Fox News Voter Analysis

Age, 4 categories
18-29 374 13% Kyrsten Sinema 62% Martha McSally 34% Another candidate 4% 30-44 662 22% Kyrsten Sinema 55% Martha McSally 42% Another candidate 3% 45-64 1,473 36% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 49% Another candidate 3% 65 or over 1,580 29% Kyrsten Sinema 44% Martha McSally 55% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 4,089 Respondents

Age, 2 categories
18-44 1,036 35% Kyrsten Sinema 58% Martha McSally 39% Another candidate 3% 45+ 3,053 65% Kyrsten Sinema 46% Martha McSally 52% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,089 Respondents

Age, granular
18-24 162 6% Kyrsten Sinema 62% Martha McSally 33% Another candidate 5% 25-29 212 7% Kyrsten Sinema 62% Martha McSally 35% Another candidate 3% 30-39 473 15% Kyrsten Sinema 54% Martha McSally 44% Another candidate 3% 40-49 434 15% Kyrsten Sinema 53% Martha McSally 43% Another candidate 4% 50-64 1,228 28% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 2% 65+ 1,580 29% Kyrsten Sinema 44% Martha McSally 55% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 4,089 Respondents

Race/Ethnicity
White 3,302 71% Kyrsten Sinema 44% Martha McSally 53% Another candidate 2% African American or Black 111 5% Kyrsten Sinema 87% Martha McSally 10% Another candidate 4% Latino or Hispanic 422 16% Kyrsten Sinema 68% Martha McSally 30% Another candidate 3% Other 254 7% Kyrsten Sinema 39% Martha McSally 58% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,089 Respondents

Race/Ethnicity, 2 categories
White 3,302 71% Kyrsten Sinema 44% Martha McSally 53% Another candidate 2% Non-white 787 29% Kyrsten Sinema 64% Martha McSally 33% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,089 Respondents

Education, 4 categories
High school or less 386 21% Kyrsten Sinema 49% Martha McSally 48% Another candidate 3% Some college/assoc. degree 1,598 38% Kyrsten Sinema 47% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 3% College graduate 1,215 26% Kyrsten Sinema 49% Martha McSally 49% Another candidate 1% Postgraduate study 895 16% Kyrsten Sinema 59% Martha McSally 40% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 4,094 Respondents

Education, 2 categories
No college degree 1,984 59% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 49% Another candidate 3% College degree 2,110 41% Kyrsten Sinema 53% Martha McSally 46% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 4,094 Respondents

Income
Under $25,000 394 12% Kyrsten Sinema 62% Martha McSally 31% Another candidate 7% $25,000-$49,999 963 23% Kyrsten Sinema 53% Martha McSally 45% Another candidate 3% $50,000-$74,999 870 20% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 2% $75,000-$99,999 758 15% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 51% Another candidate 1% $100,000 or more 1,067 29% Kyrsten Sinema 44% Martha McSally 55% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 4,052 Respondents

Income, 3 categories
Under $50,000 1,357 35% Kyrsten Sinema 56% Martha McSally 40% Another candidate 4% $50,000-$99,999 1,628 36% Kyrsten Sinema 49% Martha McSally 49% Another candidate 2% $100,000 or more 1,067 29% Kyrsten Sinema 44% Martha McSally 55% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 4,052 Respondents

Income, 2 categories
Under $50,000 1,357 35% Kyrsten Sinema 56% Martha McSally 40% Another candidate 4% $50,000 or more 2,695 65% Kyrsten Sinema 47% Martha McSally 51% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 4,052 Respondents

Party ID with leaners
Democrat/Lean Dem 1,815 41% Kyrsten Sinema 95% Martha McSally 3% Another candidate 1% Republican/Lean Rep 1,895 47% Kyrsten Sinema 10% Martha McSally 89% Another candidate 1% Independent 387 12% Kyrsten Sinema 54% Martha McSally 36% Another candidate 10%
Sample: 4,097 Respondents

Ideology - 3 categories
Liberal 1,218 27% Kyrsten Sinema 91% Martha McSally 7% Another candidate 2% Moderate 1,359 34% Kyrsten Sinema 60% Martha McSally 36% Another candidate 4% Conservative 1,509 38% Kyrsten Sinema 12% Martha McSally 87% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 4,086 Respondents

Party with leaners, ideology
Liberal Democrat 1,120 24% Kyrsten Sinema 96% Martha McSally 3% Another candidate 1% Conserv/Moderate Democrat 692 17% Kyrsten Sinema 94% Martha McSally 5% Another candidate 1% Independent 387 12% Kyrsten Sinema 54% Martha McSally 36% Another candidate 10% Moderate/Liberal Republican 535 13% Kyrsten Sinema 21% Martha McSally 76% Another candidate 3% Conservative Republican 1,358 34% Kyrsten Sinema 5% Martha McSally 94% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 4,092 Respondents

Community type
Urban 1,038 26% Kyrsten Sinema 59% Martha McSally 39% Another candidate 2% Suburban 2,147 49% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 2% Small town 473 13% Kyrsten Sinema 39% Martha McSally 58% Another candidate 4% Rural 425 12% Kyrsten Sinema 49% Martha McSally 48% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,083 Respondents

Community type
Urban 1,038 26% Kyrsten Sinema 59% Martha McSally 39% Another candidate 2% Suburban 2,147 49% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 2% Small town/Rural 898 25% Kyrsten Sinema 44% Martha McSally 53% Another candidate 4%
Sample: 4,083 Respondents

Education 2 categories, sizeplace 3 categories
Urban college 519 11% Kyrsten Sinema 63% Martha McSally 35% Another candidate 1% Suburban college 1,243 24% Kyrsten Sinema 50% Martha McSally 49% Another candidate 1% Small town/Rural college 343 7% Kyrsten Sinema 47% Martha McSally 51% Another candidate 2% Urban non-college 519 16% Kyrsten Sinema 56% Martha McSally 41% Another candidate 3% Suburban non-college 902 25% Kyrsten Sinema 47% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 3% Small town/Rural non-college 554 18% Kyrsten Sinema 42% Martha McSally 54% Another candidate 4%
Sample: 4,080 Respondents

Religion
Protestant 961 21% Kyrsten Sinema 36% Martha McSally 62% Another candidate 2% Catholic 836 22% Kyrsten Sinema 53% Martha McSally 46% Another candidate 2% Mormon 119 3% Kyrsten Sinema 21% Martha McSally 78% Another candidate 1% Other Christian 631 18% Kyrsten Sinema 40% Martha McSally 57% Another candidate 3% Jewish 198 3% Kyrsten Sinema 69% Martha McSally 29% Another candidate 2% Muslim 11 0% Something else 285 8% Kyrsten Sinema 60% Martha McSally 35% Another candidate 5% None 1,034 25% Kyrsten Sinema 64% Martha McSally 33% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,075 Respondents

Religion, 4 categories
Protestant/Other Christian 1,592 39% Kyrsten Sinema 38% Martha McSally 60% Another candidate 2% Catholic 836 22% Kyrsten Sinema 53% Martha McSally 46% Another candidate 2% Other 613 14% Kyrsten Sinema 53% Martha McSally 44% Another candidate 3% Unaffiliated 1,034 25% Kyrsten Sinema 64% Martha McSally 33% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,075 Respondents

White, religion
White Protestant/Other Christian 1,324 29% Kyrsten Sinema 31% Martha McSally 67% Another candidate 2% White Catholic 613 13% Kyrsten Sinema 39% Martha McSally 59% Another candidate 1% White other 500 11% Kyrsten Sinema 52% Martha McSally 46% Another candidate 2% White no religion 853 19% Kyrsten Sinema 65% Martha McSally 33% Another candidate 2% Non-whites 779 29% Kyrsten Sinema 64% Martha McSally 33% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,069 Respondents

White evangelical
White evangelical/white born-again Christians 155 13% Kyrsten Sinema 20% Martha McSally 75% Another candidate 5% All others 852 87% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 46% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,007 Respondents

Church attendance
Never 361 36% Kyrsten Sinema 53% Martha McSally 44% Another candidate 3% A few times a year or less 290 28% Kyrsten Sinema 49% Martha McSally 46% Another candidate 4% About once a month 50 6% A few times a month 80 8% Once a week or more 220 22% Kyrsten Sinema 30% Martha McSally 67% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,001 Respondents

Church attendance, 2 categories
At least monthly 350 35% Kyrsten Sinema 38% Martha McSally 60% Another candidate 2% Less often 651 65% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 45% Another candidate 4%
Sample: 1,001 Respondents

Gun owner, full distribution
Gun owner, self 321 32% Kyrsten Sinema 31% Martha McSally 66% Another candidate 3% Gun in household 159 15% Kyrsten Sinema 50% Martha McSally 49% Another candidate 1% No 554 53% Kyrsten Sinema 59% Martha McSally 38% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 1,034 Respondents

Gun household
Gun in household 480 47% Kyrsten Sinema 37% Martha McSally 61% Another candidate 2% No gun in household 554 53% Kyrsten Sinema 59% Martha McSally 38% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 1,034 Respondents

Veteran, full distribution
Veteran, self 681 18% Kyrsten Sinema 37% Martha McSally 62% Another candidate 1% Veteran in household 827 19% Kyrsten Sinema 45% Martha McSally 52% Another candidate 3% No 2,586 64% Kyrsten Sinema 55% Martha McSally 42% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,094 Respondents

Veteran household
Veteran household 1,508 36% Kyrsten Sinema 41% Martha McSally 57% Another candidate 2% Non veteran household 2,586 64% Kyrsten Sinema 55% Martha McSally 42% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,094 Respondents

Union member, full distribution
Union member, self 48 5% Union member in household 29 2% No 948 93% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 48% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 1,025 Respondents

Union household
Union household 77 7% Non union in household 948 93% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 48% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 1,025 Respondents

LGBT ID
Yes 54 7% No 953 93% Kyrsten Sinema 46% Martha McSally 51% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,007 Respondents

Direction of the country
Right direction 1,753 47% Kyrsten Sinema 14% Martha McSally 84% Another candidate 2% Wrong direction 2,304 53% Kyrsten Sinema 82% Martha McSally 15% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,057 Respondents

Life for the next generation of Americans will be
Better than life today 210 25% Kyrsten Sinema 36% Martha McSally 62% Another candidate 2% Worse than life today 532 49% Kyrsten Sinema 63% Martha McSally 34% Another candidate 3% About the same 264 26% Kyrsten Sinema 49% Martha McSally 48% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,006 Respondents

Feelings toward federal government
Enthusiastic 46 6% Satisfied, but not enthusiastic 175 18% Kyrsten Sinema 23% Martha McSally 74% Another candidate 3% Dissatisfied, but not angry 475 47% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 46% Another candidate 3% Angry 316 28% Kyrsten Sinema 82% Martha McSally 15% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,012 Respondents

Feelings toward federal government, 2 categories
Enthusiastic/Satisfied 221 25% Kyrsten Sinema 22% Martha McSally 76% Another candidate 2% Dissatisfied/Angry 791 75% Kyrsten Sinema 62% Martha McSally 35% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,012 Respondents

Views of government's role
Government should do more to solve problems 476 48% Kyrsten Sinema 77% Martha McSally 20% Another candidate 3% Government doing too many things better left to business and individuals 519 52% Kyrsten Sinema 29% Martha McSally 68% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 995 Respondents

Trump job approval
Approve 1,835 49% Kyrsten Sinema 10% Martha McSally 89% Another candidate 2% Disapprove 2,251 51% Kyrsten Sinema 88% Martha McSally 9% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,086 Respondents

Was Trump a reason for vote, 2 categories
Trump was a factor 2,740 67% Kyrsten Sinema 55% Martha McSally 44% Another candidate 2% Trump was not a factor 1,333 33% Kyrsten Sinema 41% Martha McSally 55% Another candidate 4%
Sample: 4,073 Respondents

Congress job approval
Approve 162 20% Kyrsten Sinema 24% Martha McSally 75% Another candidate 2% Disapprove 844 80% Kyrsten Sinema 60% Martha McSally 37% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,006 Respondents

Trump administration ethics compared with previous administrations
More ethical 228 25% Kyrsten Sinema 7% Martha McSally 91% Another candidate 1% Less ethical 539 50% Kyrsten Sinema 91% Martha McSally 6% Another candidate 3% About the same 249 24% Kyrsten Sinema 18% Martha McSally 77% Another candidate 4%
Sample: 1,016 Respondents

Condition of national economy
Excellent 121 13% Kyrsten Sinema 13% Martha McSally 87% Another candidate 0% Good 582 55% Kyrsten Sinema 44% Martha McSally 55% Another candidate 1% Not so good 271 27% Kyrsten Sinema 81% Martha McSally 17% Another candidate 3% Poor 47 5%
Sample: 1,021 Respondents

Condition of national economy, 2 categories
Excellent/Good 703 68% Kyrsten Sinema 38% Martha McSally 61% Another candidate 1% Not so good/Poor 318 32% Kyrsten Sinema 82% Martha McSally 15% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,021 Respondents

Family's financial situation
Getting ahead 793 22% Kyrsten Sinema 28% Martha McSally 71% Another candidate 1% Holding steady 2,708 62% Kyrsten Sinema 53% Martha McSally 45% Another candidate 3% Falling behind 592 16% Kyrsten Sinema 69% Martha McSally 28% Another candidate 4%
Sample: 4,093 Respondents

Views on abortion
Legal in all cases 287 28% Kyrsten Sinema 72% Martha McSally 23% Another candidate 5% Legal in most cases 372 37% Kyrsten Sinema 50% Martha McSally 48% Another candidate 2% Illegal in most cases 252 27% Kyrsten Sinema 22% Martha McSally 76% Another candidate 2% Illegal in all cases 82 8%
Sample: 993 Respondents

Views on abortion, 2 categories
Legal in all/most cases 659 65% Kyrsten Sinema 60% Martha McSally 37% Another candidate 3% Illegal in all/most cases 334 35% Kyrsten Sinema 22% Martha McSally 76% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 993 Respondents

Views of immigrants in the U.S.
Do more to help the country 636 61% Kyrsten Sinema 73% Martha McSally 25% Another candidate 1% Do more to hurt the country 370 39% Kyrsten Sinema 21% Martha McSally 78% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 1,006 Respondents

Support for raising taxes to increase funding for public schools in state
Strongly favor 900 21% Kyrsten Sinema 81% Martha McSally 17% Another candidate 2% Somewhat favor 1,468 35% Kyrsten Sinema 56% Martha McSally 41% Another candidate 3% Somewhat oppose 976 24% Kyrsten Sinema 35% Martha McSally 63% Another candidate 2% Strongly oppose 732 19% Kyrsten Sinema 24% Martha McSally 73% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,076 Respondents

Support for raising taxes to increase funding for public schools in state, 2 categories
Strongly/Somewhat favor 2,368 57% Kyrsten Sinema 65% Martha McSally 32% Another candidate 3% Strongly/Somewhat oppose 1,708 43% Kyrsten Sinema 30% Martha McSally 67% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,076 Respondents

Views of gun laws
Should be more strict 652 57% Kyrsten Sinema 73% Martha McSally 25% Another candidate 2% Should be less strict 63 8% Should be kept as they are 330 36% Kyrsten Sinema 19% Martha McSally 79% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 1,045 Respondents

Government responsibility to provide healthcare
Government should be responsible 586 52% Kyrsten Sinema 80% Martha McSally 17% Another candidate 3% Government should not be responsible 453 48% Kyrsten Sinema 15% Martha McSally 84% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 1,039 Respondents

Should use of marijuana be legal nationwide
Yes, legal 594 64% Kyrsten Sinema 57% Martha McSally 39% Another candidate 4% No 405 36% Kyrsten Sinema 29% Martha McSally 69% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 999 Respondents

Trump administration impact on U.S. safety - terrorism
Made the U.S. safer 433 47% Kyrsten Sinema 10% Martha McSally 88% Another candidate 2% Made the U.S. less safe 388 32% Kyrsten Sinema 93% Martha McSally 5% Another candidate 1% Hasn't made much difference 223 21% Kyrsten Sinema 66% Martha McSally 30% Another candidate 4%
Sample: 1,044 Respondents

Trump administration impact on U.S. safety - crime
Made the U.S. safer 305 34% Kyrsten Sinema 7% Martha McSally 91% Another candidate 2% Made the U.S. less safe 391 34% Kyrsten Sinema 92% Martha McSally 7% Another candidate 1% Hasn't made much difference 343 32% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 48% Another candidate 4%
Sample: 1,039 Respondents

Trump administration impact on U.S. safety - cyberattacks
Made the U.S. safer 242 28% Kyrsten Sinema 9% Martha McSally 90% Another candidate 1% Made the U.S. less safe 426 37% Kyrsten Sinema 91% Martha McSally 7% Another candidate 2% Hasn't made much difference 365 35% Kyrsten Sinema 39% Martha McSally 58% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,033 Respondents

Opinion of Donald Trump
Very favorable 300 31% Kyrsten Sinema 5% Martha McSally 93% Another candidate 2% Somewhat favorable 148 17% Kyrsten Sinema 13% Martha McSally 86% Another candidate 2% Somewhat unfavorable 74 8% Very unfavorable 462 45% Kyrsten Sinema 88% Martha McSally 8% Another candidate 4% Don't know enough to say 0 0%
Sample: 984 Respondents

Opinion of Donald Trump, 2 categories
Very/Somewhat favorable 448 48% Kyrsten Sinema 8% Martha McSally 91% Another candidate 2% Very/Somewhat unfavorable 536 52% Kyrsten Sinema 84% Martha McSally 12% Another candidate 4% Don't know enough to say 0 0%
Sample: 984 Respondents

Opinion of the Democratic Party
Very favorable 115 14% Kyrsten Sinema 95% Martha McSally 4% Another candidate 1% Somewhat favorable 308 28% Kyrsten Sinema 86% Martha McSally 12% Another candidate 3% Somewhat unfavorable 168 16% Kyrsten Sinema 37% Martha McSally 60% Another candidate 3% Very unfavorable 380 42% Kyrsten Sinema 8% Martha McSally 89% Another candidate 3% Don't know enough to say 0 0%
Sample: 971 Respondents

Opinion of the Democratic Party, 2 categories
Very/Somewhat favorable 423 42% Kyrsten Sinema 89% Martha McSally 9% Another candidate 2% Very/Somewhat unfavorable 548 58% Kyrsten Sinema 16% Martha McSally 81% Another candidate 3% Don't know enough to say 0 0%
Sample: 971 Respondents

Opinion of the Republican Party
Very favorable 199 21% Kyrsten Sinema 2% Martha McSally 96% Another candidate 2% Somewhat favorable 252 27% Kyrsten Sinema 12% Martha McSally 84% Another candidate 4% Somewhat unfavorable 158 17% Kyrsten Sinema 63% Martha McSally 36% Another candidate 1% Very unfavorable 360 35% Kyrsten Sinema 90% Martha McSally 8% Another candidate 3% Don't know enough to say 0 0%
Sample: 969 Respondents

Opinion of the Republican Party, 2 categories
Very/Somewhat favorable 451 47% Kyrsten Sinema 8% Martha McSally 89% Another candidate 3% Very/Somewhat unfavorable 518 53% Kyrsten Sinema 81% Martha McSally 17% Another candidate 2% Don't know enough to say 0 0%
Sample: 969 Respondents

Combined Rep Party and Trump favorability
Favorable view of Rep Party and Trump 402 43% Kyrsten Sinema 5% Martha McSally 94% Another candidate 2% Favorable view of Rep Party, unfavorable view of Trump 41 4% Favorable view of Trump, unfavorable view of Rep Party 38 5% Unfavorable view of Rep Party and Trump 477 48% Kyrsten Sinema 88% Martha McSally 9% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 958 Respondents

Combined party favorability
Favorable view of both parties 43 5% Favorable view of Rep Party, unfavorable view of Dem Party 403 43% Kyrsten Sinema 3% Martha McSally 95% Another candidate 2% Favorable view of Dem Party, unfavorable view of Rep Party 368 37% Kyrsten Sinema 93% Martha McSally 6% Another candidate 1% Unfavorable view of parties 142 16% Kyrsten Sinema 52% Martha McSally 43% Another candidate 5%
Sample: 956 Respondents

Advance vote
Election Day 723 23% Kyrsten Sinema 46% Martha McSally 51% Another candidate 3% Early/Absentee 3,214 77% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 46% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 3,937 Respondents

Senate vote
Democratic candidate for Senate 2,179 50% Kyrsten Sinema 100% Martha McSally 0% Another candidate 0% Republican candidate for Senate 1,776 48% Kyrsten Sinema 0% Martha McSally 100% Another candidate 0% Independent candidate for Senate 0 0% Another candidate 142 2% Kyrsten Sinema 0% Martha McSally 0% Another candidate 100% Undecided 0 0%
Sample: 4,097 Respondents

Governor vote
Democratic candidate for Governor 1,750 42% Kyrsten Sinema 94% Martha McSally 4% Another candidate 2% Republican candidate for Governor 2,209 56% Kyrsten Sinema 17% Martha McSally 81% Another candidate 2% Independent candidate for Governor 0 0% Another candidate 116 2% Kyrsten Sinema 32% Martha McSally 30% Another candidate 38% Undecided 0 0%
Sample: 4,075 Respondents

Interview date
10/29/2018 177 4% Kyrsten Sinema 58% Martha McSally 41% Another candidate 2% 10/30/2018 177 4% Kyrsten Sinema 54% Martha McSally 45% Another candidate 1% 10/31/2018 509 12% Kyrsten Sinema 52% Martha McSally 46% Another candidate 2% 11/1/2018 494 11% Kyrsten Sinema 52% Martha McSally 46% Another candidate 2% 11/2/2018 568 13% Kyrsten Sinema 46% Martha McSally 51% Another candidate 3% 11/3/2018 701 17% Kyrsten Sinema 50% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 3% 11/4/2018 647 17% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 2% 11/5/2018 484 13% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 2% 11/6/2018 340 9% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 49% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,097 Respondents

AP Party Region
Mod Democrat 832 20% Kyrsten Sinema 58% Martha McSally 40% Another candidate 2% Maricopa County 2,486 60% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 2% Mod Republican 779 19% Kyrsten Sinema 38% Martha McSally 59% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,097 Respondents

AP Region
Maricopa County 2,486 60% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 2% Pima County 749 16% Kyrsten Sinema 57% Martha McSally 41% Another candidate 2% Rest of State 862 23% Kyrsten Sinema 43% Martha McSally 54% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,097 Respondents

Race/Ethnicity
White 3,302 71% Kyrsten Sinema 44% Martha McSally 53% Another candidate 2% African American or Black 111 5% Kyrsten Sinema 87% Martha McSally 10% Another candidate 4% Latino or Hispanic 422 16% Kyrsten Sinema 68% Martha McSally 30% Another candidate 3% Asian 77 2% American Indian, Native American or Alaska Native 35 1% Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander 4 0% Other 138 4% Kyrsten Sinema 38% Martha McSally 59% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,089 Respondents

Straight Party ID (no leaners)
Democrat 1,369 31% Kyrsten Sinema 96% Martha McSally 3% Another candidate 1% Republican 1,499 38% Kyrsten Sinema 9% Martha McSally 90% Another candidate 1% Neither 1,229 31% Kyrsten Sinema 54% Martha McSally 41% Another candidate 5%
Sample: 4,097 Respondents

FOX DGAU
1 380 9% Kyrsten Sinema 33% Martha McSally 63% Another candidate 3% 7 83 4% 2 228 5% Kyrsten Sinema 43% Martha McSally 54% Another candidate 3% 3 112 3% Kyrsten Sinema 41% Martha McSally 56% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,097 Respondents

Likely Voter Model
Likely voter 4,097 100% Kyrsten Sinema 50% Martha McSally 48% Another candidate 2% Nonvoter 0 0%
Sample: 4,097 Respondents

How likely are you to vote in the election?
Definitely will vote 2,068 53% Kyrsten Sinema 47% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 3% Probably will vote 91 3% Probably will not vote 0 0% Definitely will not vote 0 0% I already voted 1,938 44% Kyrsten Sinema 53% Martha McSally 45% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,097 Respondents

Mode
Phone 360 15% Kyrsten Sinema 52% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 1% Web 3,737 85% Kyrsten Sinema 50% Martha McSally 48% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,097 Respondents

Are you registered to vote in [STATE]?
Yes 1,428 100% Kyrsten Sinema 55% Martha McSally 44% Another candidate 2% No 0 0%
Sample: 1,428 Respondents

Did you vote at a polling place today, or did you vote by mail or in person at some point before Election Day?
I voted at a polling place today 11 10% I voted by mail or in person before election day 170 90% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 46% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 181 Respondents

If you do vote in this election, which best describes how you plan to cast your ballot?
I will vote at a polling place on election day 712 42% Kyrsten Sinema 46% Martha McSally 51% Another candidate 3% I will vote before election day by mailing in my ballot 1,288 58% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 49% Another candidate 3% I do not plan to vote in this election 0 0%
Sample: 2,000 Respondents

Age 2 categories, race 2 categories
White 18-44 645 20% Kyrsten Sinema 50% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 3% White 45+ 2,652 51% Kyrsten Sinema 42% Martha McSally 56% Another candidate 2% Non-white 18-44 388 15% Kyrsten Sinema 69% Martha McSally 28% Another candidate 3% Non-white 45+ 396 14% Kyrsten Sinema 59% Martha McSally 39% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,081 Respondents

Age 2 categories, race 4 categories
White 18-44 645 20% Kyrsten Sinema 50% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 3% White 45+ 2,652 51% Kyrsten Sinema 42% Martha McSally 56% Another candidate 2% Black 18-44 46 3% Black 45+ 65 3% Latino 18-44 249 9% Kyrsten Sinema 71% Martha McSally 25% Another candidate 3% Latino 45+ 173 7% Kyrsten Sinema 62% Martha McSally 36% Another candidate 1% All other races 251 7% Kyrsten Sinema 39% Martha McSally 58% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,081 Respondents

Age 4 categories, race 2 categories
White 18-29 206 6% Kyrsten Sinema 54% Martha McSally 42% Another candidate 4% White 30-44 439 14% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 2% White 45-64 1,194 26% Kyrsten Sinema 43% Martha McSally 54% Another candidate 3% White 65+ 1,458 25% Kyrsten Sinema 42% Martha McSally 57% Another candidate 1% Non-white 18-29 166 7% Kyrsten Sinema 70% Martha McSally 26% Another candidate 3% Non-white 30-44 222 8% Kyrsten Sinema 68% Martha McSally 29% Another candidate 3% Non-white 45-64 275 10% Kyrsten Sinema 60% Martha McSally 38% Another candidate 3% Non-white 65+ 121 4% Kyrsten Sinema 56% Martha McSally 43% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 4,081 Respondents

Age 4 categories, race 4 categories
White 18-29 206 6% Kyrsten Sinema 54% Martha McSally 42% Another candidate 4% White 30-44 439 14% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 2% White 45-64 1,194 26% Kyrsten Sinema 43% Martha McSally 54% Another candidate 3% White 65+ 1,458 25% Kyrsten Sinema 42% Martha McSally 57% Another candidate 1% Black 18-29 19 1% Black 30-44 27 2% Black 45-64 47 2% Black 65+ 18 1% Latino 18-29 116 4% Kyrsten Sinema 73% Martha McSally 24% Another candidate 3% Latino 30-44 133 5% Kyrsten Sinema 70% Martha McSally 26% Another candidate 4% Latino 45-64 119 5% Kyrsten Sinema 58% Martha McSally 40% Another candidate 2% Latino 65+ 54 2% All others 251 7% Kyrsten Sinema 39% Martha McSally 58% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,081 Respondents

Born a citizen, or not
Yes 977 95% Kyrsten Sinema 52% Martha McSally 46% Another candidate 2% No 47 5%
Sample: 1,024 Respondents

Do you think the way Democrats talk about politics these days is leading to an increase in acts of violence, or don't you think so?
Yes, it is 1,997 52% Kyrsten Sinema 19% Martha McSally 78% Another candidate 3% No, it is not 2,056 48% Kyrsten Sinema 83% Martha McSally 14% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,053 Respondents

Combined: Do you think the way Democrats/Republicans talk about politics these days is leading to an increase in acts of violence, or don't you think so?
Yes, both 681 18% Kyrsten Sinema 47% Martha McSally 49% Another candidate 4% Democrats but not Republicans 1,301 34% Kyrsten Sinema 5% Martha McSally 94% Another candidate 2% Republicans but not Democrats 1,591 36% Kyrsten Sinema 97% Martha McSally 3% Another candidate 1% No, neither 454 11% Kyrsten Sinema 41% Martha McSally 52% Another candidate 7%
Sample: 4,027 Respondents

Do you think the way Republican talk about politics these days is leading to an increase in acts of violence, or don't you think so?
Yes, it is 2,290 55% Kyrsten Sinema 80% Martha McSally 18% Another candidate 2% No, it is not 1,765 45% Kyrsten Sinema 14% Martha McSally 83% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,055 Respondents

Which best describes when you decided how you would vote?
I've known all along 1,635 40% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 51% Another candidate 1% I decided over the course of the campaign 2,113 50% Kyrsten Sinema 52% Martha McSally 45% Another candidate 3% I decided in the last few days 249 7% Kyrsten Sinema 52% Martha McSally 44% Another candidate 4% I still haven't decided 91 3%
Sample: 4,088 Respondents

Concern over effects of climate change
Very concerned 460 40% Kyrsten Sinema 83% Martha McSally 13% Another candidate 3% Somewhat concerned 236 26% Kyrsten Sinema 37% Martha McSally 59% Another candidate 5% Not too concerned 182 21% Kyrsten Sinema 12% Martha McSally 87% Another candidate 1% Not at all concerned 117 13% Kyrsten Sinema 5% Martha McSally 94% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 995 Respondents

Concern over effects of climate change, 2 categories
Very/Somewhat concerned 696 66% Kyrsten Sinema 65% Martha McSally 31% Another candidate 4% Not too/Not at all concerned 299 34% Kyrsten Sinema 9% Martha McSally 90% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 995 Respondents

Congress job approval with strength
Approve strongly 22 3% Approve somewhat 140 17% Kyrsten Sinema 22% Martha McSally 76% Another candidate 2% Disapprove somewhat 354 33% Kyrsten Sinema 44% Martha McSally 52% Another candidate 4% Disapprove strongly 490 47% Kyrsten Sinema 71% Martha McSally 26% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,006 Respondents

Intentions of Democrats
They mostly try to do what's best for the country, even if they don't always get it right 507 44% Kyrsten Sinema 88% Martha McSally 10% Another candidate 2% They mostly try to do what's best for their party, even when it's bad for the country 522 56% Kyrsten Sinema 18% Martha McSally 80% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 1,029 Respondents

Intentions of Democrats - Republican/Lean Rep views
Republicans who think Democrats mostly try to do what's best for the country, even if they don't always get it right 77 6% Republicans who think Democrats mostly try to do what's best for their party, even when it's bad for the country 403 43% Kyrsten Sinema 4% Martha McSally 94% Another candidate 1% All others 561 51% Kyrsten Sinema 89% Martha McSally 9% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 1,041 Respondents

How the economic system treats the middle class
Favors too much 20 4% Does not favor enough 740 70% Kyrsten Sinema 62% Martha McSally 36% Another candidate 2% Treats about right 262 27% Kyrsten Sinema 26% Martha McSally 74% Another candidate 0%
Sample: 1,022 Respondents

How the economic system treats the poor
Favors too much 125 15% Kyrsten Sinema 17% Martha McSally 82% Another candidate 0% Does not favor enough 649 61% Kyrsten Sinema 74% Martha McSally 24% Another candidate 2% Treats about right 247 24% Kyrsten Sinema 18% Martha McSally 81% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 1,021 Respondents

How the economic system treats the wealthy
Favors too much 732 72% Kyrsten Sinema 69% Martha McSally 29% Another candidate 2% Does not favor enough 27 3% Treats about right 261 26% Kyrsten Sinema 8% Martha McSally 91% Another candidate 0%
Sample: 1,020 Respondents

Education 2 categories, race 2 categories
White non college 1,549 39% Kyrsten Sinema 39% Martha McSally 58% Another candidate 3% White college 1,751 32% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 48% Another candidate 1% Non-white non college 432 20% Kyrsten Sinema 65% Martha McSally 32% Another candidate 4% Non-white college 355 9% Kyrsten Sinema 62% Martha McSally 37% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 4,087 Respondents

Education 2 categories, race 4 categories
White non college 1,549 39% Kyrsten Sinema 39% Martha McSally 58% Another candidate 3% White college 1,751 32% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 48% Another candidate 1% Black non college 66 4% Black college 45 2% Latino non college 257 12% Kyrsten Sinema 68% Martha McSally 29% Another candidate 3% Latino college 165 4% Kyrsten Sinema 67% Martha McSally 32% Another candidate 1% All others 254 7% Kyrsten Sinema 39% Martha McSally 58% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,087 Respondents

Education 2 categories, sizeplace 3 categories
White urban college 392 7% Kyrsten Sinema 56% Martha McSally 42% Another candidate 1% White suburban college 1,072 20% Kyrsten Sinema 49% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 1% White small town/rural college 283 5% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 2% White urban non-college 386 10% Kyrsten Sinema 46% Martha McSally 51% Another candidate 3% White suburban non-college 736 17% Kyrsten Sinema 40% Martha McSally 57% Another candidate 3% White small town/rural non-college 423 12% Kyrsten Sinema 32% Martha McSally 64% Another candidate 4% Non-whites 787 29% Kyrsten Sinema 64% Martha McSally 33% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,079 Respondents

Opinion of Flake
Very favorable 364 10% Kyrsten Sinema 60% Martha McSally 38% Another candidate 2% Somewhat favorable 966 25% Kyrsten Sinema 64% Martha McSally 34% Another candidate 2% Somewhat unfavorable 976 27% Kyrsten Sinema 56% Martha McSally 43% Another candidate 2% Very unfavorable 1,326 38% Kyrsten Sinema 34% Martha McSally 64% Another candidate 2% Don't know enough to say 0 0%
Sample: 3,632 Respondents

Opinion of Flake, 2 categories
Very/Somewhat favorable 1,330 35% Kyrsten Sinema 63% Martha McSally 35% Another candidate 2% Very/Somewhat unfavorable 2,302 65% Kyrsten Sinema 43% Martha McSally 55% Another candidate 2% Don't know enough to say 0 0%
Sample: 3,632 Respondents

Opinion of Democratic candidate for governor
Very favorable 740 22% Kyrsten Sinema 93% Martha McSally 5% Another candidate 2% Somewhat favorable 999 26% Kyrsten Sinema 87% Martha McSally 11% Another candidate 2% Somewhat unfavorable 605 17% Kyrsten Sinema 30% Martha McSally 67% Another candidate 3% Very unfavorable 1,225 35% Kyrsten Sinema 14% Martha McSally 84% Another candidate 2% Don't know enough to say 0 0%
Sample: 3,569 Respondents

Opinion of Democratic candidate for governor, 2 categories
Very/Somewhat favorable 1,739 48% Kyrsten Sinema 90% Martha McSally 8% Another candidate 2% Very/Somewhat unfavorable 1,830 52% Kyrsten Sinema 19% Martha McSally 79% Another candidate 2% Don't know enough to say 0 0%
Sample: 3,569 Respondents

Opinion of Republican candidate for governor
Very favorable 1,074 29% Kyrsten Sinema 12% Martha McSally 86% Another candidate 1% Somewhat favorable 1,154 31% Kyrsten Sinema 33% Martha McSally 64% Another candidate 2% Somewhat unfavorable 710 17% Kyrsten Sinema 84% Martha McSally 14% Another candidate 2% Very unfavorable 931 23% Kyrsten Sinema 91% Martha McSally 7% Another candidate 2% Don't know enough to say 0 0%
Sample: 3,869 Respondents

Opinion of Republican candidate for governor, 2 categories
Very/Somewhat favorable 2,228 60% Kyrsten Sinema 23% Martha McSally 75% Another candidate 2% Very/Somewhat unfavorable 1,641 40% Kyrsten Sinema 88% Martha McSally 10% Another candidate 2% Don't know enough to say 0 0%
Sample: 3,869 Respondents

Opinion of Democratic candidate for Senate
Very favorable 1,271 30% Kyrsten Sinema 95% Martha McSally 5% Another candidate 0% Somewhat favorable 902 23% Kyrsten Sinema 87% Martha McSally 11% Another candidate 1% Somewhat unfavorable 459 13% Kyrsten Sinema 14% Martha McSally 82% Another candidate 4% Very unfavorable 1,272 34% Kyrsten Sinema 3% Martha McSally 95% Another candidate 2% Don't know enough to say 0 0%
Sample: 3,904 Respondents

Opinion of Democratic candidate for Senate, 2 categories
Very/Somewhat favorable 2,173 53% Kyrsten Sinema 92% Martha McSally 8% Another candidate 1% Very/Somewhat unfavorable 1,731 47% Kyrsten Sinema 6% Martha McSally 91% Another candidate 3% Don't know enough to say 0 0%
Sample: 3,904 Respondents

Opinion of Republican candidate for Senate
Very favorable 921 25% Kyrsten Sinema 4% Martha McSally 96% Another candidate 0% Somewhat favorable 797 22% Kyrsten Sinema 10% Martha McSally 89% Another candidate 2% Somewhat unfavorable 555 14% Kyrsten Sinema 77% Martha McSally 19% Another candidate 4% Very unfavorable 1,629 38% Kyrsten Sinema 95% Martha McSally 3% Another candidate 2% Don't know enough to say 0 0%
Sample: 3,902 Respondents

Opinion of Republican candidate for Senate, 2 categories
Very/Somewhat favorable 1,718 47% Kyrsten Sinema 6% Martha McSally 93% Another candidate 1% Very/Somewhat unfavorable 2,184 53% Kyrsten Sinema 90% Martha McSally 7% Another candidate 3% Don't know enough to say 0 0%
Sample: 3,902 Respondents

First time voter, education 2 categories
First time voter non college 55 3% First time voter college 18 1% All others 4,021 97% Kyrsten Sinema 50% Martha McSally 48% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,094 Respondents

First time voter, sex
First time voter men 29 1% First time voter women 44 2% All others 4,024 97% Kyrsten Sinema 50% Martha McSally 48% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,097 Respondents

First time voter, sex, sizeplace 3 categories whites
First time voter white urban men 4 1% First time voter white suburban men 9 1% First time voter white small town/rural men 2 0% First time voter white urban women 9 1% First time voter white suburban women 8 1% First time voter white small town/rural women 5 0% All others 745 95% Kyrsten Sinema 65% Martha McSally 33% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 782 Respondents

First time voter, sizeplace 3 categories
First time voter urban 27 1% First time voter suburban 27 1% First time voter small town/rural 19 1% All others 4,010 96% Kyrsten Sinema 50% Martha McSally 48% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,083 Respondents

First time voter
First time voting 73 3% Not 4,024 97% Kyrsten Sinema 50% Martha McSally 48% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,097 Respondents

Views of the Affordable Care Act
Repeal the law entirely 1,085 29% Kyrsten Sinema 8% Martha McSally 90% Another candidate 2% Repeal parts of the law 1,063 27% Kyrsten Sinema 31% Martha McSally 66% Another candidate 3% Leave the law as is 415 12% Kyrsten Sinema 80% Martha McSally 17% Another candidate 3% Expand the law 1,503 33% Kyrsten Sinema 91% Martha McSally 7% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,066 Respondents

Views of the Affordable Care Act, 2 categories
Repeal the law entirely/Repeal parts 2,148 55% Kyrsten Sinema 19% Martha McSally 78% Another candidate 2% Leave as is/Expand 1,918 45% Kyrsten Sinema 88% Martha McSally 10% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,066 Respondents

Ideology
Very liberal 437 10% Kyrsten Sinema 89% Martha McSally 10% Another candidate 1% Somewhat liberal 781 17% Kyrsten Sinema 92% Martha McSally 5% Another candidate 3% Moderate 1,359 34% Kyrsten Sinema 60% Martha McSally 36% Another candidate 4% Somewhat conservative 978 24% Kyrsten Sinema 15% Martha McSally 84% Another candidate 1% Very conservative 531 14% Kyrsten Sinema 6% Martha McSally 93% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 4,086 Respondents

Immigration policy - immigrants living in the U.S. illegally
Offered a chance to apply for legal status 2,846 69% Kyrsten Sinema 64% Martha McSally 33% Another candidate 2% Deported to the country they came from 1,204 31% Kyrsten Sinema 19% Martha McSally 79% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,050 Respondents

U.S.-Mexico border wall
Strongly favor 324 33% Kyrsten Sinema 11% Martha McSally 88% Another candidate 1% Somewhat favor 164 16% Kyrsten Sinema 32% Martha McSally 65% Another candidate 2% Somewhat oppose 134 13% Kyrsten Sinema 65% Martha McSally 33% Another candidate 2% Strongly oppose 403 38% Kyrsten Sinema 93% Martha McSally 6% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 1,025 Respondents

U.S.-Mexico border wall, 2 categories
Strongly/Somewhat favor 488 49% Kyrsten Sinema 18% Martha McSally 81% Another candidate 2% Strongly/Somewhat oppose 537 51% Kyrsten Sinema 86% Martha McSally 13% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 1,025 Respondents

Independents, ideology
Liberal Independent 44 2% Moderate Independent 266 8% Kyrsten Sinema 53% Martha McSally 37% Another candidate 11% Conservative Independent 71 2% All others 3,710 88% Kyrsten Sinema 49% Martha McSally 49% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 4,091 Respondents

How interested are you in the midterm election
Extremely interested 2,759 65% Kyrsten Sinema 52% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 1% Very interested 926 24% Kyrsten Sinema 47% Martha McSally 49% Another candidate 3% Somewhat interested 343 9% Kyrsten Sinema 45% Martha McSally 51% Another candidate 4% Only a little interested 45 1% Not at all interested 19 1%
Sample: 4,092 Respondents

How interested are you in the midterm election, 3 categories
Extremely/Very 3,685 89% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 2% Somewhat 343 9% Kyrsten Sinema 45% Martha McSally 51% Another candidate 4% Only a little/Not at all 64 2%
Sample: 4,092 Respondents

Concerns about foreign government interference impacting the outcome of the 2018 midterms
Very concerned 279 27% Kyrsten Sinema 87% Martha McSally 12% Another candidate 0% Somewhat concerned 326 31% Kyrsten Sinema 62% Martha McSally 36% Another candidate 2% Not too concerned 277 26% Kyrsten Sinema 25% Martha McSally 73% Another candidate 2% Not at all concerned 139 16% Kyrsten Sinema 17% Martha McSally 82% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 1,021 Respondents

Concerns about foreign government interference impacting the outcome of the 2018 midterms, 2 categories
Very/Somewhat concerned 605 58% Kyrsten Sinema 73% Martha McSally 25% Another candidate 1% Not too/Not at all concerned 416 42% Kyrsten Sinema 22% Martha McSally 76% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 1,021 Respondents

Most important issue facing the country
The economy and jobs 657 19% Kyrsten Sinema 34% Martha McSally 63% Another candidate 3% Health care 1,135 26% Kyrsten Sinema 79% Martha McSally 19% Another candidate 2% Immigration 1,192 30% Kyrsten Sinema 19% Martha McSally 79% Another candidate 2% Taxes 95 3% Abortion 50 1% Gun policy 251 6% Kyrsten Sinema 87% Martha McSally 11% Another candidate 3% The environment 305 6% Kyrsten Sinema 88% Martha McSally 8% Another candidate 4% Foreign policy 226 4% Kyrsten Sinema 68% Martha McSally 31% Another candidate 1% Terrorism 162 4% Kyrsten Sinema 39% Martha McSally 57% Another candidate 5%
Sample: 4,073 Respondents

Lesbian, gay, bisexual identification
Yes 49 6% No 954 94% Kyrsten Sinema 46% Martha McSally 51% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,003 Respondents

Please indicate how likely it is that you will vote in this election.
0-Certain will not vote 0 0% 1 0 0% 2 0 0% 3 0 0% 4 0 0% 5 0 0% 6 0 0% 7 0 0% 8 71 2% 9 92 3% 10-Certain will vote 1,996 51% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 3% Already voted 1,938 44% Kyrsten Sinema 53% Martha McSally 45% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,097 Respondents

How interested are you in the election on November 6th in [STATENAM]?
Extremely interested 2,759 65% Kyrsten Sinema 52% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 1% Very interested 926 24% Kyrsten Sinema 47% Martha McSally 49% Another candidate 3% Somewhat interested 343 9% Kyrsten Sinema 45% Martha McSally 51% Another candidate 4% Only a little interested 45 1% Not at all interested 19 1%
Sample: 4,092 Respondents

Married
Single/Never married 162 21% Kyrsten Sinema 58% Martha McSally 37% Another candidate 5% Married 627 61% Kyrsten Sinema 41% Martha McSally 56% Another candidate 3% Separated 6 1% Divorced 144 13% Kyrsten Sinema 55% Martha McSally 43% Another candidate 2% Widowed 67 5%
Sample: 1,006 Respondents

Married, 2 categories
Married 627 61% Kyrsten Sinema 41% Martha McSally 56% Another candidate 3% Not married 379 39% Kyrsten Sinema 56% Martha McSally 41% Another candidate 4%
Sample: 1,006 Respondents

Concern about women not being believed when they make allegations of sexual misconduct
Very concerned 446 42% Kyrsten Sinema 75% Martha McSally 22% Another candidate 2% Somewhat concerned 340 35% Kyrsten Sinema 36% Martha McSally 59% Another candidate 5% Not too concerned 152 16% Kyrsten Sinema 11% Martha McSally 88% Another candidate 1% Not at all concerned 60 7%
Sample: 998 Respondents

Concern about women not being believed when they make allegations of sexual misconduct, 2 categories
Very/Somewhat concerned 786 77% Kyrsten Sinema 57% Martha McSally 39% Another candidate 4% Not too/Not at all concerned 212 23% Kyrsten Sinema 14% Martha McSally 85% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 998 Respondents

Concern about men not being given the opportunity to defend themselves against allegations of sexual misconduct
Very concerned 359 39% Kyrsten Sinema 31% Martha McSally 66% Another candidate 3% Somewhat concerned 382 37% Kyrsten Sinema 50% Martha McSally 46% Another candidate 4% Not too concerned 189 18% Kyrsten Sinema 64% Martha McSally 35% Another candidate 1% Not at all concerned 71 6%
Sample: 1,001 Respondents

Concern about men not being given the opportunity to defend themselves against allegations of sexual misconduct, 2 categories
Very/Somewhat concerned 741 76% Kyrsten Sinema 40% Martha McSally 56% Another candidate 4% Not too/Not at all concerned 260 24% Kyrsten Sinema 66% Martha McSally 33% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 1,001 Respondents

Concern about the use of opioids in your community
Very concerned 446 46% Kyrsten Sinema 53% Martha McSally 44% Another candidate 3% Somewhat concerned 364 33% Kyrsten Sinema 53% Martha McSally 43% Another candidate 3% Not too concerned 149 15% Kyrsten Sinema 49% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 1% Not at all concerned 51 6%
Sample: 1,010 Respondents

Concern about the use of opioids in your community, 2 categories
Very/Somewhat concerned 810 78% Kyrsten Sinema 53% Martha McSally 44% Another candidate 3% Not too/Not at all concerned 200 22% Kyrsten Sinema 50% Martha McSally 48% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 1,010 Respondents

Importance of party control to vote for Senate
Very important 2,879 68% Kyrsten Sinema 49% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 1% Somewhat important 835 22% Kyrsten Sinema 52% Martha McSally 44% Another candidate 4% Not too important 257 7% Kyrsten Sinema 58% Martha McSally 36% Another candidate 6% Not at all important 121 3% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 40% Another candidate 12%
Sample: 4,092 Respondents

Importance of party control to vote for Senate, 2 categories
Very/Somewhat important 3,714 90% Kyrsten Sinema 49% Martha McSally 49% Another candidate 2% Not too/Not at all important 378 10% Kyrsten Sinema 54% Martha McSally 38% Another candidate 8%
Sample: 4,092 Respondents

Party with leaners, age 4 categories
18-29 Democrat 234 8% Kyrsten Sinema 91% Martha McSally 6% Another candidate 3% 30-44 Democrat 343 10% Kyrsten Sinema 94% Martha McSally 5% Another candidate 1% 45-64 Democrat 621 13% Kyrsten Sinema 97% Martha McSally 2% Another candidate 1% 65+ Democrat 617 10% Kyrsten Sinema 97% Martha McSally 2% Another candidate 1% 18-29 Republican 109 4% Kyrsten Sinema 7% Martha McSally 90% Another candidate 3% 30-44 Republican 253 9% Kyrsten Sinema 11% Martha McSally 87% Another candidate 2% 45-64 Republican 688 17% Kyrsten Sinema 9% Martha McSally 89% Another candidate 1% 65+ Republican 840 16% Kyrsten Sinema 10% Martha McSally 90% Another candidate 1% 18-29 Independent 31 1% 30-44 Independent 66 3% 45-64 Independent 164 5% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 38% Another candidate 10% 65+ Independent 123 3% Kyrsten Sinema 58% Martha McSally 38% Another candidate 4%
Sample: 4,089 Respondents

Party with leaners, age 2 categories
18-44 Democrat 577 18% Kyrsten Sinema 93% Martha McSally 5% Another candidate 2% 45+ Democrat 1,238 23% Kyrsten Sinema 97% Martha McSally 2% Another candidate 1% 18-44 Republican 362 13% Kyrsten Sinema 10% Martha McSally 88% Another candidate 2% 45+ Republican 1,528 34% Kyrsten Sinema 9% Martha McSally 89% Another candidate 1% 18-44 Independent 97 4% 45+ Independent 287 8% Kyrsten Sinema 54% Martha McSally 38% Another candidate 8%
Sample: 4,089 Respondents

Party with leaners, educ 2 categories
Non college Democrat 829 24% Kyrsten Sinema 94% Martha McSally 4% Another candidate 2% College Democrat 985 17% Kyrsten Sinema 97% Martha McSally 2% Another candidate 1% Non college Republican 953 28% Kyrsten Sinema 7% Martha McSally 91% Another candidate 2% College Republican 941 19% Kyrsten Sinema 13% Martha McSally 86% Another candidate 1% Non college Independent 202 7% Kyrsten Sinema 49% Martha McSally 37% Another candidate 15% College Independent 184 5% Kyrsten Sinema 61% Martha McSally 35% Another candidate 4%
Sample: 4,094 Respondents

Party with leaners, race 2 categories
White Democrat 1,345 24% Kyrsten Sinema 96% Martha McSally 3% Another candidate 1% Non-white Democrat 467 17% Kyrsten Sinema 94% Martha McSally 5% Another candidate 2% White Republican 1,658 38% Kyrsten Sinema 9% Martha McSally 89% Another candidate 1% Non-white Republican 233 8% Kyrsten Sinema 12% Martha McSally 87% Another candidate 1% White Independent 299 9% Kyrsten Sinema 58% Martha McSally 34% Another candidate 8% Non-white Independent 87 3%
Sample: 4,089 Respondents

Party with leaners, sizeplace 3 categories
Urban Democrat 569 13% Kyrsten Sinema 97% Martha McSally 2% Another candidate 1% Suburban Democrat 894 18% Kyrsten Sinema 95% Martha McSally 3% Another candidate 2% Small town/Rural Democrat 345 9% Kyrsten Sinema 93% Martha McSally 6% Another candidate 1% Urban Republican 380 10% Kyrsten Sinema 11% Martha McSally 88% Another candidate 1% Suburban Republican 1,050 24% Kyrsten Sinema 10% Martha McSally 89% Another candidate 1% Small town/Rural Republican 460 13% Kyrsten Sinema 8% Martha McSally 91% Another candidate 1% Urban Independent 89 3% Suburban Independent 203 6% Kyrsten Sinema 61% Martha McSally 34% Another candidate 5% Small town/Rural Independent 93 3%
Sample: 4,083 Respondents

Too much pressure to be politically correct these days
Pressure to be politically correct has gone too far these days 659 68% Kyrsten Sinema 36% Martha McSally 62% Another candidate 2% There's not too much pressure these days to be politically correct 350 32% Kyrsten Sinema 88% Martha McSally 9% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,009 Respondents

Trump job approval with strength
Approve strongly 1,105 29% Kyrsten Sinema 4% Martha McSally 95% Another candidate 1% Approve somewhat 730 19% Kyrsten Sinema 18% Martha McSally 79% Another candidate 3% Disapprove somewhat 369 9% Kyrsten Sinema 69% Martha McSally 26% Another candidate 5% Disapprove strongly 1,882 42% Kyrsten Sinema 92% Martha McSally 5% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,086 Respondents

2016 vote
Donald Trump 447 50% Kyrsten Sinema 8% Martha McSally 90% Another candidate 2% Hillary Clinton 453 40% Kyrsten Sinema 97% Martha McSally 2% Another candidate 1% Someone else 91 9%
Sample: 991 Respondents

2016 vote Trump voters
Trump voter 447 50% Kyrsten Sinema 8% Martha McSally 90% Another candidate 2% Not Trump voter 544 50% Kyrsten Sinema 89% Martha McSally 9% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 991 Respondents

2016 vote Trump voters, educ2
Trump voter non college 234 31% Kyrsten Sinema 9% Martha McSally 88% Another candidate 3% Trump voter college 213 19% Kyrsten Sinema 6% Martha McSally 93% Another candidate 1% All others 544 50% Kyrsten Sinema 89% Martha McSally 9% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 991 Respondents

2016 vote Trump voters, educ2 and white
Trump voter non college whites 208 43% Kyrsten Sinema 11% Martha McSally 87% Another candidate 3% Trump voter college whites 188 27% Kyrsten Sinema 7% Martha McSally 92% Another candidate 1% All others 134 30% Kyrsten Sinema 90% Martha McSally 8% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 530 Respondents

2016 vote Trump voters, sex
Trump voter men 201 27% Kyrsten Sinema 5% Martha McSally 94% Another candidate 1% Trump voter women 246 24% Kyrsten Sinema 11% Martha McSally 85% Another candidate 3% All others 544 50% Kyrsten Sinema 89% Martha McSally 9% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 991 Respondents

2016 vote Trump voters, sex and educ2 and white
Trump voter non college white men 82 20% Trump voter college white men 96 16% Trump voter non college white women 126 23% Kyrsten Sinema 13% Martha McSally 83% Another candidate 4% Trump voter college white women 92 11% All others 134 30% Kyrsten Sinema 90% Martha McSally 8% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 530 Respondents

2016 vote Trump voters, sex and white
Trump voter white men 178 36% Kyrsten Sinema 6% Martha McSally 93% Another candidate 1% Trump voter white women 218 34% Kyrsten Sinema 13% Martha McSally 84% Another candidate 3% All others 134 30% Kyrsten Sinema 90% Martha McSally 8% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 530 Respondents

2016 vote Trump voters, sizeplace3 and white
Trump voter white urban 72 14% Trump voter white suburban 217 35% Kyrsten Sinema 11% Martha McSally 88% Another candidate 1% Trump voter white small town/rural 104 21% Kyrsten Sinema 6% Martha McSally 90% Another candidate 4% All others 133 30% Kyrsten Sinema 90% Martha McSally 8% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 526 Respondents

2020 vote choice
Donald Trump, the Republican 349 39% Kyrsten Sinema 3% Martha McSally 96% Another candidate 1% The Democratic candidate 456 39% Kyrsten Sinema 98% Martha McSally 2% Another candidate 1% It depends 238 22% Kyrsten Sinema 43% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 7% Would not vote 1 0%
Sample: 1,044 Respondents

Voted in 2014
Voted in 2014 3,450 79% Kyrsten Sinema 49% Martha McSally 49% Another candidate 2% Did not vote in 2014 647 21% Kyrsten Sinema 54% Martha McSally 42% Another candidate 4%
Sample: 4,097 Respondents

Race 2 categories, sizeplace 3 categories
White urban 778 17% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 2% White suburban 1,809 37% Kyrsten Sinema 45% Martha McSally 53% Another candidate 2% White small town/rural 707 17% Kyrsten Sinema 37% Martha McSally 60% Another candidate 3% Non-white urban 259 9% Kyrsten Sinema 75% Martha McSally 23% Another candidate 2% Non-white suburban 333 12% Kyrsten Sinema 59% Martha McSally 38% Another candidate 3% Non-white small town/rural 189 8% Kyrsten Sinema 58% Martha McSally 38% Another candidate 4%
Sample: 4,075 Respondents

Advantages of blacks and whites in US society
Whites have more advantages than blacks 441 42% Kyrsten Sinema 86% Martha McSally 13% Another candidate 1% Blacks have more advantages than whites 118 13% Kyrsten Sinema 17% Martha McSally 77% Another candidate 6% Neither has much advantage over the other 451 45% Kyrsten Sinema 32% Martha McSally 65% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,010 Respondents

Intentions of Republicans
They mostly try to do what's best for the country, even if they don't always get it right 453 48% Kyrsten Sinema 15% Martha McSally 83% Another candidate 2% They mostly try to do what's best for their party, even when it's bad for the country 575 52% Kyrsten Sinema 80% Martha McSally 17% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 1,028 Respondents

Intentions of Republicans - Democrat/Lean Dem views
Democrats who think Republicans mostly try to do what's best for the country, even if they don't always get it right 44 5% Democrats who think Republicans mostly try to do what's best for their party, even when it's bad for the country 414 33% Kyrsten Sinema 98% Martha McSally 1% Another candidate 1% All others 583 61% Kyrsten Sinema 18% Martha McSally 79% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,041 Respondents

Do you think the Trump campaign coordinated with the Russian government during the 2016 presidential election?
Yes 1,953 46% Kyrsten Sinema 90% Martha McSally 8% Another candidate 2% No 2,085 54% Kyrsten Sinema 15% Martha McSally 83% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,038 Respondents

Sex
Men 1,780 50% Kyrsten Sinema 45% Martha McSally 53% Another candidate 2% Women 2,317 50% Kyrsten Sinema 54% Martha McSally 43% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,097 Respondents

Sex, age 4 categories
18-29 men 134 5% Kyrsten Sinema 56% Martha McSally 42% Another candidate 3% 18-29 women 240 8% Kyrsten Sinema 66% Martha McSally 29% Another candidate 5% 30-44 men 244 10% Kyrsten Sinema 56% Martha McSally 43% Another candidate 2% 30-44 women 418 12% Kyrsten Sinema 55% Martha McSally 41% Another candidate 4% 45-64 men 589 18% Kyrsten Sinema 43% Martha McSally 54% Another candidate 3% 45-64 women 884 18% Kyrsten Sinema 53% Martha McSally 45% Another candidate 3% 65+ men 811 17% Kyrsten Sinema 39% Martha McSally 60% Another candidate 1% 65+ women 769 12% Kyrsten Sinema 50% Martha McSally 49% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 4,089 Respondents

Sex, age 2 categories
18-44 men 378 15% Kyrsten Sinema 56% Martha McSally 42% Another candidate 2% 18-44 women 658 20% Kyrsten Sinema 59% Martha McSally 37% Another candidate 4% 45+ men 1,400 35% Kyrsten Sinema 41% Martha McSally 57% Another candidate 2% 45+ women 1,653 30% Kyrsten Sinema 52% Martha McSally 46% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,089 Respondents

Sex, age 2 categories, race 2 categories
White 18-44 men 242 9% Kyrsten Sinema 47% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 3% White 18-44 women 403 11% Kyrsten Sinema 52% Martha McSally 45% Another candidate 3% White 45+ men 1,206 27% Kyrsten Sinema 38% Martha McSally 60% Another candidate 2% White 45+ women 1,446 24% Kyrsten Sinema 47% Martha McSally 51% Another candidate 2% Non-white 18-44 men 135 6% Kyrsten Sinema 68% Martha McSally 31% Another candidate 1% Non-white 18-44 women 253 8% Kyrsten Sinema 70% Martha McSally 25% Another candidate 5% Non-white 45+ men 192 8% Kyrsten Sinema 52% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 1% Non-white 45+ women 204 6% Kyrsten Sinema 67% Martha McSally 30% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,081 Respondents

Sex, age 2 categories, race 4 categories
White 18-44 men 242 9% Kyrsten Sinema 47% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 3% White 18-44 women 403 11% Kyrsten Sinema 52% Martha McSally 45% Another candidate 3% White 45+ men 1,206 27% Kyrsten Sinema 38% Martha McSally 60% Another candidate 2% White 45+ women 1,446 24% Kyrsten Sinema 47% Martha McSally 51% Another candidate 2% Black 18-44 men 19 1% Black 18-44 women 27 1% Black 45+ men 23 1% Black 45+ women 42 2% Latino 18-44 men 88 4% Latino 18-44 women 161 6% Kyrsten Sinema 70% Martha McSally 25% Another candidate 5% Latino 45+ men 89 4% Latino 45+ women 84 3% All other races 251 7% Kyrsten Sinema 39% Martha McSally 58% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,081 Respondents

Sex, age 4 categories, race 2 categories
White 18-29 men 74 2% White 18-29 women 132 4% Kyrsten Sinema 58% Martha McSally 38% Another candidate 4% White 30-44 men 168 6% Kyrsten Sinema 47% Martha McSally 51% Another candidate 2% White 30-44 women 271 7% Kyrsten Sinema 49% Martha McSally 48% Another candidate 3% White 45-64 men 466 12% Kyrsten Sinema 39% Martha McSally 58% Another candidate 3% White 45-64 women 728 13% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 2% White 65+ men 740 15% Kyrsten Sinema 38% Martha McSally 61% Another candidate 1% White 65+ women 718 10% Kyrsten Sinema 47% Martha McSally 52% Another candidate 1% Non-white 18-29 men 59 3% Non-white 18-29 women 107 4% Kyrsten Sinema 75% Martha McSally 20% Another candidate 5% Non-white 30-44 men 76 3% Non-white 30-44 women 146 5% Kyrsten Sinema 65% Martha McSally 30% Another candidate 5% Non-white 45-64 men 121 5% Kyrsten Sinema 54% Martha McSally 44% Another candidate 2% Non-white 45-64 women 154 5% Kyrsten Sinema 66% Martha McSally 31% Another candidate 3% Non-white 65+ men 71 2% Non-white 65+ women 50 1%
Sample: 4,081 Respondents

Sex, education 4 categories
HS or less men 155 10% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 49% Another candidate 3% Some coll men 626 18% Kyrsten Sinema 41% Martha McSally 57% Another candidate 3% College grad men 558 14% Kyrsten Sinema 46% Martha McSally 54% Another candidate 1% Postgrad men 440 9% Kyrsten Sinema 52% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 1% HS or less women 231 11% Kyrsten Sinema 50% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 3% Some coll women 972 20% Kyrsten Sinema 53% Martha McSally 43% Another candidate 4% College grad women 657 12% Kyrsten Sinema 54% Martha McSally 45% Another candidate 2% Postgrad women 455 7% Kyrsten Sinema 70% Martha McSally 29% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 4,094 Respondents

Sex, education 2 categories
Non college grad men 781 28% Kyrsten Sinema 43% Martha McSally 54% Another candidate 3% College grad men 998 23% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 51% Another candidate 1% Non college grad women 1,203 31% Kyrsten Sinema 52% Martha McSally 45% Another candidate 4% College grad women 1,112 19% Kyrsten Sinema 59% Martha McSally 39% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,094 Respondents

Sex, education 2 categories, race 2 categories
White non college men 609 19% Kyrsten Sinema 35% Martha McSally 61% Another candidate 3% White non college women 940 20% Kyrsten Sinema 43% Martha McSally 54% Another candidate 3% White college men 840 18% Kyrsten Sinema 46% Martha McSally 53% Another candidate 1% White college women 911 14% Kyrsten Sinema 57% Martha McSally 41% Another candidate 2% Non-white non college men 171 9% Kyrsten Sinema 60% Martha McSally 39% Another candidate 2% Non-white non college women 261 11% Kyrsten Sinema 69% Martha McSally 26% Another candidate 5% Non-white college men 156 5% Kyrsten Sinema 58% Martha McSally 42% Another candidate 1% Non-white college women 199 4% Kyrsten Sinema 66% Martha McSally 32% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 4,087 Respondents

Sex, education 2 categories, sizeplace 3 categories
Urban college men 235 5% Kyrsten Sinema 61% Martha McSally 38% Another candidate 1% Suburban college men 612 14% Kyrsten Sinema 46% Martha McSally 53% Another candidate 1% Small town/Rural college men 149 3% Kyrsten Sinema 36% Martha McSally 63% Another candidate 1% Urban college women 284 5% Kyrsten Sinema 66% Martha McSally 32% Another candidate 2% Suburban college women 631 10% Kyrsten Sinema 56% Martha McSally 43% Another candidate 1% Small town/Rural college women 194 3% Kyrsten Sinema 59% Martha McSally 38% Another candidate 3% Urban non-college men 197 8% Kyrsten Sinema 52% Martha McSally 46% Another candidate 2% Suburban non-college men 349 11% Kyrsten Sinema 43% Martha McSally 54% Another candidate 3% Small town/Rural non-college men 230 9% Kyrsten Sinema 36% Martha McSally 61% Another candidate 3% Urban non-college women 322 8% Kyrsten Sinema 60% Martha McSally 37% Another candidate 3% Suburban non-college women 553 13% Kyrsten Sinema 50% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 3% Small town/Rural non-college women 324 10% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 5%
Sample: 4,080 Respondents

Sex, education 2 categories, sizeplace 3 categories among whites
White urban college men 175 4% Kyrsten Sinema 50% Martha McSally 49% Another candidate 1% White suburban college men 533 11% Kyrsten Sinema 46% Martha McSally 53% Another candidate 1% White small town/rural college men 130 3% Kyrsten Sinema 38% Martha McSally 61% Another candidate 1% White urban college women 217 4% Kyrsten Sinema 63% Martha McSally 36% Another candidate 2% White suburban college women 539 8% Kyrsten Sinema 54% Martha McSally 45% Another candidate 1% White small town/rural college women 153 2% Kyrsten Sinema 60% Martha McSally 37% Another candidate 3% White urban non-college men 145 5% Kyrsten Sinema 37% Martha McSally 61% Another candidate 2% White suburban non-college men 279 7% Kyrsten Sinema 38% Martha McSally 59% Another candidate 3% White small town/rural non-college men 183 6% Kyrsten Sinema 31% Martha McSally 65% Another candidate 4% White urban non-college women 241 5% Kyrsten Sinema 56% Martha McSally 41% Another candidate 4% White suburban non-college women 457 10% Kyrsten Sinema 41% Martha McSally 57% Another candidate 2% White small town/rural non-college women 240 6% Kyrsten Sinema 34% Martha McSally 62% Another candidate 4% Non-white 787 29% Kyrsten Sinema 64% Martha McSally 33% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,079 Respondents

Sex, married 2 categories
Married men 319 35% Kyrsten Sinema 41% Martha McSally 56% Another candidate 3% Married women 308 25% Kyrsten Sinema 42% Martha McSally 56% Another candidate 3% Not married men 130 18% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 2% Not married women 249 22% Kyrsten Sinema 60% Martha McSally 35% Another candidate 5%
Sample: 1,006 Respondents

Sex, married 2 categories, age 2 categories
18-44 married men 40 8% 18-44 married women 71 9% 18-44 not married men 53 9% 18-44 not married women 73 9% 45+ married men 278 28% Kyrsten Sinema 37% Martha McSally 60% Another candidate 2% 45+ married women 237 17% Kyrsten Sinema 42% Martha McSally 55% Another candidate 2% 45+ not married men 77 9% 45+ not married women 176 13% Kyrsten Sinema 62% Martha McSally 35% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,005 Respondents

Sex, party with leaners
Democratic men 683 18% Kyrsten Sinema 94% Martha McSally 5% Another candidate 1% Democratic women 1,132 23% Kyrsten Sinema 96% Martha McSally 2% Another candidate 2% Republican men 916 26% Kyrsten Sinema 10% Martha McSally 89% Another candidate 1% Republican women 979 21% Kyrsten Sinema 9% Martha McSally 89% Another candidate 2% Independent men 181 6% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 41% Another candidate 8% Independent women 206 6% Kyrsten Sinema 56% Martha McSally 31% Another candidate 12%
Sample: 4,097 Respondents

Party with leaners, race 2 categories
White Democrat men 510 11% Kyrsten Sinema 96% Martha McSally 3% Another candidate 1% White Democrat women 835 13% Kyrsten Sinema 97% Martha McSally 2% Another candidate 1% Non-white Democrat men 173 8% Kyrsten Sinema 91% Martha McSally 8% Another candidate 1% Non-white Democrat women 294 9% Kyrsten Sinema 96% Martha McSally 2% Another candidate 2% White Republican men 797 21% Kyrsten Sinema 10% Martha McSally 89% Another candidate 1% White Republican women 861 17% Kyrsten Sinema 8% Martha McSally 90% Another candidate 2% Non-white Republican men 116 5% Kyrsten Sinema 11% Martha McSally 89% Another candidate 1% Non-white Republican women 117 4% Kyrsten Sinema 14% Martha McSally 85% Another candidate 1% White Independent men 143 5% Kyrsten Sinema 54% Martha McSally 37% Another candidate 9% White Independent women 156 4% Kyrsten Sinema 62% Martha McSally 30% Another candidate 8% Non-white Independent men 38 2% Non-white Independent women 49 2%
Sample: 4,089 Respondents

Sex, race 2 categories
White men 1,450 36% Kyrsten Sinema 40% Martha McSally 57% Another candidate 2% White women 1,852 35% Kyrsten Sinema 49% Martha McSally 49% Another candidate 2% Non-white men 327 14% Kyrsten Sinema 59% Martha McSally 40% Another candidate 1% Non-white women 460 15% Kyrsten Sinema 68% Martha McSally 27% Another candidate 4%
Sample: 4,089 Respondents

Sex, race 4 categories
White men 1,450 36% Kyrsten Sinema 40% Martha McSally 57% Another candidate 2% White women 1,852 35% Kyrsten Sinema 49% Martha McSally 49% Another candidate 2% Black men 42 3% Black women 69 3% Latino men 177 7% Kyrsten Sinema 63% Martha McSally 36% Another candidate 1% Latino women 245 9% Kyrsten Sinema 72% Martha McSally 24% Another candidate 4% All other 254 7% Kyrsten Sinema 39% Martha McSally 58% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,089 Respondents

Sex, sizeplace 3 categories
Urban men 432 13% Kyrsten Sinema 56% Martha McSally 43% Another candidate 2% Suburban men 961 25% Kyrsten Sinema 45% Martha McSally 54% Another candidate 2% Small town/Rural men 380 12% Kyrsten Sinema 36% Martha McSally 61% Another candidate 3% Urban women 606 13% Kyrsten Sinema 62% Martha McSally 35% Another candidate 3% Suburban women 1,186 24% Kyrsten Sinema 52% Martha McSally 46% Another candidate 2% Small town/Rural women 518 13% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 45% Another candidate 5%
Sample: 4,083 Respondents

Sex, sizeplace 3 categories among whites
White urban men 320 9% Kyrsten Sinema 42% Martha McSally 56% Another candidate 2% White suburban men 812 19% Kyrsten Sinema 43% Martha McSally 55% Another candidate 2% White small town/rural men 314 9% Kyrsten Sinema 33% Martha McSally 64% Another candidate 3% White urban women 458 9% Kyrsten Sinema 59% Martha McSally 39% Another candidate 3% White suburban women 997 18% Kyrsten Sinema 47% Martha McSally 51% Another candidate 2% White small town/rural women 393 8% Kyrsten Sinema 42% Martha McSally 55% Another candidate 3% Non-whites 787 29% Kyrsten Sinema 64% Martha McSally 33% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,081 Respondents

Importance of debate over Kavanaugh's confirmation to vote
Very important 531 51% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 51% Another candidate 2% Somewhat important 237 24% Kyrsten Sinema 58% Martha McSally 40% Another candidate 1% Not very important 143 15% Kyrsten Sinema 33% Martha McSally 61% Another candidate 6% Not at all important 90 10%
Sample: 1,001 Respondents

Importance of debate over Kavanaugh's confirmation to vote, 2 categories
Very/Somewhat important 768 76% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 2% Not very/Not at all important 233 24% Kyrsten Sinema 33% Martha McSally 60% Another candidate 6%
Sample: 1,001 Respondents

Opinion of 2017 tax law
Approve strongly 189 19% Kyrsten Sinema 7% Martha McSally 92% Another candidate 1% Approve somewhat 320 34% Kyrsten Sinema 30% Martha McSally 69% Another candidate 1% Disapprove somewhat 236 24% Kyrsten Sinema 75% Martha McSally 21% Another candidate 4% Disapprove strongly 252 23% Kyrsten Sinema 98% Martha McSally 2% Another candidate 0%
Sample: 997 Respondents

Opinion of 2017 tax law, 2 categories
Approve 509 53% Kyrsten Sinema 22% Martha McSally 77% Another candidate 1% Disapprove 488 47% Kyrsten Sinema 86% Martha McSally 12% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 997 Respondents

Impact of Trump admin's trade policies on local economy
Help 1,357 37% Kyrsten Sinema 9% Martha McSally 90% Another candidate 2% Hurt 1,733 39% Kyrsten Sinema 88% Martha McSally 9% Another candidate 3% No difference 963 24% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 46% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 4,053 Respondents

Impact of Trump admin's trade policies on national economy
Help 1,690 45% Kyrsten Sinema 11% Martha McSally 87% Another candidate 2% Hurt 2,007 45% Kyrsten Sinema 88% Martha McSally 9% Another candidate 3% No difference 360 10% Kyrsten Sinema 48% Martha McSally 48% Another candidate 4%
Sample: 4,057 Respondents

Transgender identification
Yes 6 1% No 992 99% Kyrsten Sinema 47% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 998 Respondents

Was Trump a reason for vote
Voted to express support for Trump 1,098 30% Kyrsten Sinema 4% Martha McSally 94% Another candidate 2% Voted to express opposition for Trump 1,642 37% Kyrsten Sinema 95% Martha McSally 3% Another candidate 2% Trump was not a factor 1,333 33% Kyrsten Sinema 41% Martha McSally 55% Another candidate 4%
Sample: 4,073 Respondents

Approval of Trump on border security
Approve 505 51% Kyrsten Sinema 18% Martha McSally 81% Another candidate 1% Disapprove 515 49% Kyrsten Sinema 88% Martha McSally 10% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 1,020 Respondents

Approval of Trump on economy
Approve 573 58% Kyrsten Sinema 21% Martha McSally 77% Another candidate 1% Disapprove 441 42% Kyrsten Sinema 94% Martha McSally 5% Another candidate 1%
Sample: 1,014 Respondents

Approval of Trump on health care
Approve 407 41% Kyrsten Sinema 12% Martha McSally 86% Another candidate 1% Disapprove 604 59% Kyrsten Sinema 81% Martha McSally 17% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 1,011 Respondents

Approval of Trump on immigration
Approve 466 47% Kyrsten Sinema 14% Martha McSally 86% Another candidate 1% Disapprove 553 53% Kyrsten Sinema 86% Martha McSally 12% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 1,019 Respondents

Approval of Trump on Supreme Court nominations
Approve 479 48% Kyrsten Sinema 12% Martha McSally 87% Another candidate 1% Disapprove 540 52% Kyrsten Sinema 89% Martha McSally 9% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 1,019 Respondents

Approval of Trump on international trade
Approve 452 46% Kyrsten Sinema 14% Martha McSally 84% Another candidate 1% Disapprove 556 54% Kyrsten Sinema 85% Martha McSally 13% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 1,008 Respondents

Trump cares about people like you
Yes 395 42% Kyrsten Sinema 8% Martha McSally 89% Another candidate 3% No 607 58% Kyrsten Sinema 85% Martha McSally 12% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,002 Respondents

Trump is bringing needed change to the government
Yes 492 52% Kyrsten Sinema 15% Martha McSally 83% Another candidate 2% No 519 48% Kyrsten Sinema 92% Martha McSally 5% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,011 Respondents

Trump is honest and trustworthy
Yes 337 37% Kyrsten Sinema 8% Martha McSally 90% Another candidate 2% No 652 63% Kyrsten Sinema 81% Martha McSally 16% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 989 Respondents

Trump is a strong leader
Yes 462 49% Kyrsten Sinema 14% Martha McSally 84% Another candidate 2% No 548 51% Kyrsten Sinema 89% Martha McSally 8% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,010 Respondents

Trump stands up for what he believes in
Yes 686 70% Kyrsten Sinema 35% Martha McSally 62% Another candidate 3% No 316 30% Kyrsten Sinema 92% Martha McSally 5% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 1,002 Respondents

Trump has the right temperament to serve effectively as president
Yes 337 37% Kyrsten Sinema 8% Martha McSally 90% Another candidate 2% No 660 63% Kyrsten Sinema 79% Martha McSally 17% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 997 Respondents

Trust government to do what's right
Just about always 15 2% Most of the time 133 13% Kyrsten Sinema 40% Martha McSally 58% Another candidate 3% Only some of the time 715 68% Kyrsten Sinema 49% Martha McSally 50% Another candidate 2% Never 178 18% Kyrsten Sinema 58% Martha McSally 37% Another candidate 5%
Sample: 1,041 Respondents

Trust government to do what's right, 2 categories
Always/Most of the time 148 15% Kyrsten Sinema 38% Martha McSally 59% Another candidate 3% Some of the time/Never 893 85% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 2%
Sample: 1,041 Respondents

White evangelical, attend
White evang attend weekly or more 78 7% White evang attend less than weekly 76 6% All others 847 87% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 47% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,001 Respondents

White evangelical, educ 2 categories
White evang/born-again college 64 4% White evang/born-again non college 91 9% All others 850 87% Kyrsten Sinema 51% Martha McSally 46% Another candidate 3%
Sample: 1,005 Respondents

White evangelical, educ 2 categories, sex
White evang/born-again college men 30 4% White evang/born-again college women 34 3% White evang/born-again non college men 28 6% White evang/born-again non college women 63 8% All others 392 80% Kyrsten Sinema 49% Martha McSally 46% Another candidate 4%
Sample: 547 Respondents