Despite weakening, Carlos still threatens the southwestern tip of Mexico with flooding downpours and locally strong wind gusts into Thursday.
Carlos has undergone rapid weakening since late Tuesday due to interaction with drier air aloft and the mountainous terrain of Mexico, a trend that will continue into Thursday.
By Wednesday night, Carlos is expected to weaken to a tropical depression and should meet its total demise before this weekend.
A weaker Carlos will prevent the southwestern tip of Mexico from facing widespread flooding rain and destructive winds, but residents and visitors should not let their guard down.
Carlos will still fuel drenching showers and thunderstorms across the Mexican states of Colima, Jalisco and Nayarit into Thursday. This includes Puerto Vallarta.
"There will be localized rainfall amounts of 25 to 75 mm (1 to 3 inches)," stated AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Rob Miller.
The highest amounts, which the higher terrain will be most susceptible to, may trigger flash flooding and mudslides across the rugged terrain.
Carlos is a very compact tropical system, which will keep its strongest winds confined to the coastline of Jalisco. Gusts to around 80 kph (50 mph) are expected, threatening to cause isolated tree damage and sporadic power outages.
Carlos will also keep surf dangerously rough along the southwestern coast of Mexico into Thursday.
While Carlos followed on the heels of Blanca, the same will not occur in the wake of Carlos with no new tropical development expected over the next few days.