By , D.J. Foster
Published December 29, 2015
Each Tuesday, WhatIfSports.com's NFL simulation engine generates predictions and box scores for every NFL game for the coming week. Our highly sophisticated algorithms simulate every play of every game to produce each team's likelihood to win. Each matchup is simulated 501 times.
To account for injuries and roster moves announced late in the week, we will be re-simulating games on Thursdays through the season.
Note: Our predictions use the latest available team and player information, while NFL SimMatchup includes all players that were or will be available at any point during the 2015 season so that theoretical and "what if" scenarios can be simulated.
Week 16 review
Our NFL simulation engine put up another strong week, this time going 11-5 in picking games straight up. Picking against the spread was a little trickier, however, as the engine went 5-6.
Wide Right: The Ravens-Steelers rivalry took another unexpected turn. We predicted the Steelers would win 84.5 percent of the time by an average score of 32-20. Instead, the Ravens pulled off a 20-17 victory.
Week 17 Game to Watch
Vikings at Packers: In a battle for the NFC North division championship, the Packers will try to capture the crown for the fifth consecutive year. Our prediction engine has the Packers protecting home field and winning 54.5 percent of the time by an average score of 24-23.
Week 17 Upset Pick
Eagles (+3) over Giants: Our engine basically has this one as a pick 'em, but is giving the narrowest of edges to the Eagles. Our projections have the Eagles pulling off the road upset 50.8 percent of the time by an average score of 26-25.
Fantasy Start -- C.J. Anderson, DEN: He's been hit or miss all season, but in a matchup against the league's worst run defense, Anderson is projected to have a heavy workload and put up RB1 numbers.
Fantasy Sit -- Philip Rivers, SD: Avoiding Denver's secondary has been a smart play all year, and our projections have Rivers struggling in this matchup. Rivers isn't projected to score in the top-20 of all quarterbacks in Week 17.
Fantasy Add -- Heath Miller, PIT: With Ben Roethlisberger under center, Heath Miller is back as a strong TE1 play. He's projected to score 7.9 points this week against the Browns.
For more fantasy football tips, view our Week 17 player projections.
NFL Week 17 Predictions
|Matchup||Win %||Avg. Score|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||20.2||15||Box Score|
|@ Carolina Panthers||79.8||27||Simulate Game|
|San Diego Chargers||22.2||19||Box Score|
|@ Denver Broncos||77.8||30||Simulate Game|
|Baltimore Ravens||33.1||19||Box Score|
|@ Cincinnati Bengals||66.9||25||Simulate Game|
|Seattle Seahawks||37.7||21||Box Score|
|@ Arizona Cardinals||62.3||25||Simulate Game|
|Jacksonville Jaguars||37.9||19||Box Score|
|@ Houston Texans||62.1||23||Simulate Game|
|Oakland Raiders||38.3||22||Box Score|
|@ Kansas City Chiefs||61.7||26||Simulate Game|
|Tennessee Titans||40.1||19||Box Score|
|@ Indianapolis Colts||59.9||23||Simulate Game|
|Minnesota Vikings||45.5||23||Box Score|
|@ Green Bay Packers||54.5||24||Simulate Game|
|New Orleans Saints||46.5||27||Box Score|
|@ Atlanta Falcons||53.5||28||Simulate Game|
|Philadelphia Eagles||50.8||26||Box Score|
|@ New York Giants||49.2||25||Simulate Game|
|Detroit Lions||53.3||22||Box Score|
|@ Chicago Bears||46.7||21||Simulate Game|
|Washington Redskins||64.6||26||Box Score|
|@ Dallas Cowboys||35.4||20||Simulate Game|
|St. Louis Rams||68.5||27||Box Score|
|@ San Francisco 49ers||31.5||20||Simulate Game|
|New York Jets||73.5||23||Box Score|
|@ Buffalo Bills||26.5||15||Simulate Game|
|Pittsburgh Steelers||81.7||31||Box Score|
|@ Cleveland Browns||18.3||19||Simulate Game|
|New England Patriots||85.8||31||Box Score|
|@ Miami Dolphins||14.2||17||Simulate Game|