Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry has replaced former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean as the presidential candidate the public expects will win the Democratic Party’s nomination, and Kerry also does better than other Democratic hopefuls in a hypothetical matchup against President George W. Bush, a Fox News poll finds. In addition, a plurality sees Kerry as the Democrat who best understands "the real world" and, finally, he strongly outperforms Dean on a new focus in the campaign: temperament.

In this week’s Fox News national poll, Kerry was the strongest candidate against Bush in a "what if" question about the presidential election and was the only one to keep the president under 50 percent -- if just barely: Kerry 42 percent and Bush 49 percent.

Even so, more Americans say they would trust Bush over Kerry to handle a foreign crisis (49 percent to 37 percent). When a similar question is framed generically, by an eight percentage point margin, more Americans say a candidate who has served as a soldier in combat (Kerry) would do a better job handling a foreign crisis than one who has served as president during a war (Bush).

Opinion Dynamics Corporation conducted the national poll of registered voters January 21-22, in the days following Bush’s State of the Union Address and Kerry’s win in the Iowa Democratic Caucuses.

Bush’s job approval rating currently stands at 53 percent, down from 58 percent earlier in the month. After "he is doing a good job" generally, those approving of the president’s performance cite most frequently his handling of the war on terrorism as the specific reason behind their approval, followed by "agree with him on issues," "like him personally" and the "economy is improving."

Overall, 39 percent of Americans disapprove of the job Bush is doing, up eight points since earlier in the month. Some of the same reasons are given for disapproving of the president’s job as are given for approval. The war in Iraq is the reason a plurality suggests as why they disapprove, followed by the condition of the economy.

"It is clear that Bush's rating and electoral standing shift day-to-day based on current events," comments Opinion Dynamics President John Gorman. "While he has a strong base of supporters and a sizable number of opponents, many people in the middle seem to shift their opinions of him and his performance based on the latest news from Iraq and last week's economic news."

Views on the condition of the nation’s economy have turned around. Less than half of Americans (44 percent) say it feels like the economy is getting better while about a third (34 percent) say it is getting worse. This is a reversal from last quarter when 45 percent said they thought the economy was getting worse and 35 percent said better (October 2003).

At 39 percent, the economy is the most talked about issue among friends and neighbors right now, up from 28 percent last month. Other topics that come up in conversation most often these days include Iraq (17 percent), politics (14 percent), family issues (12 percent) and terrorism (11 percent).

Support for the U.S. having taken military action against Iraq holds steady at 66 percent. Americans who approve of the job Bush is doing as president are much more likely to back the action (90 percent), as are Republicans (91 percent), moms (70 percent) and men (70 percent).

Among Democrats, Kerry (29 percent) has taken the lead from Dean and now tops the list of current contenders as the preferred candidate for the party’s nomination, followed by Dean (17 percent), North Carolina Sen. John Edwards (13 percent) and retired Gen. Wesley Clark (11 percent). Kerry climbed 22 points among Democrats nationally since early January.

In addition, expectations about who will win the nomination have reversed in the last two weeks. Today, 39 percent of Americans think Kerry will be the nominee -- about the same number as thought Dean would win earlier this month (similar results are seen among Democrats).

More than twice as many Americans think Kerry has the temperament to serve effectively as president as think Dean does (59 percent and 26 percent respectively), while among Democrats those numbers are even more divided (74 percent Kerry does and 38 percent Dean). Many commentators and pundits have predicted Dean’s frenzied speech in the wake of the Iowa caucuses showed a nature that was "un-presidential" and will turn off voters.

The poll finds that Dean’s image has suffered. While his favorable rating holds steady at 28 percent, his unfavorable rating has jumped 20 points since October to 43 percent today. At 43 percent, Kerry has the highest favorable rating of the top Democratic hopefuls, followed by Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman (38 percent favorable), Edwards (37 percent) and Clark (32 percent).

Clark and Edwards are the least well known nationally, with over four in 10 Americans saying they have never heard of or have no opinion of these candidates.

When asked how the sudden entry into the Democratic nomination race by New York Sen. Hillary Clinton would change their vote, half of Democrats say they would stick with their original candidate choice but 43 percent say they would instead vote for Clinton.

Another hypothetical focused on Clinton being the vice presidential candidate. Over half (57 percent) of Democrats say they would be more likely to support a Democratic ticket if Clinton were the vice presidential candidate and 11 percent less likely, with 29 percent saying it would make no difference.

These days, the president receives considerable television coverage. In a more lighthearted question, the public was asked which of the three top Democrats coming out of the Iowa caucuses would be the candidate they would rather watch on television for four years. About a quarter (23 percent) say Kerry would be their choice, 21 percent say Edwards, and 12 percent Dean. Some (17 percent) say they would rather not see any of these candidates for four years, while 15 percent think all three are equally acceptable.

Polling was conducted by telephone January 21-22, 2004 in the evenings. The sample is 900 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of ±3 percentage points. Results are of registered voters, unless otherwise noted. LV = likely voters

1. – 14. I'm going to read the names of some people and organizations. Please tell me whether you have a generally favorable or unfavorable opinion of each. If you've never heard of one, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE)
SCALE: 1. Favorable 2. Unfavorable 3. (Can't say) 4. Never heard of

                Summary Table

Favorable Unfavorable Can't say Never heard
George W. Bush 54% 39 7 -
Bill Clinton 47% 47 6 -
Hillary Clinton 47% 44 9 -
Al Gore 47% 44 9 -
Dick Cheney 43% 39 15 3
John Kerry 43% 24 23 10
Ted Kennedy 42% 44 12 2
Joe Lieberman 38% 32 24 6
John Edwards 37% 19 29 15
Martha Stewart 33% 42 22 3
Wesley Clark 32% 24 29 15
Howard Dean 28% 43 21 8
Democratic Party 51% 33 16 -
Republic Party 49% 35 16 -

                Howard Dean

Favorable Unfavorable Can't say Never heard
21-22 Jan 04 28% 43 21 8
28-29 Oct 03 26% 23 23 28
12-13 Aug 03 19% 16 23 42
3-4 Jun 03 12% 12 20 56
14-15 Jan 03 7% 8 18 67

                John Kerry

Favorable Unfavorable Can't say Never heard
21-22 Jan 04 43% 24 23 10
28-29 Oct 03 27% 26 22 25
12-13 Aug 03 22% 21 23 34
3-4 Jun 03 28% 19 19 34
14-15 Jan 03 25% 16 20 39

                John Edwards

Favorable Unfavorable Can't say Never heard
21-22 Jan 04 37% 19 29 15
28-29 Oct 03 17% 17 27 39
12-13 Aug 03 14% 12 22 52
3-4 Jun 03 17% 13 21 49
14-15 Jan 03 17% 10 23 50

                Wesley Clark

Favorable Unfavorable Can't say Never heard
21-22 Jan 04 32% 24 29 15
28-29 Oct 03 25% 19 25 31
23-24 Sep 03 24% 11 26 39

                Joe Lieberman

Favorable Unfavorable Can't say Never heard
21-22 Jan 04 38% 32 24 6
28-29 Oct 03 40% 29 20 11
12-13 Aug 03 42% 28 18 12
3-4 Jun 03 46% 23 18 13
14-15 Jan 03 42% 30 20 8

                Ted Kennedy

Favorable Unfavorable Can't say Never heard
21-22 Jan 04 42% 44 12 2
23-24 Sep 03 42% 42 13 3

                Martha Stewart

Favorable Unfavorable Can't say Never heard
21-22 Jan 04 33% 42 22 3
17-18 Jun 03 30% 45 23 2

                Democratic Party

Favorable Unfavorable Can't say Never heard
21-22 Jan 04 51% 33 16 -

                Republican Party

Favorable Unfavorable Can't say Never heard
21-22 Jan 04 49% 35 16 -

                George W. Bush

Favorable Unfavorable Can't say Never heard
21-22 Jan 04 54% 39 7 -
18-19 Nov 03 55% 39 6 -
28-29 Oct 03 56% 35 9 -
23-24 Sep 03 53% 40 7 -
12-13 Aug 03 61% 32 7 -

                Al Gore

Favorable Unfavorable Can't say Never heard
21-22 Jan 04 47% 44 9 -
12-13 Aug 03 47% 43 9 1
3-4 Dec 02 42% 45 13 -
22-23 Oct 02 LV 37% 50 13 -
6-7 Aug 02 51% 38 11 -

                Bill Clinton

Favorable Unfavorable Can't say Never heard
21-22 Jan 04 47% 47 6 -
17-18 Jun 03 41% 52 7 -
11-12 Mar 03 47% 46 7 -
3-4 Dec 02 42% 50 8 -
12-13 Feb 02 45% 47 7 1

                Dick Cheney

Favorable Unfavorable Can't say Never heard
21-22 Jan 04 43% 39 15 3
3-4 Jun 03 61% 25 10 4
3-4 Dec 02 57% 22 18 3
6-7 Aug 02 60% 25 12 3
30-31 Jan 02 59% 20 16 5

15. Do you approve or disapprove of the job George W. Bush is doing as president?

Approve Disapprove (DK)
21-22 Jan 04 53% 39 8
7-8 Jan 04 58% 31 11
3-4 Dec 03 52% 34 14
18-19 Nov 03 52% 41 7
28-29 Oct 03 53% 37 10

16. (If approve) Why do you approve of the job he is doing? (OPEN ENDED. DO NOT READ RESPONSE CATEGORIES. IF RESPONSE DOES NOT FIT INTO A PRE-CODED CATEGORY, RECORD VERBATIM)

Doing a good job--general 44%
Fighting/war on terrorism 34
Agree with him on issues 15
Like him personally 13
Economy is improving 11
Tax cuts 9
Caught Saddam 4
Education reform/No Child Left Behind 3
Health care 2
Smart 2
Honesty/Character 2
Religion/Christian morals 2
He’s Republican 1
Other -
NS/Refused 4

17. (If disapprove) Why do you disapprove of the job he is doing? (OPEN)

War in Iraq 39%
Economy/jobs 25
Do not agree with him on issues 19
Doing a bad job--general 15
Don’t like him 13
Doesn’t care about average people 10
Health care issues 5
Not doing good job fighting terrorism 5
He’s not smart/dumb 5
Tax cuts for the rich 4
Special interests 4
Education issues 3
Environmental issues 2
Usama bin Laden still not caught 1
He’s Republican 1
Other -
NS/Refused 3

18. If the 2004 presidential election were held today, do you think you would be more likely to vote (for Republican George W. Bush) or (for the Democratic candidate)? (ROTATE)
SCALE: 1. Vote for Bush 2. Vote for Democrat 3. (Depends on Democrat/too soon to say) 4. (Not sure/Undecided)

Vote for Bush Vote for Dem (Depends) (NS)
21-22 Jan 04 43% 39 13 5
3-4 Dec 03 43% 36 12 9
28-29 Oct 03 44% 38 11 7
23-24 Sep 03* 39% 39 15 7
15-16 Jul 03 42% 31 19 8

*September 2003 and previous: “ . . . to vote to re-elect President Bush”< /FONT>

19. I'm going to read you a list of candidates for the Democratic nomination for president in the next election. If a 2004 Democratic primary for president were held today, which ONE of the following candidates would you most likely vote for? (If not sure: Well, to whom do you lean at this time?)(RANDOMIZE)

                Summary Among Democrats (n=336)

Kerry 29%
Dean 17
Edwards 13
Clark 11
Lieberman 5
Sharpton 3
Kucinich 1
(Else/Other) 3
(Not sure) 17
(Would not vote) -

                Retired Gen. Wesley Clark

Dem Ind
21-22 Jan 04 11% 7%
7-8 Jan 04 13 9
18-19 Nov 03 14 10
14-15 Oct 03 13 11
23-24 Sep 03 20 16

                Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman

Dem Ind
21-22 Jan 04 5% 9%
7-8 Jan 04 8 11
18-19 Nov 03 10 13
14-15 Oct 03 11 9
23-24 Sep 03 9 8

                Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry

Dem Ind
21-22 Jan 04 29% 26%
7-8 Jan 04 7 4
18-19 Nov 03 8 8
14-15 Oct 03 10 7
23-24 Sep 03 10 8

                North Carolina Sen. John Edwards

Dem Ind
21-22 Jan 04 13% 15%
7-8 Jan 04 4 5
18-19 Nov 03 3 3
14-15 Oct 03 3 2
23-24 Sep 03 5 5

                Former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean

Dem Ind
21-22 Jan 04 17% 4%
7-8 Jan 04 20 14
18-19 Nov 03 18 16
14-15 Oct 03 12 10
23-24 Sep 03 13 9

                New York Minister Al Sharpton

Dem Ind
21-22 Jan 04 3% 1%
7-8 Jan 04 2 1
18-19 Nov 03 2 1
14-15 Oct 03 2 3
23-24 Sep 03 3 3

                Ohio Rep. Dennis Kucinich

Dem Ind
21-22 Jan 04 1% 1%
7-8 Jan 04 3 1
18-19 Nov 03 2 3
14-15 Oct 03 2 1
23-24 Sep 03 1 1

                (Someone else/Other)

Dem Ind
21-22 Jan 04 3% 3%
7-8 Jan 04 5 7
18-19 Nov 03 6 2
14-15 Oct 03 - -
23-24 Sep 03 5 5

                (Not sure)

Dem Ind
21-22 Jan 04 17% 27%
7-8 Jan 04 25 33
18-19 Nov 03 22 25
14-15 Oct 03 27 33
23-24 Sep 03 19 25

                (Would not vote)

Dem Ind
21-22 Jan 04 -% 8%
7-8 Jan 04 2 10
18-19 Nov 03 3 10
14-15 Oct 03 8 17
23-24 Sep 03 2 8

20. Regardless of how you might vote, who do you think is going to be the Democratic presidential nominee? (OPEN ENDED) Summary Among Democrats (n=336)

Kerry 41%
Dean 11
Edwards 8
Clark 2
Lieberman 2
Gore 2
Clinton 1
Kucinich 1
Sharpton 1
(Else/Other) 1
(Not sure) 31

20. REMOVE THIS QUESTION -- Regardless of how you might vote, who do you think is going to be the Democratic presidential nominee? (OPEN ENDED) 

                Howard Dean

All Dem Rep Ind
21-22 Jan 04 10% 11% 12% 7%
7-8 Jan 04 36 37 32 38
9-10 Sep 03 14 15 14 14

                Wesley Clark

All Dem Rep Ind
21-22 Jan 04 1 2 1 2
7-8 Jan 04 7 9 6 6
9-10 Sep 03 1 2 1 -

                Joe Lieberman

All Dem Rep Ind
21-22 Jan 04 2 2 2 4
7-8 Jan 04 4 4 5 3
9-10 Sep 03 5 6 5 4

                Hillary Clinton

All Dem Rep Ind
21-22 Jan 04 1 1 2 2
7-8 Jan 04 3 5 3 1
9-10 Sep 03 5 4 5 8

                John Kerry

All Dem Rep Ind
21-22 Jan 04 39 41 42 33
7-8 Jan 04 3 4 3 2
9-10 Sep 03 10 11 9 10

                Al Gore

All Dem Rep Ind
21-22 Jan 04 2 2 2 2
7-8 Jan 04 2 3 3 1
9-10 Sep 03 3 4 3 4

                John Edwards

All Dem Rep Ind
21-22 Jan 04 8 8 9 7
7-8 Jan 04 - 1 - 1
9-10 Sep 03 1 1 1 1

                Dennis Kucinich

All Dem Rep Ind
21-22 Jan 04 - 1 - -
7-8 Jan 04 - - - -
9-10 Sep 03 - - - -

                Al Sharpton

All Dem Rep Ind
21-22 Jan 04 1 1 1 -
7-8 Jan 04 - 1 - -
9-10 Sep 03 - - - -

                Someone else/Other

All Dem Rep Ind
21-22 Jan 04 1 1 - 2
7-8 Jan 04 2 1 2 4
9-10 Sep 03 2 1 2 2

                Not sure

All Dem Rep Ind
21-22 Jan 04 35 31 28 43
7-8 Jan 04 40 32 44 39
9-10 Sep 03 53 51 56 52

21. Which Democratic candidate do you think is most likely to know what it’s like “in the real world”? (RANDOMIZE)

John Kerry 18%
John Edwards 10
Joe Lieberman 9
Howard Dean 9
Wesley Clark 8
Al Sharpton 3
Dennis Kucinich 1
(Someone else/Other) 1
(None) 9
(Not sure) 32

22. If New York Senator Hillary Clinton were suddenly to enter the race, would you still vote for (INSERT CANDIDATE CHOICE FROM Q 19) or would you vote for Clinton?

All Dem Rep Ind
1. Stick with Candidate 66% 50 85 68
2. Vote for Clinton 27 43 10 23
3. (Not sure) 7 7 5 9

23. Do you think Hillary Clinton would be a stronger candidate against President Bush than any of the current Democratic candidates?

                21-22 Jan 04

Yes No (Not sure)
All 36% 56 8
Dem 46% 49 5
Rep 25% 69 6
Ind 37% 51 12

                29-30 Jul 03*

Yes No (Not sure)
All 37% 53 10
Dem 47% 44 9
Rep 29% 62 9
Ind 36% 54 10

*Wording: “…current announced Democratic candidates…”

24. If the election for president of the United States were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were: (rotate order)(Push for decision) 1. Republican George W. Bush 2. Democrat Howard Dean 3. (Not sure/Other) 4. (Would not vote)

Bush Dean (NS/Other) (Would not vote)
21-22 Jan 04 54% 34 9 3
7-8 Jan 04 54% 33 10 3
18-19 Nov 03 49% 36 12 3
29-30 Jul 03 55% 27 15 3

25. For whom would you vote if the candidates were: (rotate order)(Push for decision) 1. Republican George W. Bush 2. Democrat John Edwards 3. (Not sure/Other) 4. (Would not vote)

Bush Edwards (NS/Other) (Would not vote)
21-22 Jan 04 51% 39 9 1

26. For whom would you vote if the candidates were: (rotate order)(Push for decision) 1. Republican George W. Bush 2. Democrat Wesley Clark 3. (Not sure/Other) 4. (Would not vote)

Bush Clark (NS/Other) (Would not vote)
21-22 Jan 04 51% 37 11 1
7-8 Jan 04 52% 32 14 2
18-19 Nov 03 49% 36 13 2
23-24 Sep 03 46% 37 17* na

*(Neither/Not sure)

27. If the election for president of the United States were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were: (rotate order) 1. Republican George W. Bush 2. Democrat John Kerry 3. (Not sure/Other) 4. (Would not vote)

Bush Kerry (NS/Other) (Would not vote)
21-22 Jan 04 49% 42 8 1
7-8 Jan 04 54% 32 12 2
29-30 Jul 03 54% 35 8 3
6-7 May 03 58% 29 11 2
17-18 Dec 02 57% 29 12 2

28. For whom would you vote if the candidates were: (rotate order)(Push for decision) 1. Republican George W. Bush 2. Democrat Hillary Clinton 3. (Not sure/Other) 4. (Would not vote)

Bush Clinton (NS/Other) (Would not vote)
21-22 Jan 04 52% 39 7 2
18-19 Nov 03 52% 38 8 2
29-30 Jul 03 52% 35 10 3
6-7 May 03 60% 30 8 2
19-20 Nov 02 59% 24 16 1

29. If Hillary Clinton were on the Democratic presidential ticket as the vice presidential candidate, would that make you more or less likely to vote for the Democratic candidate?

All Dem Rep Ind
1. More likely 35% 57% 12% 37%
2. Less likely 36 11 65 27
3. (No difference) 24 29 20 26
4. (Not sure) 5 3 3 10

30. In the future, if the United States were to be faced with a foreign crisis such as Iraq, which candidate would you trust to do a better job handling the situation -- George W. Bush or John Kerry? (ROTATE)

All Dem Rep Ind
1. George W. Bush 49% 15% 91% 41%
2. John Kerry 37 70 5 35
3. (Not sure/Other) 14 15 4 24

31. Do you think Howard Dean has the temperament to serve effectively as president?

All Dem Rep Ind
1. Yes 26% 38% 16% 22%
2. No 47 32 61 48
3. (Not sure) 27 30 23 30

32. Do you think John Kerry has the temperament to serve effectively as president?

All Dem Rep Ind
1. Yes 59% 74% 48% 55%
2. No 16 8 28 11
3. (Not sure) 25 18 24 34

33. Which of the following do you think is more likely to help candidates win elections: endorsements or looks?

1. Endorsements 50%
2. Looks 18
3. (Both) 11
4. (Neither) 14
5. (Not sure) 7

34. Whoever is elected president will be on television constantly for at least four years. Which one of the following candidates would you rather watch on television for four years?

All Dem Rep Ind
1. John Kerry 23% 28% 17% 29%
2. John Edwards 21 22 22 19
3. Howard Dean 12 16 11 6
4. (None) 17 6 28 16
5. (Not sure) 12 12 8 15
6. (All equal) 15 16 14 15

35. In your everyday conversations with friends and neighbors, what topic would you say comes up most often these days? (OPEN ENDED)

04 Jan 21-22 03 Dec 3-4 03 Sep 23-24 03 June 30-Jul 1 03 April 8-9 03 Jan 29-30
Economy/
Jobs/
Employment
39% 28% 24% 31% 8% 24%
Iraq/
Saddam Hussein
17 18 14 12 65 42
Politics/
Political issues
14 6 10 6 2 3
Family issues 12 6 7 5 3 5
9/11 /Terrorism/
War on Terror
11 6 9 7 9 3
Sports 9 4 4 4 1 2
Health Care 9 3 1 3 - 2
Local issues 6 3 4 3 1 1
Education/
Schools
5 2 3 2 1 3
Current events/
World news
5 2 2 1 - 1
Weather 4 3 5 3 2 2
Religion/
Bible
3 2 2 2 1 1
Taxes 3 1 2 2 - 1
TV/
Entertainment
3 1 1 na na na
Recreation 2 2 - 2 na na
Elderly/
Social Security
2 1 1 1 - -
Drugs/
Crime
1 1 1 1 - -
Middle East 1 - 1 - - -
Stock market/
Finances/
Money
1 - - 1 - 1
Other/
Nothing
1 2 5 8 1 3
(DK/Ref) 4 9 4 6 6 6

36. For you and your family, does it feel like the economy is getting better or worse?

Better Worse (Same) (Not sure)
21-22 Jan 04 44% 34 19 3
14-15 Oct 03 35% 45 18 2

For reference: For you and your family, does it feel like the economy is getting stronger or not?

Stronger Not stronger (Not sure)
9-10 Sep 03 42% 49 9
17-18 Jun 03 37% 55 8
24-25 Sep 02 26% 63 11

37. Which of the following statements do you agree with more?
SCALE: 1. I'd rather pay higher taxes to support a larger government that provides more services. 2. I'd rather pay lower taxes and have a smaller government that provides fewer services. 3. (Not sure)

Higher/Larger Lower/Smaller (NS)
21-22 Jan 04 38% 45 17
6-7 May 03 34% 50 16
4-5 Oct 00 32% 52 16
7-8 Apr 98 30% 58 12
11-12 Jun 97 31% 58 11

38. Do you think people should have the choice to invest privately up to five percent of their Social Security contributions or not?

Yes No (Not sure)
21-22 Jan 04 67% 24 9
3-4 Dec 03 67% 23 10
14-15 May 02* 66% 25 9

*Wording: “...to invest privately a small amount of...”

39. Do you support or oppose the United States having taken military action to disarm Iraq and remove Iraqi President Saddam Hussein? Is that strongly (support/oppose) or only somewhat (support/oppose)?

---- Support ---- ---- Oppose ----  
TOT Strngly Smwht TOT Smwht Strngly (NS)
21-22 Jan 04 66% 48 18 28 11 17 6
18-19 Nov 03 66% 50 16 30 10 20 4
23-24 Sep 03 64% 47 17 30 12 18 6
22-23 Apr 03 76% 61 15 20 9 11 4
8-9 Apr 03* 81% 68 13 16 6 10 3
25-26 Mar 03* 78% 66 12 18 8 10 4

*Wording: “Do you support or oppose the United States taking military action ...?”

40. In the future, if the United States were faced with a foreign crisis such as Iraq, who do you think would do a better job handling the situation: (ROTATE)

All Dem Rep Ind
1. A candidate who has served
as president during war; or
33% 17% 54% 28%
2. A candidate who has served
as a soldier in combat?
41 60 21 40
3. (Not sure) 14 11 14 17
4. (Either/doesn’t matter) 12 12 11 15

41. In the war against terrorism, do you think the Bush administration has pursued terrorists too aggressively or not aggressively enough?

All Dem Rep Ind
1. Too aggressively 18% 22% 15% 16%
2. Not aggressively enough 37 42 30 37
3. (About right) 36 26 50 36
4. (Not sure) 9 10 5 11

42. - 44. Would you say that you are following news stories about each of the following, very closely, somewhat closely, not very closely, or not closely at all?
SCALE: 1. Very closely 2. Somewhat closely 3. Not very closely 4. Not closely at all 5. (Not sure)

    Very Swht NtVry Not at all (NS)
The presidential campaign 21-22 Jan 04 28% 42 18 11 1
The Michael Jackson case 21-22 Jan 04 9% 19 25 45 2
The situation in Iraq 21-22 Jan 04 47% 39 8 5 1
  25-26 Mar 03* 64% 28 6 2 -

* ”... war in Iraq”

45. Based on what you know right now, do you think Scott Peterson was involved in the murder of his pregnant wife Laci? Is that definitely (involved/not involved) or probably (involved/not involved)?
SCALE: 1. Yes, definitely involved 2. Yes, probably involved 3. No, probably not involved 4. No, definitely not involved 5. (Not sure)

-- Yes, involved -- -- No, not involved --
TOTAL Dfntly Prbly Prbly Dfntly TOTAL (NS)
21-22 Jan 04 65% 36 29 4 1 5 30
   Women 68% 41 27 3 1 4 28
   Men 62% 30 32 6 1 7 31
28-29 Oct 03 72% 47 25 3 1 4 24
   Women 77% 52 25 2 1 3 20
   Men 67% 42 25 4 2 6 28
17-18 Jun 03 65% 41 24 4 1 5 30
3-4 Jun 03 58% 31 27 4 1 5 37
6-7 May 03 67% 43 24 2 1 3 30
22-23 Apr 03 69% 43 26 2 - 2 29