Sunday, September 19 Edition

A classified National Intelligence Estimate (search) prepared for President Bush in late July contains bleak forecasts for Iraq, which experts said could remain in a tenuous political and security situation for the unforeseen future, FOX News has confirmed.

The estimate outlines three possibilities for Iraq through the end of 2005, with the worst case scenario being developments that could lead to civil war, government officials said Wednesday.

The document lays out a second scenario in which increased extremism and fragmentation in Iraqi society impede efforts to build a central government and adversely affect efforts to democratize the country.

So, while the White House talks about progress in Iraq, our intelligence community is painting a dark picture of prospects in that country. Who should we believe? We’ll ask Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz.

Plus, will certain swing states decide the race for the White House? We’ll be joined by Govs. Tim Pawlenty, R-Minn., and Bill Richardson, D-NM.

And, we’ll put the CBS News docu-drama in the spotlight with our powerful panel of political pundits: Brit Hume, FOX News Washington managing editor; and FOX News contributors Mara Liasson of National Public Radio, Bill Kristol of The Weekly Standard and Juan Williams of National Public Radio.