High pressure will be anchored over northern Europe this week and will result in an extended period of dry and comfortable weather from Ireland and the United Kingdom through France, Germany and Poland.
Seasonable temperatures are expected from the United Kingdom into western Germany and northern France. Daily high temperatures will range from 16-19 C (60-66 F) with partly to mostly sunny skies.
Farther east, dry weather will also prevail from Hungary through Poland and the Baltic states. Conditions will be seasonably cool through Thursday with a warming trend from Friday into the weekend. Despite temperatures a few degrees below normal, sunshine will make for pleasant afternoons.
While northern Europe enjoys dry and pleasant weather this week, a strengthening area of low pressure will bring unsettled weather from eastern Spain into Italy as the week progresses.
The area of low pressure will pass just south of Spain on Tuesday, fueling showers and thunderstorms across the eastern half of the nation, including Malaga, Murcia, Valencia and Barcelona.
Rain and storms will also spread across northeast Morocco and northern Algeria where localized flash flooding is possible.
The storm system will pass near the Balearic Islands Wednesday, bringing downpours to the islands as well as northern Algeria and Tunisia. Rain will reach Sardinia late Wednesday afternoon.
While rain will continue across northern Algeria and Tunisia on Thursday, the heaviest downpours will impact areas from Sardinia into southern and central Italy, including Rome and Naples.
By Friday, much of Italy will experience rain and thunderstorms. The rainfall will be heavy enough to produce localized flash flooding. The threat for rain will also spread into southeast France on Friday.