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Drier pattern to aid flood recovery across the south-central US early next week

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Relief is on the way for the water-logged South Central states as a drier and more stable weather pattern develops early next week.

A large, slow-moving disturbance led to the prolonged unsettled and rather wet period across Texas, Louisiana and Arkansas this past week and weekend.

"A stationary storm has brought days of rain to areas of eastern Texas but the weather pattern across Texas will finally change. High pressure will build across the state from the north, forcing this storm southwards," said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dave Samuhel.

Many locations in this region received 50-70 percent of the monthly rainfall for the month of June in less than four days.

Houston, Texas, one of the hardest-hit locations, received almost 10 inches of rainfall, when they usually receive less than six throughout the month of June.

The Brazos River, just outside Richmond, Texas, peaked at a record 54.81 inches late last week, putting it well above major flood status. Minor to moderate flooding occurred across many of the South Central states, leading to mandatory evacuations.

However, the wet weather pattern will be replaced by a much drier one, which will assist the clean-up efforts across this region.

The leading edge of the drier air will be brought in by a southward-advancing cold front later in the weekend. The proximity of this front will ignite a spotty afternoon shower or thunderstorm into Sunday evening.

The southward crawl of this cold front will draw in high pressure which will promote brighter and drier conditions by Monday and Tuesday.

High pressure will also ensure that the potential tropical system will not have any impacts to the region as this disturbance is forecast to be steered eastward away from the area.

By the middle of the week, high pressure will have firm grasp on the region and will remain in place through the end of the week.

Although the pattern set up for the new week will be significantly drier, the stray afternoon shower or thunderstorm can not be ruled out for locations in the Rio Grande Valley. From San Antonio, Texas, eastward across to New Orleans, the building high pressure will hinder much of the thunderstorm activity.

"There can still be a few heavy thunderstorms across the lower Texas coast on Monday and Tuesday, but the rest of the state will finally dry out," Samuhel said

The influx of this high pressure will also spark a warming trend, bringing afternoon temperatures back into the 80s F and 90s, which is typical for the beginning of June.

The dry spell will stretch through the first half of the weekend, and the next shot at some unsettled weather looks to rumble back into the region on Saturday.