While Nuri did strengthen into a super typhoon on Sunday, it has begun to weaken and this trend will continue over the next several days as the powerful cyclone passes east of Japan.
The Philippines was spared the worst of Nuri as the storm turned northward over the weekend, leading to nothing more than rough seas and pounding surf for the country that is battered by numerous tropical cyclones each year.
Nuri is now tracking northward toward Japan, where there is some threat of heavy rainfall Wednesday night into Thursday.
Japan has already been battered by several power tropical cyclones this year, including Neoguri, Halong, Phanfone and Vongfong. Unlike these storms which tracked over Japan, Nuri will track east of Japan keeping the worst conditions over the open ocean.
High pressure currently over Japan will shift eastward from Wednesday into Thursday. This will allow Nuri to track northeast between the area of high pressure and Japan, keeping the cyclone well offshore.
As a result of its track, Japan will escape the worst of Nuri also; however, a band of heavy rainfall will pass near or over the coast of eastern Honshu as the storm passes by Wednesday night into Thursday.
While the heaviest rainfall and strongest winds will remain well offshore, this band of rain could bring 25-75 mm (1-3 inches) of rain to eastern Honshu, including the Greater Tokyo Area.
If this band of heavy rainfall moves onshore, flash flooding with the be the greatest concern, although some localized wind gusts over 65 kph (40 mph) are possible.