As has been the pattern so far this winter, storm after storm has affected southern and eastern Europe.
The first full week of 2015 will not be any different as yet another winter storm will move northeastward from Turkey and into southern Russia and Georgia.
This storm will take shape over Turkey Monday. At the same time, cold air from northern Europe will drain into the strengthening storm system.
Much like other portions of the world, Turkey will experience two interesting meteorological phenomena that will contribute to heavy snow of 15-30 cm (6-12 inches) in the mountains and along the coast of the Black Sea.
Strong north winds will cause winds to travel up the Pontic mountains (which is called upslope flow) that will enhance snowfall rates along the north slopes.
Not only will the upslope flow create heavy snow, these north winds will be traveling over the Black Sea and will pick up its moisture and deposit it in the vicinity of this sea. Immediate coastal regions will be a bit too warm to experience heavy snow, but higher elevations just inland are going to be hit hard.
While on the cold side of the storm the major issue will be heavy snow, heavy rain will fall to the south and east. Southeastern Turkey, Lebanon and Israel are some regions that will experience the mild and wet side of this storm.
Ankara, the capital city of Turkey, looks to be especially hard hit. Blizzard-like conditions will be experienced during the peak of the storm Monday night and Tuesday with temperatures near -4C (25F), north winds gusting to near 50 kmh (about 30 mph). Without a doubt, travel will be severely impacted.