• With: Charles Krauthammer

    KRAUTHAMMER: And then, all of a sudden, the October surprise.

    O'REILLY: OK. Ohio. That's where it is. I think the winner of Ohio wins the election. Do you have any special feeling for that state. Because I don't. I think Romney will take Florida and Virginia and North Carolina based on what I've seen.

    KRAUTHAMMER: I agree.

    O'REILLY: Ohio, I can't call it.

    KRAUTHAMMER: I think Ohio goes to Romney for the reasons Karl said. If you look at the early polling, Obama was way behind where he was four years ago.

    O'REILLY: OK.

    KRAUTHAMMER: And the other thing, as you see, the intensity factor in all the polls everywhere on Romney's side. And republicans tend to be somewhat under-represented in the polls.

    You put them all together, Romney wins Ohio, one more state and he's president.

    O'REILLY: All right, Charles, we appreciate it. Everybody will be here Tuesday as I mentioned. On deck, Pat Caddell who polled for Jimmy Carter. And we all know how that turned out.

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