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Exit Polls

How To Read These Tables

The percentages in the first column, labeled "Total," show the proportion of the electorate that is in each subgroup -- these columns are always read down vertically.

The percentages in all remaining columns are read across horizontally (those to the right of the "Total" column). These percentages show how the particular subgroup of voters divided their vote among the candidates or vote question.

  • Year

  • President

  • Senate

  • House

  • Governor

  • Ballot-measures

  • Year

  • Senate

  • House

  • Governor

  • Ballot-measures

  • Year

  • President

  • Senate

  • House

  • Governor

  • Ballot-measures

  • Year

  • Senate

  • House

  • Governor

  • Ballot-measures

2012 Arizona Poll

Senate

Sample: 1,650 respondents
  • Are you:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Male
    49%
    54%
    43%
  • Female
    51%
    46%
    47%
  • Sample: 1,650 respondents
  • In which age group are you?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • 18-29
    25%
    41%
    59%
  • 30-44
    30%
    53%
    42%
  • 45-64
    34%
    51%
    40%
  • 65 or over
    12%
    62%
    36%
  • Sample: 1,640 respondents
  • In which age group are you?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • 18-24
    13%
    -
    -
  • 25-29
    12%
    42%
    57%
  • 30-39
    19%
    51%
    44%
  • 40-49
    20%
    53%
    40%
  • 50-64
    24%
    51%
    39%
  • 65 or over
    12%
    62%
    36%
  • Sample: 1,640 respondents
  • Are you:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • White
    75%
    58%
    36%
  • Black
    4%
    -
    -
  • Hispanic/Latino
    18%
    26%
    72%
  • Asian
    2%
    -
    -
  • Other
    1%
    -
    -
  • Sample: 1,611 respondents
  • Sex by race
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • White men
    37%
    61%
    35%
  • White women
    38%
    55%
    38%
  • Black men
    2%
    -
    -
  • Black women
    2%
    -
    -
  • Latino men
    9%
    30%
    70%
  • Latino women
    9%
    23%
    75%
  • All other races
    4%
    -
    -
  • Sample: 1,611 respondents
  • On most political matters, do you consider yourself:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Liberal
    20%
    12%
    86%
  • Moderate
    41%
    38%
    54%
  • Conservative
    39%
    84%
    13%
  • Sample: 1,586 respondents
  • No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Democrat
    26%
    6%
    93%
  • Republican
    34%
    90%
    6%
  • Independent or something else
    40%
    46%
    45%
  • Sample: 1,620 respondents
  • What was the last grade of school you completed?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • No high school diploma
    2%
    -
    -
  • High school graduate
    20%
    50%
    45%
  • Some college/assoc. degree
    33%
    54%
    42%
  • College graduate
    30%
    53%
    40%
  • Postgraduate study
    15%
    36%
    59%
  • Sample: 1,610 respondents
  • What was the last grade of school you completed?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • College graduate
    46%
    47%
    47%
  • No college degree
    54%
    53%
    43%
  • Sample: 1,610 respondents
  • What was the last grade of school you completed?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • More than high school graduate
    79%
    50%
    45%
  • High school graduate or less
    21%
    51%
    44%
  • Sample: 1,610 respondents
  • 2011 total family income:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Under $30,000
    20%
    47%
    50%
  • $30,000 - $49,999
    25%
    48%
    47%
  • $50,000 - $99,999
    34%
    54%
    40%
  • $100,000 - $199,999
    18%
    52%
    40%
  • $200,000 - $249,999
    1%
    -
    -
  • $250,000 or more
    3%
    -
    -
  • Sample: 1,468 respondents
  • 2011 total family income:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Under $50,000
    45%
    47%
    48%
  • $50,000-$99,999
    34%
    54%
    40%
  • $100,000 or more
    22%
    49%
    44%
  • Sample: 1,468 respondents
  • 2011 total family income:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Under $50,000
    45%
    47%
    48%
  • $50,000 or more
    55%
    52%
    42%
  • Sample: 1,468 respondents
  • 2011 total family income:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Under $100,000
    78%
    50%
    45%
  • $100,000 or more
    22%
    49%
    44%
  • Sample: 1,468 respondents
  • How often do you attend religious services?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • More than once a week
    11%
    -
    -
  • Once a week
    23%
    -
    -
  • A few times a month
    13%
    -
    -
  • A few times a year
    27%
    -
    -
  • Never
    25%
    -
    -
  • Sample: 311 respondents
  • How often do you attend religious services?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Weekly
    35%
    57%
    37%
  • Occasionally
    40%
    49%
    39%
  • Never
    25%
    -
    -
  • Sample: 311 respondents
  • Religion, combined Protestant and other Christian
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Protestant or other Christian
    54%
    60%
    33%
  • Catholic
    19%
    43%
    54%
  • Jewish
    1%
    -
    -
  • Something else
    7%
    -
    -
  • None
    19%
    -
    -
  • Sample: 600 respondents
  • Religion among whites
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • White Protestant/Other Christian
    47%
    64%
    29%
  • White Catholic
    12%
    -
    -
  • White Jewish
    1%
    -
    -
  • White something else
    4%
    -
    -
  • White none
    14%
    -
    -
  • Non-white
    22%
    33%
    64%
  • Sample: 593 respondents
  • Church attendance by Religion
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Protestant/Attend weekly
    8%
    -
    -
  • Protestant/Do not attend weekly
    15%
    -
    -
  • Catholic/Attend weekly
    8%
    -
    -
  • Catholic/Do not attend weekly
    9%
    -
    -
  • All Others
    60%
    44%
    52%
  • Sample: 311 respondents
  • White evangelical or white born-again Christians
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • White evangelical or white born-again Christian
    21%
    -
    -
  • All others
    79%
    40%
    52%
  • Sample: 309 respondents
  • Which comes closest to your position? Abortion should be:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Legal in all cases
    27%
    -
    -
  • Legal in most cases
    36%
    45%
    50%
  • Illegal in most cases
    28%
    -
    -
  • Illegal in all cases
    8%
    -
    -
  • Sample: 311 respondents
  • Which comes closest to your position? Abortion should be:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Legal
    63%
    35%
    55%
  • Illegal
    36%
    72%
    26%
  • Sample: 311 respondents
  • How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Support
    21%
    -
    -
  • Neutral
    49%
    51%
    38%
  • Oppose
    24%
    6%
    90%
  • Sample: 311 respondents
  • Which ONE of these four issues is the most important facing the country? (CHECK ONLY ONE)
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Foreign policy
    5%
    -
    -
  • Federal budget deficit
    21%
    67%
    22%
  • The economy
    59%
    51%
    44%
  • Health care
    13%
    19%
    81%
  • Sample: 674 respondents
  • Which ONE of these four is the biggest economic problem facing people like you? (CHECK ONLY ONE)
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • The housing market
    8%
    -
    -
  • Unemployment
    31%
    61%
    38%
  • Taxes
    11%
    -
    -
  • Rising prices
    46%
    54%
    35%
  • Sample: 333 respondents
  • What should happen to the 2010 health care law?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Expand it
    24%
    -
    -
  • Leave it as is
    13%
    -
    -
  • Repeal some of it
    21%
    -
    -
  • Repeal all of it
    36%
    -
    -
  • Sample: 338 respondents
  • What should happen to the 2010 health care law?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Expand it or leave it as is
    37%
    11%
    87%
  • Repeal some of it or repeal all of it
    57%
    81%
    11%
  • Sample: 338 respondents
  • Should income tax rates:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Increase for all
    7%
    -
    -
  • Increase only on income over $250,000
    46%
    33%
    62%
  • Not increase for anyone
    45%
    71%
    22%
  • Sample: 340 respondents
  • Should most illegal immigrants working in the United States be:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Offered a chance to apply for legal status
    61%
    33%
    61%
  • Deported to the country they came from
    32%
    -
    -
  • Sample: 311 respondents
  • Who is more in touch with people like you?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Barack Obama
    49%
    17%
    82%
  • Mitt Romney
    46%
    95%
    3%
  • Sample: 338 respondents
  • Who would better handle the economy?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Barack Obama
    39%
    4%
    94%
  • Mitt Romney
    58%
    88%
    6%
  • Sample: 338 respondents
  • Who would better handle Medicare?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Barack Obama
    40%
    5%
    92%
  • Mitt Romney
    53%
    91%
    4%
  • Sample: 338 respondents
  • Who would better handle the federal budget deficit?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Barack Obama
    39%
    4%
    94%
  • Mitt Romney
    59%
    86%
    8%
  • Sample: 340 respondents
  • Which is closer to your view:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Government should do more to solve problems
    38%
    14%
    85%
  • Government is doing too many things better left to businesses and individuals
    58%
    66%
    28%
  • Sample: 341 respondents
  • Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Excellent
    -
    -
    -
  • Good
    15%
    -
    -
  • Not so good
    43%
    46%
    50%
  • Poor
    41%
    83%
    8%
  • Sample: 333 respondents
  • Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Excellent or good
    15%
    -
    -
  • Not so good or poor
    84%
    64%
    29%
  • Sample: 333 respondents
  • Is the U.S. economy:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Getting better
    35%
    13%
    84%
  • Getting worse
    28%
    -
    -
  • Staying about the same
    32%
    -
    -
  • Sample: 333 respondents
  • Economic Conditions Are...
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Getting better
    35%
    13%
    84%
  • Good and staying the same
    1%
    -
    -
  • Poor and staying the same
    31%
    -
    -
  • Getting worse
    28%
    -
    -
  • Sample: 333 respondents
  • Compared to four years ago, is your family's financial situation:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Better today
    33%
    -
    -
  • Worse today
    35%
    80%
    20%
  • About the same
    31%
    40%
    51%
  • Sample: 341 respondents
  • Do you think things in this country today are:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Generally going in the right direction
    47%
    21%
    78%
  • Seriously off on the wrong track
    47%
    85%
    14%
  • Sample: 308 respondents
  • Who is more to blame for current economic problems?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Barack Obama
    45%
    94%
    3%
  • George W. Bush
    44%
    16%
    81%
  • Sample: 333 respondents
  • Do you think the U.S. economic system generally:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Favors the wealthy
    49%
    26%
    66%
  • Is fair to most Americans
    46%
    83%
    16%
  • Sample: 338 respondents
  • Should taxes be raised to help cut the budget deficit?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Yes
    28%
    14%
    85%
  • No
    71%
    71%
    20%
  • Sample: 333 respondents
  • Which comes closest to your feelings about the Obama administration:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Enthusiastic
    15%
    -
    -
  • Satisfied, but not enthusiastic
    21%
    -
    -
  • Dissatisfied, but not angry
    40%
    -
    -
  • Angry
    22%
    -
    -
  • Sample: 337 respondents
  • Which comes closest to your feelings about the Obama administration:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Positive
    37%
    12%
    85%
  • Negative
    62%
    81%
    11%
  • Sample: 337 respondents
  • Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Strongly approve
    22%
    8%
    92%
  • Somewhat approve
    21%
    -
    -
  • Somewhat disapprove
    9%
    -
    -
  • Strongly disapprove
    47%
    94%
    3%
  • Sample: 338 respondents
  • Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Approve
    43%
    7%
    88%
  • Disapprove
    56%
    89%
    7%
  • Sample: 338 respondents
  • Is your opinion of Barack Obama:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Favorable
    55%
    20%
    79%
  • Unfavorable
    45%
    92%
    7%
  • Sample: 308 respondents
  • Is your opinion of Mitt Romney:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Favorable
    52%
    91%
    7%
  • Unfavorable
    48%
    10%
    90%
  • Sample: 308 respondents
  • Do Barack Obama’s policies generally favor:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • The rich
    12%
    -
    -
  • The middle class
    46%
    18%
    82%
  • The poor
    28%
    -
    -
  • Sample: 308 respondents
  • Would Mitt Romney’s policies generally favor:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • The rich
    51%
    17%
    81%
  • The middle class
    38%
    87%
    11%
  • The poor
    1%
    -
    -
  • Sample: 308 respondents
  • Do you trust Barack Obama to handle an international crisis?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Yes
    46%
    15%
    83%
  • No
    54%
    86%
    7%
  • Sample: 338 respondents
  • Do you trust Mitt Romney to handle an international crisis?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Yes
    61%
    79%
    18%
  • No
    34%
    12%
    82%
  • Sample: 338 respondents
  • Do you trust _____ to handle an international crisis?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Only Barack Obama
    29%
    3%
    96%
  • Only Mitt Romney
    46%
    92%
    5%
  • Both of them
    15%
    -
    -
  • Neither of them
    5%
    -
    -
  • Sample: 338 respondents
  • Are you currently married?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Yes
    57%
    58%
    35%
  • No
    43%
    38%
    59%
  • Sample: 1,291 respondents
  • Gender by marital status
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Married men
    29%
    64%
    31%
  • Married women
    27%
    51%
    40%
  • Non-married men
    19%
    40%
    60%
  • Non-married women
    24%
    37%
    58%
  • Sample: 1,291 respondents
  • Do you have any children under 18 living in your home?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Yes
    35%
    50%
    47%
  • No
    65%
    46%
    48%
  • Sample: 947 respondents
  • Married with children:
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Married with children
    22%
    61%
    37%
  • All others
    78%
    44%
    51%
  • Sample: 947 respondents
  • Parents
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Men with children
    19%
    62%
    36%
  • Women with children
    16%
    38%
    60%
  • Men without children
    30%
    47%
    51%
  • Women without children
    34%
    46%
    45%
  • Sample: 947 respondents
  • Does anyone in your household belong to a labor union?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Yes
    13%
    -
    -
  • No
    87%
    49%
    49%
  • Sample: 304 respondents
  • Do you work full-time for pay?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Yes
    64%
    49%
    50%
  • No
    36%
    56%
    42%
  • Sample: 311 respondents
  • Should your state legally recognize same-sex marriage?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Yes
    55%
    30%
    61%
  • No
    44%
    71%
    24%
  • Sample: 315 respondents
  • Are you gay, lesbian or bisexual?
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Yes
    7%
    -
    -
  • No
    93%
    56%
    41%
  • Sample: 610 respondents
  • Population of area, five categories
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • Over 500,000
    18%
    39%
    56%
  • 50,000 - 500,000
    32%
    44%
    51%
  • Suburbs
    41%
    58%
    37%
  • 10,000 - 50,000
    4%
    -
    -
  • Rural
    7%
    -
    -
  • Sample: 1,650 respondents
  • Population of area, three categories
  • Total
  • Flake
  • Carmona
  • City over 50,000
    49%
    42%
    53%
  • Suburbs
    41%
    58%
    37%
  • Small city and Rural
    10%
    58%
    35%
  • Sample: 1,650 respondents