Sunday's AAA 400 at Dover International Speedway is the third and final race of the Challenger Round of the Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup. At the conclusion of the Dover race, 12 drivers will advance to the Contender Round of the Chase, while the bottom four in points will be eliminated from title contention.
The competition for the 12 transfer spots is very tight right now.
Following are the Contender Round clinch scenarios for each Chase driver at Dover, regardless of the finish of any other driver.
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Denny Hamlin and Matt Kenseth have already clinched a spot in the Contender Round by virtue of winning races in this round.
Carl Edwards needs 12 points. (a 32nd-place finish and no laps led, 33rd and at least one lap led, or 34th and most laps led).
Joey Logano needs 13 points. (31st and no laps, 32nd and at least one lap, 33rd and most laps led).
Jimmie Johnson needs 19 points. (25th and no laps, 26th and at least one lap, 27th and most laps led).
Ryan Newman needs 28 points. (16th and no laps, 17th and at least one lap, 18th and most laps led).
Kurt Busch needs 29 points. (15th and no laps, 16th and at least one lap, 17th and most laps led).
Brad Keselowski needs 30 points. (14th and no laps, 15th and at least one lap, 16th and most laps led).
Martin Truex Jr. needs 31 points. (13th and no laps, 14th and at least one lap, 15th and most laps led).
Jeff Gordon needs 34 points. (10th and no laps, 11th and at least one lap, 12th and most laps led).
Jamie McMurray, Dale Earnhardt Jr., Kyle Busch, Paul Menard, Kevin Harvick and Clint Bowyer only control their own destinies with a victory.