Tropical Development Possible Across the Atlantic This Week

Having just passed the peak of the hurricane season in the Atlantic, a couple features will be monitored for development this week.

Not only is the Atlantic Basin currently quiet of any tropical systems, all other basins across the globe are also quiet at this time.

The remnants of Linda across the eastern Pacific remain well west of the Baja California Peninsula and may bring welcome rainfall to Southern California early this week.

Two systems are currently being monitored in the western Pacific for development this week.

A total of eight tropical systems have developed in the Atlantic so far this season. The most recent system was Henri, who is tracking toward western Europe as a tropical rainstorm.

While the Atlantic is quiet, a couple tropical waves are being monitored for development this week.

The first tropical wave, located to the southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, is expected to slowly organize through the week and could become the next system in the Atlantic.

The jet stream is expected to dig southward across the central Atlantic through midweek and cause this system to steer northward over the open waters of the Atlantic, thus preventing any impacts to the United States.

A second wave is expected to move off the coast of Africa into Monday, which could develop over time.

This system, which looks to track farther south than the first wave, may take a track more west to west-northwest over the open waters of the Atlantic.

It is too early to determine whether this second feature would be any threat to land.

Both of these systems will track over warm waters in the eastern Atlantic, but battle moderate wind shear. This shear will likely cause these systems to develop slowly through the week.

Wind shear is defined as the change in wind speed and/or direction with height. Greater changes in wind speed or direction leads to stronger wind shear, which inhibits tropical development.

Should one system intensify into a tropical storm, it will be given the name Ida. Should both systems develop, the second storm will be named Joaquin.

While we just passed the peak of the hurricane season on Sept. 11, tropical systems can still develop well into the autumn season. The official end to the hurricane season is Nov. 30.

AccuWeather will continue to provide updates across all ocean basins this week for development.