California Re-Call Election Exit Poll - October 7, 2003
REHEARSAL DATA - NOT FOR ON AIR USE
Recall Vote - Horizontal Percentages
edison media research

How to Read These Horizontal Exit Poll Tables
The percentages in the first column, labeled "Total," show the proportion of the electorate that is in each subgroup — these columns are read down vertically.

The percentages in all remaining columns are read across horizontally (those to the right of the "Total" column). These percentages show how the particular subgroup of voters divided their vote among the candidates or vote question.



Total Recall Vote
Yes No
Sex Male 46% 54% 46%
Female 54% 49% 51%
White White Male 49% 64% 36%
White Female 51% 61% 39%
Race White 52% 63% 37%
Black 23% 30% 70%
Hispanic 18% 50% 50%
Asian 3% 50% 50%
Other 4% 50% 50%
Age (Age 4) 18-29 16% 53% 47%
30-44 35% 49% 51%
45-64 34% 50% 50%
65+ 15% 61% 39%
Age (Age-65 & Over) 18-64 85% 50% 50%
65+ 15% 61% 39%
Age (Age VNS) 18-29 16% 53% 47%
30-44 35% 49% 51%
45-59 27% 47% 53%
60+ 22% 60% 40%
Age (Age-65) 18-24 6% 48% 52%
25-29 10% 55% 45%
30-39 22% 47% 53%
40-49 23% 48% 52%
50-64 24% 53% 47%
65+ 15% 61% 39%
Education Did not complete high school 7% 42% 58%
High School grad 19% 52% 48%
Some College/associate degree 19% 48% 52%
College Grad 31% 51% 49%
Postgraduate study 24% 57% 43%
Education Non-college grad 45% 49% 51%
College grad or greater 55% 54% 46%
2002 Total Family Income Under $15,000 12% 38% 62%
$15,000-$29,999 15% 48% 52%
$30,000-$49,999 21% 44% 56%
$50,000-$74,999 22% 53% 47%
$75,000-$99,999 11% 58% 42%
$100,000 or more 19% 65% 35%
Party ID Democrat 43% 11% 89%
Republican 41% 93% 7%
Independent or something else 16% 55% 45%
No matter how you voted today, do you ususally think of yourself as a...? Democrat 43% 11% 89%
Republican 41% 93% 7%
Independent 15% 59% 41%
Something else 1% 0% 100%
Party Affiliation Female Democrat 65% 40% 60%
Female Republican 19% 85% 15%
Female Independent 16% 58% 42%
On most political matters, do you consider yourself...? Very liberal 30% 35% 65%
Somewhat liberal 31% 46% 54%
Moderate 10% 48% 52%
Somewhat conservative 14% 57% 43%
Very conservative 15% 100% 0%
Political Party Liberal 61% 40% 60%
Moderate 10% 48% 52%
Conservative 29% 79% 21%
Party by Philosophy Liberal Democrats 68% 41% 59%
Moderate/Conservative Democrats 9% 42% 58%
Liberal/Moderate Republicans 23% 86% 14%
Men's Political Philosophy Liberal Men 61% 40% 60%
Moderate Men 10% 48% 52%
Conservative Men 29% 79% 21%
Women's Political Philosophy Liberal Women 61% 40% 60%
Moderate Women 9% 42% 58%
Conservative Women 30% 74% 26%
Do you or does someone in your household belong to a labor union? Yes, I do 16% 40% 60%
Yes, someone else does 33% 46% 54%
Yes, I do and someone else does 21% 60% 40%
No one does 30% 58% 42%
Union Household Yes (Voter is union menber/union member in household/both) 70% 49% 51%
No (No union voter in household) 30% 58% 42%
Union Household Yes (Voter is union menber) 38% 52% 48%
Someone else in household/not voter 33% 46% 54%
No (No union voter in household) 30% 58% 42%
Are you gay, lesbian, or bisexual? Yes 5% 43% 57%
No 95% 52% 48%
How often have you voted in previous elections? Always 23% 27% 73%
Usually 53% 55% 45%
Rarely 22% 69% 31%
Never 2% 36% 64%
Frequency of past voting Always/Usually vote 76% 47% 53%
Rarely/Never vote 24% 66% 34%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Approve 56% 63% 37%
Disapprove 44% 38% 62%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Gray Davis is handling his job as governor? Strongly approve 16% 10% 90%
Somewhat approve 19% 9% 91%
Somewhat disapprove 13% 53% 47%
Strongly disapprove 52% 82% 18%
When did you finally decide how to vote in today's election to recall Gray Davis? Strongly/Somewhat approve 36% 9% 91%
Strongly/Somewhat disapprove 64% 76% 24%
Davis Approval/Recall vote Approve of Davis job 36% 9% 91%
Disapprove of Davis job/NO on recall 15% 0% 100%
Disapprove of Davis job/YES on recall 49% 100% 0%
Is your opinion of Cruz Bustamante...? Favorable 48% 21% 79%
Unfavorable 52% 80% 20%
Is your opinion of Tom McClintock...? Favorable 29% 77% 23%
Unfavorable 71% 42% 58%
Is your opinion of Arnold Schwarzenegger...? Favorable 73% 66% 34%
Unfavorable 27% 14% 86%
When did you finally decide how to vote in today"s election to recall Gray Davis? Today 20% 45% 55%
In the last three days 15% 57% 43%
In the last week 32% 54% 46%
Within the last month 34% 52% 48%
When did you finally decide how to vote in today"s election to recall Gray Davis? In the last three days 35% 50% 50%
Within the last week or earlier 65% 53% 47%
When did you finally decide how to vote in today"s election to recall Gray Davis? Within the last week 66% 52% 48%
Within the last month or earlier 34% 52% 48%
No matter how you voted today, which comes closer to your opinion about the recall process? It was worth the cost 49% 94% 6%
It was a waste of money 51% 11% 89%
When voting today, did you experience any problems with the voting equipment or the length of the ballot? Serious problems 1% 13% 87%
Minor problems 2% 15% 85%
No problems 98% 53% 47%
Do you think the condition of California's economy is...? Excellent 3% 10% 90%
Good 36% 58% 42%
Not so good 44% 55% 45%
Poor 17% 39% 61%
Do you think the condition of California's economy is...? Excellent/Good 53% 52% 48%
Not so good/Poor 47% 52% 48%
Will California be able to resolve its budget deficit without raising taxes? Yes 26% 46% 54%
No 74% 53% 47%
If these had been the only two candidates for governor on the ballot today, for whom would you have voted? Cruz M. Bustamante 46% 12% 88%
Arnold Schwarzenegger 51% 91% 9%
Would not have voted for governor 3% 4% 96%
Which was more important in your vote for a new governor today? My candidate's positions on the issues 51% 47% 53%
My candidate's leadership/personal qualities 48% 58% 42%
Did not vote for a new governor 1% 0% 100%
Do you think Arnold Schwarzenegger addressed the issues in enough detail? Yes 26% 90% 10%
No 74% 38% 62%
Should the state government issue drivers licenses to illegal immigrants? Yes 5% 42% 58%
No 95% 52% 48%
Which comes closest to you position? Abortion should be... Legal in all cases 23% 27% 73%
Legal in most cases 37% 60% 40%
Illegal in most cases 16% 44% 56%
Illegal in all cases 23% 69% 31%
How do you feel about California's new law extending domestic partner rights for gays and lesbians? Enthusiastic 26% 29% 71%
Supportive, but not enthusiastic 15% 45% 55%
Opposed, but not angry 22% 69% 31%
Angry 36% 60% 40%
Feelings on domestic partners Enthusiastic/Supportive, but not enthusiastic 42% 35% 65%
Opposed, but not angry/Angry 58% 64% 36%