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Fox News Weather Center

New Tropical System Likely Across the Atlantic Basin This Week

As Danny tracks across the Caribbean, a new disturbance over the Atlantic, currently identified as 98L, will likely become the next tropical depression early this week.

Should this system strengthen to a tropical storm, it would be given the name Erika.

Breaking: Danny Brings Rain to the Leeward Islands

"This developing system will likely follow the track of Danny and approach the Leeward Islands later this week," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Matt Rinde said.

This system is currently located about halfway between Africa and the Windward Islands of the Caribbean in an area of warm water and low wind shear.

"The factors that can promote organization and intensification of tropical systems will be present through at least midweek," AccuWeather Meteorologist Michael Doll said.

The environment ahead of this system is enriched with moisture recently left from Danny.

"Wind shear is when strong winds near the surface and aloft blow strongly from different directions," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said.

Tropical systems prefer to develop in areas of weak wind shear. If wind shear is too strong, the system becomes disorganized and weakens, as is the case with Danny.

This system could also be steered by a large dome of high pressure across the Atlantic, known as the Bermuda High, and pass to the north of the Caribbean and move across the western Atlantic Ocean toward Bermuda.

There is uncertainty with regard to the potential strength and track of this system. There is a chance it will follow a similar track of Danny and bring much-needed rainfall to the Caribbean.

It is too early to determine whether this system could bring any impacts to the United States.

As this storm heads westward toward the Caribbean, it will encounter an area of strong wind shear, which could cause this storm to weaken, similar to Danny.

While parts of the Caribbean will receive beneficial rainfall from Danny, there is the possibility for more additional rainfall should this feature track toward the Caribbean.

Much of the eastern half of Puerto Rico is under at least a severe drought, according to the United States Drought Monitor. Because of this, water rationing programs are in effect on the eastern side of the island.

The AccuWeather Hurricane Center will continue to monitor the development of this feature, as well as all other tropical features across all ocean basins.

Despite a quiet first half of the hurricane season across the Atlantic, late August and early September are typically the peak of tropical activity.

At this point in the hurricane season, water temperatures are at their warmest, especially over the eastern Atlantic. This gives waves moving across the Atlantic from Africa the best chance for development.

AccuWeather predicted eight tropical storms, four of those to become hurricanes across the Atlantic Basin this season.