Carly Cooperman

Polls, forecasts and prediction markets flash alarm bells for Republicans as Democrats eye their largest House majority since 2009 in the midterms.

Trump's 38% approval and a 9-point generic congressional ballot gap signal a red retreat, but Democrats lack a mandate to govern from the left.

Trump's approval below 40% and inflation concerns fuel Democratic momentum, but Republicans retain cash advantages ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.

Democrats are within striking distance of flipping the Senate, but razor-thin margins and candidate flaws in Texas, Michigan and Maine loom large.

Campaign season is heating up. The president and his team are struggling to craft a compelling message that resonates with young voters about why they should vote for Biden in 2024.

Elections tend to be a referendum on the incumbent. And so far, the polls show that voters feel better about how their quality of life was under Trump than it is under Biden,