Showers and thunderstorms in Florida through the end of the week will raise the risk of isolated flooding and could bring minor relief from drought in some locations.
According to AccuWeather Meteorologist Maggie Samuhel, a front will push southward across the Florida Peninsula this week before dissolving this weekend.
"Along and ahead of that front will be some locally drenching showers and thunderstorms," Samuhel said.
Some of the storms will bring rainfall rates on the order of 1-2 inches per hour, which is more than enough to cause urban flooding in some of the central and northern counties of the state.
Despite the sandy soil, the sub-surface is still rather wet from Tampa and Orlando, northward to Gainesville, Florida, due to the rounds of heavy rain from late July to early August. Some locations in this swath received 6-12 inches of rain.
According to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Paul Walker, "Areas from Interstate 4 to Fort Myers, Lake Okeechobee, Fort Pierce and perhaps the Palm Beach area can get in on some decent downpours into Friday."
A push of dry air will settled into the northern counties and will turn off the thunderstorms from much of the Florida Panhandle to perhaps the northeastern counties of the state.
Some downpours will reach South Florida, including along Miami and Fort Lauderdale areas. The best chance of multiple downpours will be through Thursday.
"From Friday and into the weekend, it looks as though the pattern of an easterly flow will resume with most storms setting up west of I-95 from the late morning through the afternoon," Samuhel said.
Unlike that of late July, there is no indication of any tropical development along nearby Gulf of Mexico or Atlantic waters. Even so, since stalled fronts in the area are a known spark for tropical development, the area will be watched closely.
Miami has received only about 60 percent of its average rainfall of 24 inches from May 1 to Aug. 11. During the same period, Fort Lauderdale has received only about 25 percent of its average rainfall of 26 inches.
During the first part of August, Miami has fared better with slightly above-average rainfall. However, some locations in southeastern Florida are running a rainfall deficit of 10-20 inches since the middle of the spring.
AccuWeather has released its United States fall forecast with a winter preview, which discusses more rain prospects for Florida in the next several months.