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Wait Till Next Year?

Title:

Wait Till Next Year?

Published: Mon, 9 Nov 2009

Description: Some predict a health care bill won't be passed by year's end

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Automatically Generated Transcript (may not be 100% accurate)

" Sat next to CSX thank you rather well having been in the House of Representatives. After all -- Saturday saying -- fact that."

" Trying to remind variable times no I don't miss the house and I thought that was a rather unseemly proposition after Russian news don't even have 72 hours to put about -- for the American people see it. Vote late into the night on Saturday night obviously some worms were twisted. And then while they wait around for something that we probably won't act until some time next year. And so when it was all right."

" Act because it's such a close vote to in favor of it eight democratic favorite I suspect that it is that."

" Thank you broke the code if they don't have put down -- it might be too late they won't have to vote later on the more the American people see of this health care quote reform. The less they like it so they had every different have the vote while they had the votes wait another month and they might not have votes but what does that tell you. About the representation. Of the views of the American people that's what we're supposed to be here to do. And on whether we'll have a least a little bit of time for the American people to see this product before the Senate passed. How much time is there. I mean and and how who calculates is that senator Reid who makes that determination yes senator Reid's majority leader and he will decide when to pick he doesn't have a bill yet as you know there are still writing that. My guess is that sometime after Thanksgiving they will bring it to the Senate for. And will then have at least what his three weeks before Christmas so we'll have that much time at least talk about it and I can't imagine we would be done with -- them. Remember the house of -- in the House of Representatives the Republicans only got to offer. One amendment at least in the Senate we have it right of all members to offer amendments."

" so there's a quick rushed Saturday it was quite as good -- fascinating to watch. They have their vote now have a couple weeks yours. And you started doing headcount and what you anticipate to be the Senate bill because I realize it's not finished yet."

" Sure in the first vote is the vote to go to the bill that -- the Senate has to decide we will now take up the Senate bill on health care if there's a vote on -- and leader Reid has to get sixty senators to agree to take about what the latest up what could discourage a senator from voting for more discussion about it now. A senator has said Heidi. Don't like a certain thing about this bill for example several Democrats said they don't like the government run insurance the so called public option. Well why would you vote to go to a bill that has that meant so much you're sure that you can get to sixty votes taken out on an amendment. Then here so it otherwise remember the famous John Kerry won the debate when I was four before I was against it. Everyone who votes to go to the bill even -- they hate something that senate. And know that they're not -- to get that amount is in effect. Saying one thing publicly but allowing it to actually go forward and parents."

" So the vote could get stopped at that point and then it goes back in to be rewritten is that likely we've elected this from the head counts against have a sense of that would be stopped at that point."

" Well first you have to vote on the motion to proceed in that vote is very close right now works with and Warner to either way. If they do get the -- to proceed to build and you're right through the process of amendment begins that we write the bill on the Senate floor. But I can't imagine very many amendments -- once Harry Reid and his democratic leadership has written -- bill my guess is that stability in currency commodity sent. At the end of the whole amendment process. Is another vote and passed -- motion to close off debate and go to final passage. And that motion to close off debate is -- sixty vote motion."

" Even though Democrats have majority they don't they mean they're just squeaking by and the sixty. I mean they've got thrown at me from I'll -- because satellite which was caught him with which part."

" Yes they have sixty votes if you count bear Bernie Sanders from Vermont and Joe Lieberman from Connecticut -- that they do caucus with the Democrats that's six. And so if all of them voted then there's nothing Republicans can do to stop we don't have the votes. But I hope is that some of the Democrats or those independence would vote no on one of -- and senator Lieberman has said right now. He would not vote. To proceed to final passage because of what's in the bill so right now they wouldn't get that sixty votes if all Republicans voted against."

" And some of the dynamics of -- senator Nelson reports a Democrat is -- huge. Seniors. Citizen population there. You've got senator Lieberman has got all the insurance companies and I'm not suggesting these candidates are minute got to consider constituency bigger cities and you're generous is action program but. Medical device manufactures senator Bayh of Indiana is considered. At this concerned about that well right there those are three votes that but -- look very much in question -- and Harry Reid. How does he persuade them -- what can he do to suddenly get them on his team is gonna get -- at sixty."

" Well there are basically three ways to go about it you could threaten people but that doesn't work very -- others. You can say to them I will give you something what do you want. And of course if a senator really has wanted something for his -- her state badly enough. It's possible they could say well you just do this for me and I'll give you. This vote and because this is so important the people back in my state when I go back opening -- explained to him they'll say well it was a fair bargain. Where the third way is. You could try to make the bill conform to the wishes of their constituents."

" But that might raise the cost on a -- for instance if you if -- if this initiative intended effects of huge population like this the senior citizen population. That's gonna raise the cost."

" No base Cuba in my in my lower the cost -- Iraq if you know those of us who are concerned about the cost of this bill. Would like to see the cost reduced dramatically and capture maneuver Democrat difference would two. However I was being a little facetious when I said -- third way to do this actually appease our constituents do what they want. I don't think the democratic leader can afford to do that with this bill he would lose to many of the members on the left of this party. And then he would -- past week's winner -- today if -- accuracy is very content. From both you know he's got sixty votes. And they just have a big victory in the house but it was. Very close. They lost what 17 of the Democrats in the house voted against it. They had to keep delaying that they had to delay it here he knows the problems that he has. And I understand there's just the letters sent by a group of house Democrats that sympathy. Abortion language stays in the bill which is they're all gonna vote against. So to some extent his problem is that -- have a satisfies this group this group will be dissatisfied. And vice Versa and that's the problem that any leader. Prediction when this became. Well -- might well be that the vote to proceed to the bill vote will probably be. Sometime after Thanksgiving. Within -- personal I don't know. And obviously it's gonna take you mean we've we've had a lot of bills have taken five or six weeks on the Senate floor. You do have the Christmas recess in between there and I don't know how long it will be so some time that -- Rupert."

" Question. Well I've been watching Christmas. Is a means you can. I -- I kid myself -- quits I can make my plans."

" You know as important as this issue is and it is. It's important that we hear from our constituents to. And some of those constituents are actually family members of the can be nice to be home for Christmas -- and then I'm happy to work if indeed that working here -- effective -- you bet thank you for."

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