Scratch Stanford off the list of College Football Playoff contenders. Baylor is in big trouble, too. And the Bears' loss could be Notre Dame's gain.
The Cardinal were felled be a familiar nemesis Saturday night, losing to Oregon 38-36 in a game that left the Pac-12's playoff hopes in a precarious position. The Bears had their unbeaten season ended at home by Oklahoma. The Sooners' 44-34 victory flips the focus in the Big 12 from the Lone Star state to the state of Oklahoma.
Baylor and TCU were the favorites coming into the season, but now it looks as if Bedlam will decide the Big 12. No. 12 Oklahoma (9-1) plays No. 5 Oklahoma State (10-0) in Stillwater on the Saturday after Thanksgiving. The Cowboys came from 17 down to rally for a 35-31 win at Iowa State.
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Stanford (8-2) had been rolling since losing its opener against Northwestern, but now the Cardinal have likely been relegated to spoilers. They finish the regular-season against No. 6 Notre Dame (9-1), which was fourth in the latest selection committee rankings.
Even if the Cardinal win out and win the Pac-12, getting into the playoff with two losses will take some serious chaos breaking out around the country.
The Bears (8-1), with their flimsy nonconference schedule, had been in unbeaten-or-bust mode all season. Oklahoma was their first major test and Baylor failed. The Bears go to Oklahoma State next week and still play TCU and Texas. There is time for things to break the Bears way, but not many chances for quality wins. Meanwhile, TCU barely got by Kansas on Saturday, and star quarterback Trevone Boykin left early with an injury.
Those Big 12 developments have to help Notre Dame. If the Irish can run the table and finish 11-1 with victories against Stanford and USC and a two-point loss at Clemson, they have to like their chances against an 11-1 Big 12 champion. Remember, Notre Dame opened the season by hammering Texas, the team that beat Oklahoma.
As for the Pac-12, the league's best - and maybe only - hope to break into the final four is Utah (8-1), which was playing at Arizona late Saturday.
NEW NO. 1?
At the top of the playoff rankings Clemson, Alabama and Ohio State all won, but the results could give the selection committee reason to reconsider its No. 1.
The Tigers have held the top spot the last two weeks, but came out a bit flat defensively in a classic letdown game against Syracuse. A week after beating Florida State at home, Deshaun Watson and Co. never could pull away from the Orange in a 37-27 victory in the Carrier Dome.
Alabama (9-1) had no such troubles bouncing back from its showdown game last week against LSU. Derrick Henry and the Tide pounded Mississippi State 31-6 in Starkville, Mississippi.
Though it should be noted: The SEC West looks very much like Alabama and a bunch of other teams. The Tide certainly pass the eye test, but its good wins keep getting dinged. LSU might be the only SEC West team left in the rankings on Tuesday night, and the Tigers just got beat at home by Arkansas.
As for the Buckeyes, their 11-week tuneup ended with another ho-hum victory, this on a 28-3 smothering at Illinois.
At last there are some big games ahead for Ohio State. Next week, No. 14 Michigan State visits Columbus, Ohio. The following week, Ohio State is at No. 15 Michigan.
The Buckeyes have rarely been threatened by mostly so-so opposition on their way to 10-0, but they have also rarely looked like the juggernaut many expected this season.
The College Football Playoff selection committee slotted the Buckeyes at No. 3 in its rankings, a nod to their unbeaten record and maybe a case of the panel having a hard time wiping from its collective memory last season's impressive championship run by Ohio State.
Doesn't matter. All Ohio State's warts will vanish with victories against Michigan State, Michigan and then Iowa in the Big Ten championship game. There would be no question about whether the Buckeyes would get to defend their title in the playoff.
Follow Ralph D. Russo at https://twitter.com/ralphDrussoAP