CINCINNATI – The folks looking up from the bottom of the Big East will have a lot to say about who stays at the top.
With six weeks left in the season, the conference-in-transition has taken a dramatic turn from last year, when just about everyone was still in contention heading down the stretch. There was such parity and so many weekly upsets that it came down to the final week, with three teams sharing the title.
So far, equality is out this year. Three teams — Rutgers, Louisville, Cincinnati — have commandeered the top with a combined 19-1 record. None of the other five teams has a winning record.
Can the foundering five still make a mark on the race? The teams at the top aren't putting it past them.
"I think there's a couple of teams that have separated themselves but if you really look at it, you talk about the balance of the Big East last year, I think it's more balanced this year," Cincinnati coach Butch Jones said. "I think that's what separates our conference. You can have no off-days in our conference. Parity is extremely high right now."
The top three — No. 16 Louisville (7-0, 2-0), No. 18 Rutgers (7-0, 4-0) and Cincinnati (5-1, 1-0) start their head-to-head winnowing out on Friday, when the Bearcats play at Louisville. The Cardinals finish the season at Rutgers on Nov. 29.
In-between, the bottom five will get a chance to weigh in and knock one of them out of it, or move themselves back into it.
Possible? The last-place team almost pulled it off. South Florida (2-5, 0-3) was on the verge of the first race-altering upset after B.J. Daniels threw three touchdown passes on Saturday for a 25-21 lead over Louisville with 3:09 left. Teddy Bridgewater's 11-yard touchdown pass with 1:35 to go gave the Cardinals a 27-25 victory.
South Florida has lost 11 of its last 12 Big East games, has dropped five straight overall and is the only team in the country without an interception. But the Bulls came up one defensive stand short of knocking off the preseason favorite Cardinals.
For Louisville, it was a reminder that even though there haven't been as many upsets, they're still possible.
"Even from the so-called bottom of the league, I feel those teams can show up and beat somebody," Louisville linebacker Preston Brown said. "Because we know each other so well, there's always a team that can come out and beat the top of the Big East."
The Bulls have one more shot at the big three, playing at Cincinnati on Nov. 23.
"They're a team that really has had some tough breaks during the year," Syracuse coach Doug Marrone said, referring to the Bulls. "Last week they played Louisville well. They just didn't get some breaks at the end of the game."
What about the rest?
Syracuse (3-4, 2-1) has played a tough nonconference schedule that included losses to Northwestern, Southern California and Minnesota. The Orange have games left at Cincinnati on Nov. 3 and at home against Louisville the following week.
They see little difference between themselves and the teams at the top.
"I don't think they've separated themselves," Orange senior receiver Marcus Sales said. "Anyone can win the Big East. We're expecting somebody to knock one of those teams off. I think it's still wide-open for us."
The league's history also provides encouragement. It's had a three-way tie for the title each of the last two years.
"The Big East is always open," Syracuse senior safety Shamarko Thomas said. "You see what happened last year — a three-way tie. The Big East is always open, and we're going to go out there and take our opportunity."
There's opportunity for others, too.
Newcomer Temple (3-3, 2-1) plays at Louisville and at home against Cincinnati in consecutive weeks. The Owls are coming off a 35-10 loss to Rutgers.
Pittsburgh (3-4, 0-3) opened its final season in the Big East by losing in Cincinnati — a week after it lost to Youngstown State — and also has lost to Louisville.
Nobody will get the final say quite like Connecticut (3-5, 0-3), which won the title in 2010. The Huskies close the season at Louisville on Nov. 24 and at home against Cincinnati on Dec. 1. UConn has dropped its last three games, a bad trend.
"We've got to cut down on giving up big plays," coach Paul Pasqualoni said. "Big plays have hurt us. We've got to stop giving up big plays and find a way to run to take the pressure off the quarterback. We can't be dropping back 35 to 40 times a game."
The three teams at the top aren't looking down on any of them.
"I think Syracuse is a byproduct of their schedule — they've had some difficult games," Cincinnati's Jones said. "South Florida is as talented a team as we have in the conference. Look at what Temple's done. UConn has had some unfortunate injuries. You go across the board.
"We have six weeks left and it's going to be a tremendous challenge."
AP Sports Writer John Kekis in Syracuse and Gary Graves in Louisville contributed to this report.