Things Aren't Always as They Seem
{{#rendered}} {{/rendered}}He was not supposed to win the presidency.
His incumbent opponent hoped he'd be the guy to challenge him for the presidency.
He was too conservative.
{{#rendered}} {{/rendered}}Too Hollywood. Too extreme. Too much.
He was Ronald Reagan. And he won.
Before that, the incumbent he beat was a challenger four years earlier thought easy to beat.
{{#rendered}} {{/rendered}}A peanut farmer. An outsider. A certain loser.
But that year, at that time, Jimmy Carter was a winner.
Nothing profound here, save this.
{{#rendered}} {{/rendered}}Beware snapshot judgments.
They are only images for the moment, at that moment.
They rarely last.
{{#rendered}} {{/rendered}}A timely message for those who say Hillary Clinton is a sure thing for her nomination.
She's not.
And if she gets the nomination, her extreme negatives will prevent her getting elected.
{{#rendered}} {{/rendered}}They won't.
That's not me saying that. That's history proving that.
The unelectable who got elected.
{{#rendered}} {{/rendered}}The surely electable who got rejected.
I remember in 1994 Bill Clinton was clamoring for relevance when all thought he was a one-termer.
He wasn't.
{{#rendered}} {{/rendered}}Or back in 1982 when a recession gripped the nation and Ronald Reagan was certain to implode.
He didn't.
Right now experts are saying Republicans are in disarray and certain to lose.
{{#rendered}} {{/rendered}}As things stand now, they're probably right.
They are in disarray. And they are in trouble.
Just like Harry Truman was in trouble in 1948 and certain to lose — until conventional wisdom gave way to voters' wisdom.
{{#rendered}} {{/rendered}}When the consensus proved wrong.
And having a healthy dose of skepticism for it proved right.
Click here to order your signed copy of Neil's new book, "Your Money or Your Life."
{{#rendered}} {{/rendered}}Watch Neil Cavuto weekdays at 4 p.m. ET on "Your World with Cavuto" and send your comments to cavuto@foxnews.com