Updated

The crazy regular season in college basketball doesn't guarantee an equally wild NCAA tournament.

Consider the 2007 and 2011 tourneys — the two extremes of predictability in recent memory. In 2011, a mostly tranquil regular season led into a bracket full of underdogs advancing, including the Butler-VCU national semifinal.

In 2007, the top teams didn't dominate in the regular season, but there were few upsets in the tourney, and Florida repeated as champion.

This season, the schools atop the poll have been very beatable. But they could get favorable matchups in the tournament. And they won't have to play any road games.