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Tropics to Attempt to Come Alive Near Bahamas This Week

A tropical low will attempt to give the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season one last gasp near the Bahamas early this week.

The low being closely monitored by the AccuWeather Hurricane Center is currently spinning near the Turks and Caicos Islands, then will track near the Bahamas on Sunday night into Monday night.

"A short window will open for the system to strengthen into a tropical cyclone," stated AccuWeather Meteorologist Evan Duffey.

"Wind shear in the vicinity of the Bahamas is expected to be low around the time this disturbance reaches the area, and water temperatures remain conducive for development."

Such conditions could cause the low to become the first tropical depression in the Atlantic since Joaquin pounded the Bahamas about a month ago.

If the low continues to strengthen into a tropical storm, it would acquire the name "Kate." The window for the low to develop and strengthen should be too brief for it to have an opportunity to become a hurricane.

Rain squalls accompanying the low will graze the eastern islands of the Bahamas on Sunday night into Monday night. Seas will also build and become a concern for bathers, boaters and cruise interests.

The rain, wind and seas will further increase around the low if it strengthens.

After passing near the Bahamas, the low will not pose a threat to the United States thanks to the low set to spread rain up the east coast of the U.S. early this week.

"This low will alter the steering flow pattern and guide the [tropical] disturbance in question northward between the U.S. coast and Bermuda," stated Duffey. An eventual turn to the northeast will then follow.

The tropical low will begin curving away from the U.S. by Tuesday.

As the tropical low is steered back out into the western Atlantic, wind shear will increase and it will eventually get absorbed by the East Coast system. That will end any chances for further tropical development or strengthening by midweek.

Depending on how quick the low is pulled to the north by the other system will determine whether Bermuda will experience enhanced rain and gusty winds at midweek or if the adverse weather will bypass the island nation to the north.

The tropical low could prove to be the last gasp for the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season, which officially ends on Nov. 30.

"Strengthening westerly winds and cooling waters bring the demise of tropical systems as the month progresses," stated AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski.

"Following this threat, the basin may be finished churning up tropical storms and hurricanes, aside from perhaps a poorly organized drenching system in the Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico."

Prior to this weekend, there have been 10 tropical storms and three hurricanes, two of which became major hurricanes during the 2015 season. All numbers were below the average of 12 tropical storms, six hurricane and three major hurricanes.

Joaquin, which blasted the Bahamas and sent tropical moisture into the Southeastern states, stopped just short of being a Category 5 hurricane. Tropical storms Ana and Bill were the only two systems to make landfall in the U.S.