Fox News Weather Center

Atlantic storm to bring rough surf to eastern US beaches on Father's Day weekend

A storm off the Atlantic Coast of the United States has the potential to become a tropical system and produce rough surf and downpours during Father's Day weekend.

A system responsible for producing locally severe thunderstorms from the Midwest to the Southeast coast to end the week will stall for a time over the Atlantic Ocean this weekend.

How long the storm stalls and how much it strengthens will determine how rough the surf gets and whether rain develops along the East Coast.

"The storm is expected to stall then move back northwest toward the southern New England coast on Sunday and Monday," according to AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski.

Even though the storm could develop tropical characteristics, it will not occur immediately and may attain these conditions for only a short period of time.

There is slight chance this system could acquire enough tropical characteristics to be classified as a subtropical storm.

While fully tropical storms tend to be rather small with a compact area of strong winds and heavy rain, a subtropical storm can have these same characteristics, but over a broader area.

Should the system reach subtropical storm status, the next name on the list for the Atlantic basin in 2016 is Danielle.

Regardless of whether or not the system becomes subtropical or remains non-tropical, it will produce unfavorable conditions for those along the coast.

There is a possibility that strong winds, large waves and torrential downpours remain out at sea.

However, depending on how close to the coast the system wanders, rain could reach part of the U.S. East Coast, and surf is likely to build along beaches.

"The storm should strengthen enough to create winds of 40-50 mph with gusts over 60 mph," Kottlowski said.

"These stronger winds will be mainly over the open waters of the western Atlantic just offshore of Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey and New York this weekend and just off the coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island from Sunday night through Monday night," Kottlowski said.

The main impact of the storm on some coastal areas could be similar to that of a nor'easter.

Waves are likely to build and, in turn, the number and strength of rip currents will increase.

Other options this weekend into next week range from the storm remaining so weak that steering winds guide part of the system out to sea, while another part hovers along the southern Atlantic Coast with showers and thunderstorms.

Which scenario unfolds will determine where the roughest surf conditions will be and where the bulk of the rain falls this weekend and into next week.

Beach and boating interests should monitor the progress of the storm system this weekend and into next week.

"Even if the storm stalls and comes back toward the coast, many areas along the Atlantic Seaboard are still likely to have sunny weather for all or part of the Father's Day weekend," according to AccuWeather Meteorologist Edward Vallee.

"This has the potential to be one of the nicest weekends in recent memory for the entirety of the Northeast with low humidity, sunshine and seasonable temperatures," Vallee said.