Fox News Weather Center

Tropical System May Brew in Gulf of Mexico Early This Week

The tropics will begin to show signs of life in the Gulf of Mexico early this week, putting lives and property in danger across Texas, Louisiana, Oklahoma and Arkansas.

A disturbance moving from the Yucatan Peninsula over the Gulf of Mexico will have a window of opportunity to organize itself late in the weekend and into the first part of the new week, potentially becoming a tropical depression or tropical storm.

Fortunately, this disturbance is expected to remain relatively weak and should be a far cry from a powerful, destructive hurricane.

This does not mean that people across the region should let their guard down as it can still bring a wide range of impacts.

Flooding is likely to be the most widespread danger with this system with the potential for significant flooding to occur where the heaviest rain falls.

According to Accuweather Senior Meteorologist Frank Strait, "I think it's a long shot that we actually see a depression or storm form here, but there is still some chance for it."

If a tropical storm were to develop, it would take the name of Bill.

"Wether or not a tropical system develops, a whole lot of moisture is coming," said Strait.

Several inches of rain are likely to fall over a wide swath of the southern Plains and Gulf Coast through Tuesday with the heaviest rain focusing on eastern Texas, western Louisiana and Arkansas. Some locations may end up receiving over 6 inches of rain from Monday morning through Tuesday night.

This can create major flooding issues across the region, especially following all of the rain and flooding that occurred over the southern Plains during the month of May.

People should take action now to prepare for the flooding potential, especially those who live near a body of water such as a river or dam.

The first part of June has not been as wet across the southern Plains as it was in May, allowing for flood waters to recede and rivers to drain downstream.

Unfortunately, some rivers across eastern Texas and western Louisiana are still running dangerously high, such as the Red River in Louisiana.

Water levels will start to rise once again as the plethora of tropical moisture streams over the region, allowing for flooding to resume.

The southern Plains and the Gulf Coast will not be the only regions impacted by this system.

The rain and moisture is forecast to advance toward the Midwest and Tennessee during the middle part of the week. However, there are still some uncertainties on where exactly the rain will go after soaking the Southern states.

Continue to check back with over the coming days as our team of meteorologists identifies the path that this moisture will eventually take.