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PTS
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RANK
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PCT
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1
Will the speech exceed 80 minutes?
Yes
80+ minute address
45 pts
Yes (45 pts): 80+ minute address
No (75 pts): Under 80 minutes
2
Which topic appears first in the official transcript?
Border / Immigration
Immigration is a major Trump policy
50 pts
Border / Immigration (50 pts): Immigration is a major Trump policy
Economy / Inflation (60 pts): Trump may address lower prices
Foreign Policy (80 pts): He announced Greenland interest in 2025
Other Topic (100 pts): 45.6M watched SOTU address in 2018
3
Rank these specific terms based on their total frequency in President Trump’s speech
1
Economy / Inflation
He called for "no tax on tips" in 2025
2
Border / Immigration
Trump's 2025 speech lasted 100 minutes
3
China
Nancy Pelosi ripped his 2020 speech
4
Ukraine
Radio first aired SOTU in 1923
4 correct = 60 pts, 2 correct = 25 pts, 1 correct = 10 pts
4
Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average close down 0.75% or more on Feb. 25?
No
Drop <0.75%
45 pts
Yes (65 pts): Drop ≥0.75%
No (45 pts): Drop <0.75%
5
Will proceedings be formally interrupted during the speech?
Yes
First SOTU was in New York in 1790
55 pts
Yes (55 pts): First SOTU was in New York in 1790
No (65 pts): George Washington gave the shortest SOTU
6
Will President Trump sign or announce an Executive Order within 24 hours after the SOTU concludes?
Yes
FDR named it "State of the Union"
45 pts
Yes (45 pts): FDR named it "State of the Union"
No (75 pts): LBJ moved SOTU to prime time
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