Fox News Weather Center

Tropical Atlantic: Monitoring Waters Near Mexico

While no tropical development is expected in the Atlantic Basin through this weekend, a system may try to organize in the vicinity of southern Mexico and Central America later next week.

According to Tropical Weather Expert Dan Kottlowski, "A sprawling area of dry air, associated with high pressure and strong westerly winds above the surface, will deter tropical development over the Atlantic Ocean through this weekend and into next week."

Westward-moving features, known as tropical waves, will continue to move along in the lowest levels of the atmosphere.

In order for any of these to develop, the strong westerly winds aloft, known as wind shear, would have to drop off.

There has been and continues to be some indication that a tropical wave could organize a bit in the swath from along the west coast of the Caribbean Sea to the southwestern Gulf of Mexico later next week, Kottlowski stated.

"The wind shear would have to decrease; otherwise, the feature would remain relatively weak in terms of tropical development," according to Kottlowski.

This region is a favored area for tropical development during June.

Steering winds expected later next week would generally likely take any feature in this area slowly toward the northeastern coast of Mexico.

There is a possibility of torrential showers and locally gusty thunderstorms in this region starting later next week, even if the system were to remain weak or fails to organize.

It is a bit too early to say whether or not any of that rainfall would reach farther north, into parts of Texas. Steering winds would likely keep this particular system south of Florida and the upper Gulf Coast.