Will Sanctions Work?

" Warning. Do not pressure us about our nuclear pro. One Iraqi law maker now says -- world powers give Iran a hard time during upcoming talks in Geneva. Then Iran may abandon the -- the nuclear nonproliferation treaty. That includes nearly every country in the world now remember this comes just a couple of days after Iran revealed that there is a second secret uranium facility. And as the United States and its allies consider new sanctions to make Iran abandon its nuclear program. San Suu Kyi fox report correspondent on the top story at the bottom of the hour Jonathan sanctions do work."

" Well they do sometimes they haven't and -- forty years of sanctions didn't look against Cuba they didn't look against Saddam Hussein's Iraq and they don't appear to be -- With North Korea having said that they did -- in bringing about an end to apartheid in South Africa. I'm an exhaustive study set by the institute for international economics. Sign that sanctions are actually effective in Iran 34%. Of cases. Now if the goal is -- such as freeing political prisoners they look about half the time if the goal is more ambitious such as regime change -- 31% of the time all. I just waiting a country from pursuing more military -- 31% of the time that that's what we're trying to do within Iran that that might not sound too impressive but as one expert said to me. Top point 34 was the batting average of a couple of guys -- Lou Gehrig and Babe Ruth so perhaps we shouldn't write sanctions off. Is being completely ineffective of course there are already sanctions in place against Iran right now -- we have a whole host of unilateral US sanctions against Iran but also more -- leading international community has acted. Back in 2006. The UN passed a resolution. Banning all countries from shipping anything that might enable. Iran to go ahead with its nuclear equipment -- exploration. Now in 2007. You know they tell all Iranian arms exports -- by the UN. And travel of Iran aliens who were connected with a nuclear program was also restricted the following yet 2008. -- Ronnie and banks would target date and the international community was asked to stop and inspect. Any cargo ships suspected of carrying any sort of nuclear related equipment to Iran so all of those are in place right now and clearly they haven't done much good yet. And the plan would be to add more I mean what look at dad yelled what they wanna target -- would probably be the energy and financial sectors for instance going off debt. Iran's oil exports that would be crippling to the Iranian economy the problem is it might also drive up oil prices and -- our economy they might also go off day Iran's gas imports they need those. I desperately -- also target more of the Ronnie banks. But all of these are targeted sanctions that the experts say is a smart move because you cannot. Bring about a humanitarian. Disaster listened to Tim -- bomb."

" The primary problem with sanctions is that such a blunt weapon that you can hurt the people more than you -- the government's that's why you. With that new sanctions you really want to identify -- will most affect the government as opposed to the people."

" Tim from on an old the other experts also say -- That you have to be very careful with this and -- you have to get international backing -- these sanctions whatever we do will not work without the backing of the Russians and the Chinese they may be reluctant and always -- that willing to break any sanctions but the north Koreans. No doubt about that -- live and -- New York -- Johnson thanks."