Published July 31, 2013
Unlike the Atlantic basin, the western Pacific Ocean is rather busy in terms of tropical activity.
In particular, the Western Pacific may be very active the next two weeks. The first system in line to affect the region is Tropical Storm Jebi, which is currently in the South China Sea, west of the Philippines, and is moving westward.
Jebi may impact land first over Hainan Island in southeastern China then continue westward and impact northern Vietnam beginning late Saturday morning, local time.
With warm waters and somewhat favorable atmospheric conditions, Jebi is likely to slowly strengthen before it affects land. It may be able to strengthen into a minimal typhoon.
Strong winds and heavy rain will likely cause damage to buildings and topple trees while flooding and mudslides threaten lives. There is the potential for 4-8 inches of rain from Hainan Island into northern Vietnam with local amounts over a foot.
A second tropical disturbance may develop be in the Philippine Sea early next week.
Additionally, a third system may form south of Guam later next week.