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WEATHER

Close Call for Snow New York City to Boston

There is still a chance that significant snow reaches the New York City metropolitan area and southern New England with the storm situation at midweek.

It's nail-biting time for meteorologists as to how a storm that is currently tracking southeastward from the Midwest will behave.

Odds favor most of the snow Wednesday through Thursday night staying south of a line from northern New Jersey and New York City to Long Island, then northeastward to Boston.

However, there is a one-in-three chance the storm strengthens quickly enough upon reaching the coast Wednesday night to turn its track northeastward, rather than straight out to sea.

Only if this occurs would there be a few inches of accumulating snow and slippery roads around New York City and Long Island with heavier snow over southeastern New England.

If it fails to jog northward at the last minute, spotty snow mixed with rain will fall over part of the region with a small accumulation of snow perhaps on some non-paved surfaces.

At this time, the consensus among AccuWeather.com meteorologists is for the 1-2 feet of snow to stay in part of the central Appalachians centered on northwestern Virginia, eastern West Virginia and western Maryland.

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However, even with this track, heavy snow is likely in Washington, D.C., and Baltimore with flight delays and other travel issues.

The same storm will bring heavy snow from Minneapolis to Chicago and other major cities in Illinois, Indiana and Ohio Tuesday, which will also cause its share of flight and roadway delays.

In terms of wind and coastal flooding problems with the storm from northern New Jersey to southern New England, the magnitude also depends on the track and redevelopment of the storm near the coast.

A storm tracking farther north enough to bring a few inches of snow could also be strong enough to cause sporadic power outages, moderate beach erosion and minor to moderate coastal flooding around times of high tide Wednesday and Thursday.

However, just as Accuweather.com has been stating farther south in the mid-Atlantic, the storm will not hit during a period of high astronomical tides. The middle of this week is approximately halfway between the new and full moon.

One thing, though, since the storm will be exiting slowly to the east, a few days of slowly diminishing northeasterly winds may follow the storm. This flow could be at a favorable angle to keep water levels running above normal into the weekend with minor beach erosion. The pattern would break down several days before the new moon next week.

The same pattern may favor cold air and snow showers for the Northeast into the weekend.