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Humberto Becomes First Hurricane Of 2013

Hurricane Humberto on September 11, 2013.

Hurricane Humberto on September 11, 2013.  (National Weather Service)

The first hurricane of the 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season has arrived, just a few hours short of setting a record for the latest ‘first’ hurricane during the satellite era. The record is held by Gustav (2002) which formed on September 11th by 8 a.m. ET. According to climatology, an average of three hurricanes have formed by September 11th of each Atlantic Hurricane Season.

Hurricane Humberto formed early Wednesday morning. The National Hurricane Center issued an update at 5 a.m. ET, stating that Hurricane Humberto had formed in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean, with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph and gusts as high as 90 mph.

Humberto is currently no threat to land but is forecast to strengthen over the next 24 hours before encountering less favorable conditions, such as wind shear and cooler water. Over the next several days, Humberto will continue moving across the Atlantic Ocean in a generally northward direction, until Friday, when it is forecast to make a westward turn. Computer models do not point to a U.S. landfall down the road, but uncertainty is high with long-term weather forecasts. Therefore, we will need to keep an eye on the storm.

Meanwhile, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring another area of disturbed weather moving across the Yucatan Peninsula and western Caribbean Sea, giving it a 40 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours, and a 70 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within the next 5 days as it moves across the warm waters of the Bay of Campeche at that time. Regardless of development, heavy rain and gusty winds are possible across the Yucatan Peninsula, Guatemala and Belize during the next day or two.

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