Published September 18, 2013
As Acapulco cleans up after severe and deadly flooding, Manuel is strengthening and expected to impact the other Mexican resort area of Cabo San Lucas.
Manuel regained tropical depression status over the warm waters off the western Mexican coast Tuesday afternoon, 36 hours after weakening to a tropical rainstorm over southwestern Mexico.
Manuel is expected to continue strengthening, once again becoming a tropical storm as it churns in the Gulf of California before turning and crossing southern Baja California Sur Friday through Saturday.
As was the case before it first weakened, flooding rain and mudslides are the greatest danger Manuel poses to lives and property along and near its future path.
Rainfall will total 5 to 10 inches over the Mexican states of Sinaloa and far southern parts of Sonora. Mazatlan has already recorded more than 6 inches of rain in 48 hours, ending Wednesday morning.
Upwards of 10 to 12 inches will inundate southern Baja California Sur. That is especially true in the mountains between Cabo San Lucas and La Paz.
Bands of rain set to spread across Cabo San Lucas Thursday night through Saturday will amount to 4 to 8 inches. Most of that rain will likely come during the second half of this time frame.
Even where flooding does not ensue, visitors to the resorts or cruise ship ports in Cabo San Lucas should prepare for disruptions to outdoor plans.
Also accompanying Manuel across southern Baja California will be wind gusts of 40 to 60 mph, strong enough to cause tree damage, power outages and some minor damage to structures.
Gusts in Cabo San Lucas will be on the lower end of that range, while the strongest winds target the coast near La Paz.
Rough surf will create hazards for swimmers and small craft in the southern Gulf of California through Saturday.
Later in the weekend, the cool waters west of Baja California should once again cause Manuel to weaken.
The departure of Manuel from Mexico cannot come soon enough for residents. The combination of flooding from both Manuel and once-Hurricane Ingrid has been blamed on the deaths of at least 55 people, according to Reuters.
Thirty-four of those deaths occurred in Acapulco's home state of Guerrero. In Acapulco, mud completely blocked the entrance to a main hillside tunnel that leads into the city as waist-deep flood waters at the city's international airport prevented roughly 40,000 visitors from leaving.
During the inundation of heavy rain, 7.43 inches of rain alone fell on Acapulco in 24 hours (ending Sunday morning).
Farther east, torrential rain from Ingrid led to landslides that buried homes and a bus in the eastern state of Veracruz.
A couple of showers and thunderstorms will continue to stream across Acapulco and Mexico's southern coast through this weekend--potentially hindering cleanup efforts.
During that time, another Atlantic tropical system may attempt to organize in the western Gulf of Mexico and return drenching rain to the neighboring Mexican coast.