An unusually quiet Atlantic tropical system will see an uptick in activity this weekend and into next week.
Due to a particular strong El Nino this summer, unfavorable conditions for tropical development have remained in place over the Atlantic Ocean as well as the Gulf of Mexico.
However, a storm system a few hundred miles southwest of the Cape Verde Island has become more organized as it moves away from the African coastline and into slightly more hospitable conditions for development.
Tropical systems require warm ocean waters, little to no wind shear and a moist, unstable environment to promote thunderstorm development.
Atmosphere conditions currently in place could allow for this storm system to become better organized this weekend.
The period of strengthening for this system will be short-lived, however, as it will start to move into less favorable conditions early next week.
According to AccuWeather Meteorologist Anthony Sagliani, "94L has a tremendous amount of dry, dusty air from Africa on its north and east sides. This makes it very difficult to sustain long bouts of deep convection, which is what tropical cyclones need to grown and mature."
This system is expected to track west-northwest, bringing it into an area of increasing wind shear as well as drier, more stable air.
Both of these conditions -- more shear and drier air -- inhibit tropical develop which will lead to rapid weakening.
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Sagliani agrees stating "While there have been some flair-ups of convection, they are likely to be short-lived, and overall organization of the storm will be very difficult."
Behind this system, the tropics are expected to become quiet once again.