After a brief respite from stormy weather on Monday, the central Plains can expect yet another round of thunderstorms and heavy rain for the middle of the week.
A noticeably cooler first day of the week is on tap for Kansas up to the Dakotas as a cold air mass settles in behind the front that produced all of the severe weather over the weekend.
The threat of severe weather will stay confined to portions of the southern Plains for the first few days of the week. Southwestern Texas and eastern New Mexico look to be the target area for strong storms that would produce damaging winds and hail.
A warm front lifting north through the High Plains on Monday night into Tuesday will usher in an abundance of moisture to the region.
Rain and thunderstorms will break out across western Texas into western Colorado late in the day Monday. Storms will merge into an organized cluster that pushes eastward across Kansas, Oklahoma and northern Texas overnight and through the day Tuesday.
This system is going to be slow-moving and packed with moisture. This will lead to concern for flash flooding after pro-longed periods of rain over areas that have become saturated after multiple rounds of severe weather and heavy rainfall.
According to flash flood guidance from the National Weather Service, some locations in the central Plains can only stand to pick up 1-2 inches of rain in 3 hours before flash flooding would occur.
Senior Meteorologist Jack Boston says that the storm track that will provide this extended period of rainfall over the central Plains is largely a result of a springtime El Nino pattern.
Keep in mind these Flash Flood Safety Tips as you go about your week.