CALIF. RECALL EXIT POLL TEST

THESE ARE TEST NUMBERS. NOT FOR PUBLICATION!

California Re-Call Election Exit Poll - October 7, 2003
REHEARSAL DATA - NOT FOR ON AIR USE
Recall Vote - Horizontal Percentages
edison media research


Total Recall Vote
Yes No
Sex Male 46% 54% 46%
Female 54% 49% 51%
White White Male 49% 64% 36%
White Female 51% 61% 39%
Race White 52% 63% 37%
Black 23% 30% 70%
Hispanic 18% 50% 50%
Asian 3% 50% 50%
Other 4% 50% 50%
Age (Age 4) 18-29 16% 53% 47%
30-44 35% 49% 51%
45-64 34% 50% 50%
65+ 15% 61% 39%
Age (Age-65 & Over) 18-64 85% 50% 50%
65+ 15% 61% 39%
Age (Age VNS) 18-29 16% 53% 47%
30-44 35% 49% 51%
45-59 27% 47% 53%
60+ 22% 60% 40%
Age (Age-65) 18-24 6% 48% 52%
25-29 10% 55% 45%
30-39 22% 47% 53%
40-49 23% 48% 52%
50-64 24% 53% 47%
65+ 15% 61% 39%
Education Did not complete high school 7% 42% 58%
High School grad 19% 52% 48%
Some College/associate degree 19% 48% 52%
College Grad 31% 51% 49%
Postgraduate study 24% 57% 43%
Education Non-college grad 45% 49% 51%
College grad or greater 55% 54% 46%
2002 Total Family Income Under $15,000 12% 38% 62%
$15,000-$29,999 15% 48% 52%
$30,000-$49,999 21% 44% 56%
$50,000-$74,999 22% 53% 47%
$75,000-$99,999 11% 58% 42%
$100,000 or more 19% 65% 35%
Party ID Democrat 43% 11% 89%
Republican 41% 93% 7%
Independent or something else 16% 55% 45%
No matter how you voted today, do you ususally think of yourself as a...? Democrat 43% 11% 89%
Republican 41% 93% 7%
Independent 15% 59% 41%
Something else 1% 0% 100%
Party Affiliation Female Democrat 65% 40% 60%
Female Republican 19% 85% 15%
Female Independent 16% 58% 42%
On most political matters, do you consider yourself...? Very liberal 30% 35% 65%
Somewhat liberal 31% 46% 54%
Moderate 10% 48% 52%
Somewhat conservative 14% 57% 43%
Very conservative 15% 100% 0%
Political Party Liberal 61% 40% 60%
Moderate 10% 48% 52%
Conservative 29% 79% 21%
Party by Philosophy Liberal Democrats 68% 41% 59%
Moderate/Conservative Democrats 9% 42% 58%
Liberal/Moderate Republicans 23% 86% 14%
Men"s Political Philosophy Liberal Men 61% 40% 60%
Moderate Men 10% 48% 52%
Conservative Men 29% 79% 21%
Women"s Political Philosophy Liberal Women 61% 40% 60%
Moderate Women 9% 42% 58%
Conservative Women 30% 74% 26%
Do you or does someone in your household belong to a labor union? Yes, I do 16% 40% 60%
Yes, someone else does 33% 46% 54%
Yes, I do and someone else does 21% 60% 40%
No one does 30% 58% 42%
Union Household Yes (Voter is union menber/union member in household/both) 70% 49% 51%
No (No union voter in household) 30% 58% 42%
Union Household Yes (Voter is union menber) 38% 52% 48%
Someone else in household/not voter 33% 46% 54%
No (No union voter in household) 30% 58% 42%
Are you gay, lesbian, or bisexual? Yes 5% 43% 57%
No 95% 52% 48%
How often have you voted in previous elections? Always 23% 27% 73%
Usually 53% 55% 45%
Rarely 22% 69% 31%
Never 2% 36% 64%
Frequency of past voting Always/Usually vote 76% 47% 53%
Rarely/Never vote 24% 66% 34%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Approve 56% 63% 37%
Disapprove 44% 38% 62%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Gray Davis is handling his job as governor? Strongly approve 16% 10% 90%
Somewhat approve 19% 9% 91%
Somewhat disapprove 13% 53% 47%
Strongly disapprove 52% 82% 18%
When did you finally decide how to vote in today"s election to recall Gray Davis? Strongly/Somewhat approve 36% 9% 91%
Strongly/Somewhat disapprove 64% 76% 24%
Davis Approval/Recall vote Approve of Davis job 36% 9% 91%
Disapprove of Davis job/NO on recall 15% 0% 100%
Disapprove of Davis job/YES on recall 49% 100% 0%
Is your opinion of Cruz Bustamante...? Favorable 48% 21% 79%
Unfavorable 52% 80% 20%
Is your opinion of Tom McClintock...? Favorable 29% 77% 23%
Unfavorable 71% 42% 58%
Is your opinion of Arnold Schwarzenegger...? Favorable 73% 66% 34%
Unfavorable 27% 14% 86%
When did you finally decide how to vote in today"s election to recall Gray Davis? Today 20% 45% 55%
In the last three days 15% 57% 43%
In the last week 32% 54% 46%
Within the last month 34% 52% 48%
When did you finally decide how to vote in today"s election to recall Gray Davis? In the last three days 35% 50% 50%
Within the last week or earlier 65% 53% 47%
When did you finally decide how to vote in today"s election to recall Gray Davis? Within the last week 66% 52% 48%
Within the last month or earlier 34% 52% 48%
No matter how you voted today, which comes closer to your opinion about the recall process? It was worth the cost 49% 94% 6%
It was a waste of money 51% 11% 89%
When voting today, did you experience any problems with the voting equipment or the length of the ballot? Serious problems 1% 13% 87%
Minor problems 2% 15% 85%
No problems 98% 53% 47%
Do you think the condition of California"s economy is...? Excellent 3% 10% 90%
Good 36% 58% 42%
Not so good 44% 55% 45%
Poor 17% 39% 61%
Do you think the condition of California"s economy is...? Excellent/Good 53% 52% 48%
Not so good/Poor 47% 52% 48%
Will California be able to resolve its budget deficit without raising taxes? Yes 26% 46% 54%
No 74% 53% 47%
If these had been the only two candidates for governor on the ballot today, for whom would you have voted? Cruz M. Bustamante 46% 12% 88%
Arnold Schwarzenegger 51% 91% 9%
Would not have voted for governor 3% 4% 96%
Which was more important in your vote for a new governor today? My candidate"s positions on the issues 51% 47% 53%
My candidate"s leadership/personal qualities 48% 58% 42%
Did not vote for a new governor 1% 0% 100%
Do you think Arnold Schwarzenegger addressed the issues in enough detail? Yes 26% 90% 10%
No 74% 38% 62%
Should the state government issue drivers licenses to illegal immigrants? Yes 5% 42% 58%
No 95% 52% 48%
Which comes closest to you position? Abortion should be... Legal in all cases 23% 27% 73%
Legal in most cases 37% 60% 40%
Illegal in most cases 16% 44% 56%
Illegal in all cases 23% 69% 31%
How do you feel about California"s new law extending domestic partner rights for gays and lesbians? Enthusiastic 26% 29% 71%
Supportive, but not enthusiastic 15% 45% 55%
Opposed, but not angry 22% 69% 31%
Angry 36% 60% 40%
Feelings on domestic partners Enthusiastic/Supportive, but not enthusiastic 42% 35% 65%
Opposed, but not angry/Angry 58% 64% 36%
Governor Vote Did not vote in this race 2% 3% 97%
Cruz M. Bustamante 35% 9% 91%
Peter Miguel Camejo 5% 0% 100%
Arianna Huffington 4% 43% 57%
Tom McClintock 18% 93% 7%
Arnold Schwarzenegger 33% 89% 11%
Someone Else 3% 14% 86%
Proposition 54 Vote Yes 54% 96% 4%
No 46% 0% 100%