With Caleb Williams playing at an MVP level and Ben Johnson leading one of the most explosive offenses in the league, Chicago was just missing that defensive piece.
And now it has it.
The Bears acquired defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons and a 2028 fifth-round pick from the Titans in exchange for first-round picks in 2027 and 2028, and a 2027 fourth-round pick.
See how much the blockbuster move has boosted Chicago’s Super Bowl chances in the latest odds at DraftKings Sportsbook as of Oct. 29.
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Super Bowl LXI Odds
49ers: +580
Bills: +700
Chiefs: +900
Seahawks: +1000
Rams: +1100
Bears: +1100
Jaguars: +1200
Ravens: +1300
Bengals: +1600
Vikings: +1700
Patriots: +1900
Broncos: +1900
Lions: +2100
Packers: +3200
Cowboys: +3200
Texans: +3500
Panthers: +5500
Steelers: +6500
Falcons: +6500
Giants: +8000
Buccaneers: +10000
Commanders: +12500
Raiders: +15000
Browns: +15000
Saints: +25000
Eagles: +30000
Colts: +30000
Chargers: +60000
Jets: +80000
Cardinals: +80000
Titans: +100000
Dolphins: +100000
Here's what to know about the Super Bowl LXI oddsboard:
Bears Go All In: Chicago’s defense has struggled in the past two seasons, but Simmons gives that unit a major boost up front. Since the start of 2025, he leads all defensive tackles in sacks (15), tackles for loss (23), pressures after a double-team (28), quick pressures (31), turnovers caused by pressure (six) and third-down sacks (9.5). His 85 total pressures are also tied for the most at the position. The price was historic, as Simmons became the first defensive tackle in the common draft era (since 1967) to be traded for multiple first-round picks. For a Bears team with an offense capable of making a deep run, his ability to disrupt opposing quarterbacks could help Chicago take the next step. As a result of the trade, the Bears Super Bowl odds have jumped from +1400 to +1100, which is now tied for fifth on the oddsboard.
The Favorite: The 49ers remain the outright Super Bowl favorites, but their odds have slipped from +540 to +580 after their first loss of the season against the Falcons. San Francisco is now 5-1, and the injuries continue to pile up. Brock Purdy has been playing at an MVP level, but with a growing injury list and the Rams and Seahawks rounding into form, how much longer can the 49ers hold on to the top spot?
NFC West: The Rams got back on track with a huge road win over the Raiders on Sunday, as Matthew Stafford became the franchise’s all-time passing touchdown leader. With Myles Garrett expected back soon, L.A. could have the pieces to overcome its slow start. Meanwhile, the Seahawks dominated the Chiefs, holding Kansas City to its fewest total yards (213), first downs (11) and red-zone drives (zero) in any regular season game started by Patrick Mahomes. With one of the NFL’s best defenses and Jaxon Smith-Njigba playing at a historic level, Seattle is making its case to go back-to-back.
Steelers and Cowboys Rise: The Steelers improved to 5-2 with an impressive win over the Saints in France, and history is on their side. Pittsburgh has made the postseason in 10 of the previous 11 seasons in which it started 5-2 or better. Aaron Rodgers also reached two milestones, joining Tom Brady as the only quarterbacks with 20 wins at age 40 or older and throwing his 540th career touchdown pass to move past Peyton Manning for third all-time. Does the Rodgers-Mike McCarthy duo have one more Super Bowl run in them? Vegas is warming to the idea, as Pittsburgh’s odds surged from +12000 to +6500. The Cowboys also moved up the Super Bowl oddsboard from +3500 to +3200 after earning their first win in Philadelphia since 2021. Dallas is now 24-9 in division games since 2021, tied for the best record in the NFL over that span. Dak Prescott also moved into second place on the Cowboys’ all-time quarterback wins list with 86, passing Hall of Famer Roger Staubach and trailing only Troy Aikman (94). While Dallas boasts one of the league’s best offenses, its defense remains a major concern. The Cowboys have allowed at least 20 points in 14 straight games, the longest streak in franchise history and the longest active streak in the NFL by eight games.
