Third Party Participation?

" the crisis now in Gaza their fears that the big pressure is really could be growing there on rockets have been fired into Israel from eleven not. -- we're gonna get to that and also the progress that we are seeing a bit of anyway on the diplomatic front representatives of Israel Hamas and the Palestinian Authority will be meeting today in Cairo to talk about this cease fire proposal that is out there brokered by Egypt and France. Aaron Miller is with us has -- six secretary of state in the past he's the author of the too much promise land -- and good to see you. The the US intelligence has been pretty clear about telling us today that they don't think that these rockets coming from Lebanon now into into northern Israel that they actually are from the has blocked. Eight who are they from it if if not them."

" Smaller Palestinian groups who are interested either in provoking a larger crisis or. Defending Hamas. In Gaza. These are from Hezbollah and the fact is neither Israel nor Hezbollah wants to open up a second -- His -- got their political victory from the Israelis two years ago this summer. And the Israelis don't want to open a second front as well so -- the issue really is going to be confined I would think on balance to. Israel Hamas in Gaza. Let's talk then about this proposal that out there are brokerage house and called on the bar proposal brokered by the Egyptian president. Is it workable and and if so what is it actually lead to. Well since there's no military solution possible and wars usually come to an end when one side imposes its will or. Both sides conclude that there -- unable or unwilling to continue. There's got to be some latter provided by the international community to allow Israel and Hamas to climb down into end. A military confrontation but I suspect in the end the trickiest part is going to be yes. Israel wants to deny Hamas up a political victory. As as Abdullah has up his ball achieved in Lebanon and Hamas is determined to achieve that political victory -- I don't see how we get out of this. Without Hamas being weakened militarily but may be picking up a few political points. Do you mean to say that that perhaps it's really too early for Israel and they haven't accomplished what they need to accomplish from their viewpoint to get some sort of cease fire. What wars have natural rhythms and the Israelis clearly want to crush Hamas militarily. And demonstrated that demonstrate that it cannot govern or function as an effective resistance organization. But it's in it is symmetrical. A confrontation like this one it's much easier for the weaker party. To stay put -- to claim that it survive it survived and it resisted the the might of the most powerful military force in the Middle East. So -- the Israelis want to continue to deal Hamas. A military blow it suggests that politically they may not succeed in also demonstrating its weakness. There you know one of the sticking points for Israel has been not only to stop this rocket fire but also to deal with these smuggling tunnels. Is that in this current proposal. I absolutely -- three pieces one attending the high trajectory rocket fire and Israel. A second is the tunnels. Ensuring that Hamas unlike his -- will not be able to rearming re equip itself. And then the third piece of it is opening up the crossing points and here is where Hamas stands to gain. One of the reasons this -- cease fire came to an end is that Hamas concluded. It no longer serve its interest. Gaza have to be able to breathe economically. And Hamas wants to conclude and demonstrate to the Palestinian people in Gaza at the end this crisis. That they've achieved something and that achievement is going to be I suspect. Opening up those crossing points and this is going to be that difficult. Challenge. Faced by the egyptians. Based by the Palestinian Authority and the Israelis how -- the dot how to deny Hamas. That political victory it's going to be very tough to achieve -- to watch -- Miller the author of the much too promised land Aaron thank you."