Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Poll: Tax Cuts in Focus
Friday, May 04, 2001
NEW YORK One thing is crystal clear in this week's FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll: Americans are thinking about tax cuts. Whether the focus is congressional agendas or what to do with the federal budget surplus, taxes are a priority.
When asked to name the most important issue for the federal government to address, 31 percent volunteered "taxes." Education (29 percent), the economy (18 percent), health care (15 percent), and Social Security (13 percent) round out the top five slots. Since mid-January, the tax issue jumped almost 20 percentage points, moving it up from fifth on the list. Education, almost always an issue that ranks in the top three, stays at the top, virtually tying taxes for first place.
When respondents were asked to choose from a short list what Congress should be working on right now, taxes/economy came out on top (21 percent), followed closely by Social Security and Medicare (19 percent), school violence (16 percent), education (15 percent), and health care (13 percent). Campaign finance reform, an issue the Senate has spent the last
two weeks debating, comes in dead last at four percent.
"President Bush has clearly been able to get Americans thinking about his proposal," comments Opinion Dynamics President John Gorman. "To the extent he is shaping the debate, he is succeeding. However, as other presidents have discovered, results are all that matters. If the economy and the markets keep declining, having a debate about taxes isn't going to go down as an achievement. If he can get the cut through and it appears to have a positive impact on the economy, then he is in a position to benefit immensely."
Recently Congress has been debating the idea of giving taxpayers a rebate, possibly as early as this year. Only 21 percent of Americans prefer an immediate tax rebate to reductions in long-term overall tax rates (70 percent).
On an open-ended question regarding how the budget surplus should be used (no list was read so all responses were volunteered by the respondent), taxes again topped the list:
| Tax Cuts | 28% |
| Reduce national debt | 19 |
| Education | 14 |
| Social Security/Medicare/prescription drugs | 13 |
| Other domestic programs | 9 |
| Health care | 4 |
| Military | 1 |
While tax cuts is the single item with the highest percentage, when domestic programs are taken as a group they add to 40 percent.
Mad Cow Disease
When not thinking about tax cuts, many are closely following the news about Mad Cow Disease (75 percent following "very" or "somewhat" closely). Thirty percent consider it a major threat to the health and safety of Americans, and 52 percent think it's a minor threat. But so far, only a small minority report changing their behavior in response to their concerns. Of course, if the 11 percent who say they will reduce or end beef consumption actually followed through, it would be a major blow to the industry. Less than one percent say they have actually cancelled travel plans in response to the disease.
Reparations for Slavery
Eleven percent of the public favors paying reparations to African-American descendants of slaves, while 81 percent are against reparations. Blacks and other minority groups are almost four times more likely than whites to support paying reparations.
Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Poll Results
Most recent poll: Polling was conducted by telephone March 28-29, 2001 in the evenings. The sample is 905 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of ±3 percentage points. LV = likely voters
1. I'm going to read the names of some political figures. Please tell me whether you have a generally favorable or unfavorable opinion of each. If you've never heard of someone, please just say so. (Randomize)
SCALE: 1. Favorable 2. Unfavorable 3. (Can't say) 4. (Never heard of)
George W. Bush:
| Favorable | Unfavorable | (Can't Say) | (Never Heard) | |
| 30 Mar 01 | 59% | 31 | 10 | - |
| 16 Mar 01 | 61% | 28 | 11 | - |
| 23 Feb 01 | 61% | 24 | 15 | -- |
| 9 Feb 01 | 62% | 27 | 11 | -- |
| 26 Jan 01 | 61% | 27 | 12 | -- |
| 12 Jan 01 | 58% | 31 | 11 | -- |
2. Dick Cheney:
| Favorable | Unfavorable | (Can't Say) | (Never Heard) | |
| 30 Mar 01 | 63% | 17 | 18 | 2 |
| 16 Mar 01 | 61% | 19 | 18 | 2 |
| 23 Feb 01 | 58% | 17 | 21 | 4 |
| 9 Feb 01 | 61% | 18 | 19 | 2 |
| 26 Jan 01 | 64% | 16 | 17 | 3 |
| 12 Jan 01 | 57% | 19 | 20 | 4 |
3. Bill Clinton:
| Favorable | Unfavorable | (Can't Say) | (Never Heard) | |
| 30 Mar 01 | 41% | 52 | 7 | - |
| 16 Mar 01 | 40% | 54 | 6 | - |
| 23 Feb 01 | 40% | 54 | 6 | -- |
| 12 Jan 01 | 48% | 46 | 6 | -- |
| 1 Dec 00 | 43% | 51 | 6 | -- |
| 3 Nov 00 | 45% | 50 | 5 | -- |
| 20 Oct 00 | 48% | 49 | 3 | -- |
4. John McCain:
| Favorable | Unfavorable | (Can't Say) | (Never Heard) | |
| 30 Mar 01 | 54% | 17 | 22 | 7 |
| 10 Mar 00 | 50% | 28 | 17 | 5 |
| 25 Feb 00 | 57% | 19 | 19 | 5 |
| 11 Feb 00 | 54% | 15 | 20 | 11 |
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the job George W. Bush is doing as president?
| Approve | Disapprove | (Not sure) | |
| 30 Mar 01 | 57% | 24 | 19 |
| 16 Mar 01 | 56% | 23 | 21 |
| 23 Feb 01 | 61% | 16 | 23 |
| 9 Feb 01 | 55% | 16 | 29 |
| 26 Jan 01 | 46% | 14 | 40 |
6. What do you think are the two most important issues for the federal government to address?
| 30 Mar 01 | 12 Jan 01 | 11 Aug 00 | 12 May 00 | |
| Taxes | 31% | 13% | 16% | 14% |
| Education | 29 | 32 | 33 | 28 |
| Economy | 18 | 19 | 9 | 9 |
| Health Care | 15 | 23 | 20 | 18 |
| Social Security | 13 | 15 | 22 | 20 |
| Medicare/ Medicaid Reform | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| Environment | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Crime/drugs | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| Defense | 5 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| Foreign Policy | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| Family values/ morals (decline of) | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Balanced Budget | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Employment/jobs | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Gun control | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
| Abortion | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Welfare | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Federal deficit | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Poverty/ homelessness | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Campaign finance reform | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Child care | 1 | -- | 1 | 1 |
| Immigration | - | 1 | -- | 1 |
| Race relations | - | -- | 1 | -- |
| IRS Problems | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Other | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| (Don't Know) | 7 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
7. Thinking ahead to the year 2002, if the congressional election were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate in your district or the Democratic candidate in your district? (If undecided) Well, if you had to vote, which way would you lean?
| 30 Mar 01 | 12 Jan 01 | 8 Sep 00 | 26 May 00 | 14 Jan 00 | |
| Republican Vote | 32% | 26% | 32% | 36% | 35% |
| Republican Lean | 6 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| Republican Total | 38 | 33 | 40 | 42 | 42 |
| Democratic Vote | 33 | 32 | 34 | 33 | 32 |
| Democratic Lean | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| Democratic Total | 36 | 38 | 41 | 39 | 36 |
| (Other/Not Sure) | 26 | 29 | 19 | 19 | 22 |
8. Do you approve or disapprove of the job President Bush is doing on the following issues:
| Approve | Disapprove | (Don't know) | |
| 30 Mar 01 | 52% | 27 | 21 |
9. Managing foreign affairs?
| Approve | Disapprove | (Don't know) | |
| 30 Mar 01 | 52% | 22 | 26 |
10. Setting energy policy?
| Approve | Disapprove | (Don't know) | |
| 30 Mar 01 | 39% | 33 | 28 |
11. Setting tax policy?
| Approve | Disapprove | (Don't know) | |
| 30 Mar 01 | 54% | 31 | 15 |
12. Setting education policy?
| Approve | Disapprove | (Don't know) | |
| 30 Mar 01 | 57% | 20 | 23 |
13. As you know, the U.S. has a budget surplus. What do you think should be done with this money?
| (Tax Cuts) | 28% |
| (Reduce national debt) | 19 |
| (Increase spending on education) | 14 |
| (Strengthen Social Security/ Medicare/Prescription drugs) | 13 |
| (Increase spending on OTHER domestic programs) | 9 |
| (Increase spending on health care) | 4 |
| (Increase military spending) | 1 |
| (Other - Specify) | 3 |
| (Not sure) | 9 |
14. Of the following issues, which one do you think it is the most important for Congress to be working on right now?
| Taxes and the economy | 21% |
| Campaign finance reform | 4 |
| Energy issues | 9 |
| School violence | 16 |
| Education | 15 |
| Social Security and Medicare | 19 |
| Health care | 13 |
| (Not sure) | 3 |
15. Which political party - the Republicans or the Democrats - do you think would do a better job on each of the following issues?
| Republicans | Democrats | Equal | Not sure | |
| Social Security | 39% | 41 | 7 | 13 |
| Taxes | 47% | 35 | 7 | 11 |
| Health care | 36% | 41 | 10 | 13 |
| Education | 42% | 35 | 12 | 11 |
| Military Defense | 59% | 22 | 7 | 12 |
| The Economy | 42% | 37 | 8 | 13 |
| Medicare | 35% | 41 | 9 | 15 |
| Family Values | 52% | 25 | 11 | 12 |
Compare to: Which political party - the Republicans or the Democrats - do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues: SCALE: 1. Republicans 2. Democrats 3. (Equal) 4. (Not sure)
| Republicans | Democrats | Equal | Not sure | ||
| Foreign policy | 25 Jun 99 | 46% | 26 | 9 | 19 |
| Gun Control | 25 Jun 99 | 32% | 40 | 8 | 20 |
| Improving education | 25 Jun 99 | 32% | 40 | 11 | 17 |
| 26 Feb 99 | 31% | 42 | 11 | 16 | |
| 30 Oct 98 | 28% | 42 | 9 | 21 | |
| Maintaining strong economy | 25 Jun 99 | 39% | 38 | 9 | 14 |
| 26 Feb 99 | 41% | 39 | 8 | 12 | |
| Reducing crime & drug abuse | 25 Jun 99 | 37% | 31 | 13 | 19 |
| 26 Feb 99 | 37% | 29 | 15 | 19 | |
| Providing moral leadership | 25 Jun 99 | 48% | 23 | 11 | 18 |
| 26 Feb 99 | 44% | 23 | 11 | 12 | |
| 30 Oct 98 * | 44% | 20 | 12 | 24 | |
| * "best job on maintaining moral standards" | |||||
| Preserving Social Security | 25 Jun 99 | 32% | 43 | 8 | 17 |
| 26 Feb 99 | 28% | 46 | 10 | 16 | |
| 30 Oct 98 * | 30% | 43 | 7 | 20 | |
| * "best job on Social Security" | |||||
| Keeping taxes down | 25 Jun 99 | 45% | 32 | 8 | 15 |
| 26 Feb 99 | 44% | 33 | 8 | 15 | |
16. Based on what you know about it, do you favor or oppose President Bush's proposal for a $1.6 trillion dollar tax cut over the next 10 years?
| Favor | Oppose | (Not sure) | |
| 30 Mar 01 | 55% | 33 | 12 |
| 16 Mar 01 | 55% | 32 | 13 |
| 9 Feb 01 | 54% | 29 | 17 |
17. Which of the following do you think is more important:
| An immediate tax rebate for taxpayers, or | 21% |
| Reductions in long-term overall tax rates? | 70 |
| (Not sure) | 9 |
18. Which of the following do you think better describes a tax refund:
| Your own money being returned to you, or | 79% |
| The government taking money from other things to give to you? | 12 |
| (Not sure) | 9 |
19. In the last month, have you taken money out of the stock market - by selling stocks or mutual funds - and put it into another investment?
| Yes | 9% |
| No | 90 |
| (Not sure) | 1 |
20. How closely have you been following the news about Mad Cow Disease?
| Very closely | 28% |
| Somewhat closely | 47 |
| Not very closely | 18 |
| Not at all | 6 |
| (Not sure) | 1 |
21. How much of a threat do you think Mad Cow Disease is to the health and safety of Americans?
| A major threat | 30% |
| A minor threat | 52 |
| Not a threat at all | 11 |
| (Not sure) | 7 |
22. Have you made any life-style changes because of the threat of Mad Cow Disease? (What?)
| Yes, (eating less beef/meat) | 9% |
| Yes, (stopped eating beef/meat) | 2 |
| Yes, (cancelled travel plans to England) | - |
| Yes, (other___) | 1 |
| No | 87 |
| (Not sure) | 1 |
23. Do you think the United States should pay reparations for slavery, that is, pay money to African-Americans who are descendants of slaves?
| Yes, reparations should be made | 11% |
| No, reparations should not be made | 81 |
| (Not sure) | 8 |
24. (If yes) If taxes had to be raised or tax money had to be taken away from other programs, would you still favor paying reparations?
| Yes, still favor | 68% |
| No, would not still favor | 26 |
| (Not sure) | 6 |
25. In general, do you think labor unions today are good for America or bad for America?
| Good | Bad | (Not sure) | ||
| 30 Mar 01 | All | 49% | 32 | 19 |
| Union H.H. | 71% | 19 | 10 | |
| 8 Aug 97 | 49% | 34 | 17 |
26. Do you think the president of the United States should have the power to stop a strike by a labor union?
| All | Union H.H. | |
| Yes | 44% | 38% |
| No | 33 | 43 |
| (Depends/national security) | 17 | 16 |
| (Not sure) | 6 | 3 |
Compare to: Last week, President Clinton intervened to stop a strike by American Airlines pilots. Do you think the President should have the right to stop any strike? (21 Feb 97)
| Yes | 55% |
| No | 39 |
| (Not sure) | 6 |
27. Are you a member of a labor union or does anyone else in your household belong to a labor union?
| Yes, respondent a union member | 10% |
| Yes, other in household a union member | 7 |
| Yes, both respondent and other in household a union member | 2 |
| No | 80 |
| (Refused) | - |
| (Not sure) | 1 |












