top 25: 2-5
Record vs. RPI Top 50: 4-8
Record vs. Current Top 25: 2-6
Signature wins: Vanderbilt, Maryland, UConn (swept)
Bad losses: at St. John's
Outlook: The Bearcats needed a win against 'Nova to get in the mix, but now Mick Cronin's team is almost certainly NIT-bound. A win at Georgetown this weekend and a few wins in the Big East tourney are Cincinnati's only hope.
Remaining: Saturday at Georgetown
MINNESOTA: Lost to Michigan, 83-55.
Record: 17-12, 8-9 (sixth in Big Ten)
RPI: 78
SOS: 48
Record vs. RPI Top 25: 2-5
Record vs. RPI Top 50: 3-6
Record vs. Current Top 25: 3-6
Signature wins: Ohio State; Butler (neutral); Wisconsin
Bad losses: at Indiana; Michigan (swept); at Miami
Outlook: This one -- a drubbing at the hands of an average Michigan team -- should basically eliminate the Gophers from having any shot. Stick a fork in them.
Remaining: Sunday vs. Iowa
*RPI and SOS rankings are from CollegeRPI.com
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