Talking Points

Bill O'Reilly: The presidential election of 2016 is here

'The O'Reilly Factor': Bill O'Reilly's Talking Points 11/7


No sense in guessing who wins. According to the polls, the election is raiser close. I will predict though that the Republicans will hold both the House and the Senate. Currently there are eight dead heat Senate races I believe the GOP will win five of those. That means they will have a 51-49 advantage if they don't win any of the others.

On the presidential front, here are the final polls, Bloomberg has Clinton up by three. Investors' business daily has Trump up by two. CBS News, Clinton by four. FOX News Clinton by four. The battleground states, Quinnipiac has Clinton leading by one in Florida. Emerson Trump up by seven in Ohio. "New York Times" has at a tie in North Carolina. Remington Research has Trump up by one in Nevada. In New Hampshire, this chaos, Emerson has Clinton up by one. WMUR has Clinton up by a whopping 11 points. Somebody will be embarrassed tomorrow.

Now four years ago, a man named Nate Silver correctly predicted every single state in the Obama Romney race. Here is what he says about Clinton/Trump.


NATE SILVER, FOUNDER AND EDITOR-IN-CHIEF, FIVETHIRTYEIGHT: We show about a three point lead nationally for Clinton and she is about a two to one favorite. The Electoral College map is actually less solid for Clinton than it was for Obama four years ago. Four years ago we had Obama ahead in states totaling 320 some electoral votes. Clinton has about 270. So, she is one state away from potentially losing Electoral College. He would rather be in her shoes than Donald Trump's but it's not a terribly safe position.


O'REILLY: Again, Talking Points is not going to make a prediction on the presidential race but I will tell you that the Trump folks are hanging their hopes on voters who shun the polls who do not participate on that kind of thing. Hillary Clinton is pinning her hopes on a high minority turnout. According to the latest FOX poll, Mrs. Clinton is winning blacks 89 percent to four. Hispanics 63 percent to 30. Now there is no question that we the people have learned an awful lot in this campaign.

The Wikileaks hacking has exposed corruption in the press far beyond than what we knew. Both CNN and NBC News apparently have extensive ties to the Democratic establishment. And over the weekend we learned that "The Washington Post" columnist Dana Milbank who THE FACTOR has scrutinized before apparently collaborated on a column with the DNC staffer named Tyler Likens. Mr. Milbank did not mention that to his readers. The press corruption is part of the reason Donald Trump continues to say the whole process is rigged.

From the FBI investigation of Hillary Clinton to the campaign reportage to the actual voting. And today, the Daily Caller is reporting that Clinton confidante and Virginia Governor Terry McAuliffe used a mechanical auto pen to sign thousands of letters allowing, perhaps, as many as 60,000 convicted felons to vote. If that's true, it's very disturbing. 2014 the U.S. Senate race, which Democrat Mark Warner won was decided by 18,000 votes in Virginia. Summing up, dirty campaign, unpopular candidates. The Factor has risen above the fray.

It provided you with reliable information throughout. We're proud of it and it will be fascinating to see how Americans respond tomorrow. That's "The Memo".