Barely a week after the last snowstorm pounded Turkey, another will bring rain, wind and heavy snow across the country as a trough of low pressure digs south across the region. Moisture being pulled to the north from the Mediterranean Sea will combine with cold air from Russia to produce a widespread and long-lived snowstorm.
While western Turkey was hit hard by the previous storm, the worst of this snowstorm is expected to occur across the eastern half of the country, as well as the mountainous terrain into Georgia and Armenia. However, western parts of the country will still see snow showers, but only light accumulations.
Snow is expected to begin on Monday across many areas in central and eastern Turkey, but the heaviest snow will fall Tuesday and Wednesday in areas such as Erzincan and Erzurum. Occasional snow may even continue to fall into Thursday in some places.
Snow accumulations of 13-25 cm (5-10 inches) are expected to be widespread in eastern Turkey with local amounts in excess of 30 cm (12 inches). In the highest terrain, total accumulations could near 60 cm (24 inches), which is great news for the many ski resorts scattered across eastern Turkey but bad news for travelers.
Due to the long duration of the snow that is expected in eastern Turkey, residents that live in smaller towns and villages could be isolated for several days until the snow ends and roads and cleared. Even travel in larger cities will be difficult with schools and some businesses likely to close.
This storm system will have long-lasting and far-reaching effects on the region through the week. While snow falls in Turkey, rounds of showers will move into areas from Syria to Israel during the course of the week. As cold air sinks to the south, snow is expected to fall in the mountains from western Syria to northern Israel late in the week.
It may not be until the weekend that the region has significantly drier conditions.