A prolonged stretch of dry and hot conditions will be erased as thunderstorms and more seasonable conditions move into Texas midweek.
According to AccuWeather Meteorologist Josh Searles, "The combination of enhanced moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and an advancing cold front will cause showers and thunderstorms to develop across parts of Texas by midweek."
After a very wet spring across much of Texas, rain was little to be seen across much of the state during the summer.
The majority of Texas received 200 percent or more of their normal rainfall during from the beginning of March to the end of June. While the Texas Panhandle remained wet through the hot summer months of July and August, much of central and eastern Texas was quite dry.
|City||Rainfall (Mar 1 to Jun 30)||Percent of Normal||Rainfall (Jul 1 to Aug 31)||Percent of Normal|
According to AccuWeather Meteorologist Becky Elliott, "In Houston, nearly 200% of their normal precipitation was recorded in April and June and in May, it was nearly 300% of normal."
"Conditions dried out drastically, with Houston only receiving 16 percent of their normal rainfall in July," she added.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, nearly 91 percent of Texas was drought free into the beginning of June. Since then, only 58 percent of the state remains drought free, which is the western half and along the southeast coast. Parts of northeastern Texas are currently in a severe and extreme drought.
The lack of tropical systems tracking across the Gulf of Mexico due to El Niño has not helped in receiving summertime rainfall.
While thunderstorms this week will not end the redeveloped drought across eastern Texas, it will bring some relief.
Any thunderstorms that develop could produce locally heavy downpours, which could lead to localized areas of flash flooding and mudslides.
"This front will be packing plenty of moisture, so thunderstorms are likely from Wednesday through Friday," Elliott said. "These storms are more likely to produce heavy rainfall than anything severe."
Coincidently, the heaviest storms are expected to track across the drought areas of eastern Texas.
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A break from the summer heat will also occur across much of Texas into the weekend. While temperatures will not drop significantly, temperatures will lower to near-seasonable values.
As we transition into the fall and the winter seasons, an expected strong El Niño will provide the opportunity for plenty of rain to fall across Texas.