An area of showers and thunderstorms is moving across the Mozambique channel, just west of Madagascar.
This area of showers and thunderstorms will become better organized over the next 24 hours as it moves eastward over the warm ocean waters.
Favorable conditions will allow this area of showers and thunderstorms to quickly organize into a tropical cyclone.
After developing, the cyclone is expected to turn south to southeast and approach southwestern Madagascar by Thursday.
The center of the cyclone will more than likely remain offshore; however, heavy rain and some gusty winds could impact southwestern Madagascar, leading to the threat of flooding.
By Friday, the cyclone will race southward over the open ocean with no future impacts on any landmass before being absorbed into a large storm system over the southern Indian Ocean.