The start of a new week will bring the same old story for northwestern Europe as a string of storms continues through Wednesday.
Last week, several smaller but still potent storms have brought strong winds and rounds of showers to much of the United Kingdom and Ireland. In the U.K., December and January were the wettest on record.
On Monday, a broad area of low pressure spinning over the United Kingdom will promote scattered clusters of showers and squalls. Meanwhile, a frontal boundary extending from the low will push eastward through France bringing periods of rain and a few stronger wind gusts to Paris.
High winds, gusting between 65 and 95 kph (40 to 60 mph), will be a concern along the west coast of France through Monday before the wind threat subsides. Downed trees and power lines are possible.
The initial area of low pressure will weaken on Tuesday, however, a second system will follow quickly in its heals and move through the Bay of Biscay and into western France late Tuesday and Tuesday night. This disturbance will keep the threat for some scattered showers around France on Wednesday, but a ridge of high pressure will poke up into the U.K., keeping much of the country dry.
Beyond Wednesday, the aforementioned ridge of high pressure will shift southeast and begin to establish itself across western Europe bringing a the potential for a prolonged spell of tranquil weather to France, Spain and Portugal.
A few showery spells will continue across portions of England and Wales Thursday and Friday, but as the storm track shifts northwestward, the focus for the most unsettled weather will also shift northward toward Scotland and the North Atlantic.
Beyond Friday, the ridge establishing itself over western Europe may strengthen enough to shift the storm track completely north of the U.K. If this occurs, drier and much milder weather would encompass much of western Europe.