Plunging Popularity

" Obama's honeymoon with the liberal media may still be going strong but it appears that America's love affair with the 44 president. Is quickly coming to an end and that is our headline tonight. Pole position now brand new data."

" Is showing that mr. Obama's approval rating is now in a freefall. This daily Gallup poll updated earlier today. Shows the president's numbers clearly trending in the wrong direction and backed his approval rating is now at the lowest point since inauguration day. And recent polling in swing states like Ohio and Virginia also indicate that Americans are Fed up with the direction that this country is headed in. As you can see -- screen mr. Obama's approval has dropped almost twenty points. And only five months and the new recipes and daily tracking poll presidential tracking poll now shows. That only 30% of those polled. Strongly approve of the president's job performance and out of the lowest since he took office while 38% of those polled. Strongly disapprove which is the highest that that is banned since January 21."

" And joining me now to help sort all of this out of the man behind that last Paul Scott Rasmussen."

" And also the former counsel to president George W. Bush and former RNC chair Ed Gillespie guys welcome back the program -- they want us. They are you like your strong party here Scotland look for what's gone through this 30% 38%. Because this this is something new that you been doing. And this is the presidential index forty explain it and how this is the lowest number that he had at this point."

" Well we simply take the number of people who have strong opinions about the president strongly approve were strongly disapprove we have been tracking him every day since actually since Election Day. And Boeing found is that in the first few months there was a honeymoon period what you expect Americans began 44% of them began with a positive opinion of the president strongly approve of the way he's got started. And that number begin to slip a little bit during the stimulus debate it's moved out a little bit over the past few months -- Republicans became disenchanted. But in the last week or two especially -- that jobs report last week the president's numbers have started heading south -- especially among independents."

" And add Doug Schoen Doug good friend this program I thought it pretty interesting line his analysis of these independent voters now deserting. Barack Obama he actually said that independence. Had become. The effectively operational. Democrats in 2006 and 2008 he says that now up up for grabs not only that the the trending Republican."

" Well if I get it all comes back to the economy right now the people want this president to fix the economy last fall -- Lehman Brothers collapse it became the issue of the campaign. People were hopeful and optimistic consumer confidence was rising for a few months from march April and -- it's now heading in the other direction my -- my yard."

" Your thoughts on what Doug Schoen said that this be booked you as a matter of fact you first spotted this trend in the resurgent republic which you founded as a sort of answer to. Democracy and democracy -- so -- use you saw this a little earlier than others it's."

" Spotted -- in about April when it came to the budget and spending shall we saw Republicans. And independents majority of them all one side and majority Democrats on the other side of approval of of the Obama budget. Really step I think it it has increased and it's been accelerating. And I think -- Scott state isn't important relative to the intensity now that the feelings of people who are concerned about President Obama. Are much greater than those who are unhappy with President Obama. And I think that's telling and I think that indicates more trouble ahead for him -- what."

" What does it mean I. I've been following this poll that more Americans by almost a two to one margin -- it's good margin consider themselves. Conservative about 40% about 21% of Americans identify themselves as as liberal. The Gallup poll found that the Democratic Party are growing number of Americans think that the Democratic Party. Is too liberal so what does this mean now and as we head into these 30 elections."

" Someone went peoples see themselves more aligned with and identify with how they see a party. So they see themselves as the center right -- more more conservative leaning into the Republican Party obviously more conservative leaning. They see the Democratic Party becoming more liberal moving away from them. That is why I think what what -- Doug Jones said about the independence. They wear flip open that the flip side of that was true and 06 and oh wait. And that's why you the bulk of them they broke against Republicans I think we're seeing the early signs that affected -- in 2010. With 36 governor's races up in 2010 with so many competitive senate races. Illinois I think it's going to be as of did with senator versus announcement going to be very competitive. In 2010 as well as many others I think what we know well distanced VoIP over besides it's a real opportunities for Robinson may gain."

" Well certainly New Jersey is one certainly Virginia is one not certainly Connecticut is one Harry Reid is in big trouble Sunday night and we have some really interesting races. We're gonna start to follow. Scott let me ask you The Wall Street Journal said right track wrong track. The American people oppose the stimulus and say the country's on the wrong track you had a poll where now more Americans are beginning to blame the president. For the bad economy that they're not getting away with this knowledge George W Bush's fault which has been their mantra for a long time."

" Obviously when the president first took office people were saying the problems were inherited in as time goes on that number shifts. About six weeks ago 62% of Americans said that. It was George Bush's fault that number fell to 54% to a couple of weeks ago and as time goes on we'll continue to move more more in Barack Obama's direction. That's a natural course of events you on this point about liberals and conservatives Sean. It's absolutely true there are twice as many conservatives in the country there's also a different dynamic there are more conservatives. Then there are Republicans. And that means the Republicans have to be conscious of those conservatives outside the party. On the other side of the point there's far more Democrats than there are liberals and that means the liberals happy reaching out to moderate Democrats and those are the ones having trouble hanging on to right now."

" well I I would agree with your analysis here went then let me ask you the same question about that and and also. Nine out of ten Americans worried about Obama's spending deficits LA times Poland and civilly is very similar results ABC Washington Post. That 90% think Obama's spending way too much money now that doesn't even include a second stimulus would that talking about. The taxes for cap and tax and nor does include you know the health care plan which is gonna cost an enormous amount of money. Is this -- out."

" This -- life. This spending is breathtaking. And I think the American people are are starting to see that very clearly. This agenda of you know taking over the financial. Industry India and the auto companies and having an active role and in the management and in the decision making process. Their so it's not just been spending but it's big government involvement in and now our economy. And then the spending and in terms of creating more debt this president's created more debt in his first year in office or propose more debt. Then every president combined before him from George W the first George Washington to George W. Bush the 43. That is remarkable when you look at what he's proposing in terms of increasing the cost of -- just noted on cap and tax. Health care. It's the federal spending in this stimulus where they said that the if we pass a stimulus unemployment wouldn't go ahead above eight point -- 8%. They are wrong about that they've got to stop over promising and underperforming."

" Yet I always think you're better off you know under promising and -- delivery guy I would agree with you you know Scott on the point that that is making his NN I think it's making a great point here. -- they did promise that if we pass the stimulus well they said if we didn't pass and be catastrophe in the disaster we had to do what. What if we pass that they promised an unemployment wouldn't go above 8% now wants nine point 5%. Now they tell us attended a double digits you point out that as a result the internals of your polls are now showing that the GOP. Which traditionally leads on national security has expanded its margin. And now for the first time in many years Republicans are leading on the issue of the economy."

" two months in a -- and other leading on the economy and I should point out it's more -- loss of confidence in Democrats than you know. A re emergence of confidence a Republican but yes the hedges which for the GOP on this issue. Stimulus is a key part of a nationwide just 31% of America all Americans believe that the stimulus help the economy. Two out of three say it either hurt or had no impact and we spend as much money is that. You hope would have a positive impact -- 45% of Americans are saying you know what all the money that hasn't would spend ship."

" We should just stop all right last question don't throw a -- and back to the issue of independence now moving away from from Barack Obama. If you couple that with these battleground states. We look at food the Virginia and we look at Chris Dodd is in trouble Harry Reid is in trouble. There is trouble in Delaware Corzine is in trouble in New Jersey. You know it could this could -- what could 30 become. The modern day version of 1994. Is that overly optimistic on my part."

" it's it's early to tell but like I say the signs are there for what could -- a big year in 2010 a big first mid term well you know we'll see some indication as you noted in New Jersey Virginia their governors' races. This year were very strong independent voters New Jersey was the first state in the union with a plurality. Registered independents Virginia for a long time is 213 13 13. Term to Democrat Republican and independent so I think these are our possible what bellwethers in 2009."

" all right guys we'll have you back we'll be following these numbers fascinating numbers and by the way I predicted all of that Bob my -- and I you know but -- guys. It is and."